Rate Announcement Will Cause EXTREME Levels Of Volatility!With a tremendous amount of high impact news being released next week, you can expect very high levels of volatility especially coming up towards the first rate announcement.
Last weeks price action delivered to the upside as expected but I do still believe there is unfinished business at the 4.343% - 4.404% weekly PD array.
I expect price to expand to the upside following the high impact news being released next week. This can lead to investors chasing higher yields in risk off conditions
Candlestick Analysis
XAUUSD - Bulls Remain in Control The bullish trend remains intact, with swing structure bullish across all key timeframes:
✅ Daily – Higher lows holding strong
✅ 4H, 1H, 15M – Structure remains bullish
We’ll be watching how price develops overnight. Currently looking for longs on Thursday.
Let’s see what prints. 📈🔥
XAUUSD Update – Watching 4H Consolidation After ATH📺 Watch the video for more details.
Price has printed a 4H consolidation following the ATH. Key focus now:
🔹 Watching the high of consolidation for a potential breakout, retracement, and continuation.
🔹 Ideal scenario: False breakout & manipulation of the high, followed by a retrace back into the range.
🔹 Daily swing high in play, with Monday trading inside Friday’s range – opportunities for both continuation and retracement setups.
🔹 1H price action shows liquidity buildup below – potential fuel for a move lower.
📍 Still focused on a retracement back into discount levels of the current bullish expansion leg.
Let’s see what prints at Tuesday’s open.
EURUSD - How Long Will The Bullish Gravy Train Last?German Chancellor-in-waiting Friedrich Merz announced he had secured the crucial backing of the Greens for a massive increase in state borrowing.
The deal will likely be approved by the outgoing parliament next week. It includes a 500 billion euro ($544.30 billion) fund for infrastructure and sweeping changes to borrowing rules.
Due to this, the dollar weakened against the euro but rose against the Swiss franc and the yen, underpinned by the likelihood the U.S. government will avert a shutdown over the weekend.
Will this weeks high impact events lead to the weakening of EURUSD?
Dow Jones - Tariff's Causing HUGE Disruption!Stocks rallied Friday, clawing back some of the steep losses seen over the week, as investors got a reprieve from tariff-related headlines.
But it does not mean that the bearish onslaught has ended. 41,790 - 40,347, 3-month fair value gap is still in play and although I am going into next week neutral, I would like to see a bullish draw up to 41790.
Nasdaq (March Contract) - Massive Meltdown!Stocks have had a rough week as uncertainty over President Donald Trump's tariff shifts whipsawed markets and overshadowed otherwise encouraging signals about the economy.
With 4 continuous weeks of bearish price action, it does not look like there is a end in sight. Sellside liquidity @ 20248.75 has not been used as a form of resistance, indicating weakness in the markets.
Going forward, my bias is neutral going into Sundays opening price
S&P 500 (March Contract) - Stock Market Loses $5 Trillion!The S&P 500′s rapid 10% decline from a record high into correction territory has wiped out trillions of dollars in market value.
The market value of the S&P 500 at its Feb. 19 peak was $52.06 trillion, according to FactSet. Thursday’s decline put the index’s market value down to $46.78 trillion.
That makes for a total loss of about $5.28 trillion in about three weeks.
Will the rate announcements cause S&P 500 to sink lower into the abyss??
Reference: www.cnbc.com
ZB1! -MASSIVE Week Ahead With Interest Rates There is a strong correlation between bonds and yields and so far, the trajectory of price action for bonds has been in my favour, trailing higher and higher into the weekly premium SIBI.
115.18 is the equilibrium of the most immediate swing high to swing low and I am expecting a draw into this area.
116 is a low hanging, first target for next week that I am aiming for and would like to see how Sundays opening reacts (if that’s the case) with 116.
XAUUSD Week 11 Review – Preparing for Week 12 Watch the video for the full breakdown and key insights on our trading plan for Week 12!
After a strong bullish run into the end of Week 11, XAUUSD hit all-time highs near 3000 before stalling. Price has broken structure to the upside, and now we’re watching for a retracement before continuation higher.
Key Levels to Watch
- 3000 – All-time high, major psychological level.
- 2955 – Previous months high.
- 2940 – Week 09 open & previous consolidation high.
- 2920 – Daily opposing candles, possible reaction zone.
- Daily Imbalance Below – Strong demand area for potential long re-entries.
Lower Time Frame Considerations
- Potential Market Maker Sell Model Developing – The only contrarian signal against the overall bullish sentiment.
- To hold onto shorts for an extended move, we need to see this model play out very clearly—otherwise, long opportunities at key POIs remain valid.
Plan for Week 12
- Short-term bearish bias towards discount levels, looking for long setups at key demand zones.
- Watching for retracement before re-entering longs—no rush to chase price.
- If market structure confirms bearish development, extended downside moves remain possible.
Let’s stay flexible, execute with clarity, and trade what we see.
#XAUUSD #MarketReview #PriceAction #TradingDiscipline #HandDrawnCharts
[How to] Properly analyzing relative equal levels with orderflow🔑 This is a basic principle and idea overview of why price will behave a certain way around levels where double lows or highs are. Also reviewing what is called Low Resistance Liquidity. This happens when multiple levels are stacked going lower or higher without a stop hunt.
Share this with your trading partner 💪🏽
XAUUSD (Gold) daily market analysisThe momentum is still up and it looks like gold is poised to retest the 2950 levels again, unless we see some healthy candle closures towards the 2895 levels.
Join me, a CFA charterholder, as I breakdown the daily market scenario for XAUUSD (GOLD). Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, this video is packed with insights to help you improve your trading game. Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more trading tips and strategies!