US10y : Series on Bonds - Sept 20th 2019(7-8 minute read) For the past couple of month yield curves, particularly the 10 year vs the short term maturities have been a popular topic in the mainstream media, mostly because of the yield curve inversion . This analysis aims to provide a well detailed approach to some of the crucial factors regarding the US...
There is a strong correlation between U.S. Bond Yields and UJ.
I'm am going contrary to most published Ideas on this pair. If you look at the trend line and bond yield comparisons, this pair is destined to hit 104...
Forecast: I am expecting Bund to continue its uptrend going forward next 2 weeks. Currently, this week weekly candle close as an inside bar, suggesting consolidation period. Bund will either expand this coming week or next week. First: Expansion next week, How to get in? Trade entry: Long the Daily demand zone, with stop below Confirmation: Reclaim last week...
VIX: Volatility Index - Extension to the US (SPX) Sectors Technical Analysis Series - 17th of August 2019 (9 Minute Read) As it can be observed from the chart, this is an extremely complex(Premium) volatility analysis . The purpose of this chart is to evaluate the probability and the timing of the next recession in the short to medium term. Now, let's...
Looks like a big reversal is in store after volume peaks out at resistance and Year Camarilla R4. $TLT $IEF $VXX $SPY $GLD $SLV $GDX $EURUSD $ZB_F $ZN_F
The chart below shows the yield spread between the 10yr and 3mo and 10yr and 2yr. When the spread is below 0 (colored in red), the yield curve is inverted. This has been an indicator for coming recessions. The red areas on the SPX are the recession periods. As you can see we saw an inversion last month (march). The next recession is just around the corner and...
Yields primed to make new lows on strength of the bond market still flashing doom signals despite the rebound. Short on yields, long on bonds
US10Y has just broken out of the downtrend and the inverted Head and Shoulders. Cheers!
China Q4 GDP Growth is expected to be at the slowest pace since 2009 at 6,4% YoY. This will probably also drag AUD down because of the high export to China. Meanwhile the Australian rate will be unchanged for quite a bit, where the Housing market index is also due to fall over the curs of 2019. Australian Housing market have been rallying for long time, Now the...
Breaking out of triangle which started on July 2016 Also a retest. Note: UK clients can't buy TMV due to new EU rules. :-(
when Real yields negative mean HOLD Cash will guarantee Loss, so Fund flow will move to risk asset like Equity. Gold actually is not risk asset but still effect from this event.
My first contribution to the Trading View community ! Hope you enjoy :) All analysis explained in the video !
US10 US02 This may not look like something to watch and you may not know about it. Only about 2% of investors understand it, however 98% of institutional traders (the “smart money”) watch it like the World Cup finals. Its the 10 year treasury yield to the 2 Year treasury yield ratio/spread. Bottomline: If it goes negative (hits the dotted yellow line) =...
Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. Kindly, Phil
Tough spot for yields, they will now decide on the next two hours of trading.
Bond yields showed support at 3.116%. This MAY be the end of the plunge in stocks because of the slowdown in the yields' move, but the view is still short term bearish. (The low didn't form yet, watched closely, but if it forms like I presume, then the divergence occurs with SMI idicator)