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Bond Market Whiplash: September Ends with Yields Under PressureSeptember was a month of sharp swings for U.S. Treasuries. The 10-year yield started strong near 4.4% but lost momentum as political gridlock and growing bets on Fed rate cuts fuelled a flight to safety. Traders shifted from fearing inflation to bracing for slower growth and a possible government shutdown, sending yields drifting lower into month’s end. What began as a hawkish month ended with markets pricing in caution — and the bond market once again reminding everyone that fear moves faster than policy.
TVC:US10Y
by LegendSince
GBPAUD IS GOING LONG THIS WEEK! Don't you think? Hey Traders! This is my TA for GA this week, I do believe that this pair has been trending up and has had heavy rejection to the downside in the 4 hour time table, so that paird with impactful news that looks to have AUD consumers to be negative impact I believe AUD will fall in strength giving GBP the extra confirmation to push higher! I am a scalping trader that trades when pairs hit level of exhaust or pullbacks on Binary Options, so I will be looking to take buys at S-zones and sells at R-zones! I trade 1m, 3M, 5M, And 15m bids on Binary options. This is my first publish I would love any comments and feedback from the community! Thanks for your time!
Long
by TaYbTrading
2
Gold & Silver Push Higher as Markets Hunt for Safe HavensGold continues its climb, breaking through past resistance levels as investors flee into safety ahead of U.S. fiscal turmoil and rate ambiguity. Meanwhile, silver is turning heads — rallying hard on the back of both safe-haven demand and its dual role as an industrial metal. Together, they’re painting a picture: when anxiety and uncertainty rise, the metals step into the spotlight. Gold hit an all-time high of $3,833.37/oz, closing at $3,829.63, on strong safe-haven demand amid U.S. shutdown fears and rate cut expectations. It then extended gains, reaching $3,842.76/oz, putting it on track for its best month since August 2011 with an ~11.4% gain in September. Silver also surged: it climbed to a 14-year high near $46.85/oz as industrial demand and safe-haven flows bolstered interest. Earlier this year, silver broke $35/oz, a level not seen in over 13 years, driven by tight supply and robust demand in tech & green energy sectors.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by LegendSince
Bitcoin Stalls as Shutdown Fears Meet Rate UncertaintyBitcoin hasn’t broken out just yet — it’s hovering in a tight range, waiting for signals to decide whether to sprint or stall. Amid talk of a U.S. government shutdown and fading clarity around rate cuts, traders seem hesitant to commit. That said, institutional interest remains alive: U.S. Bancorp recently relaunched its institutional Bitcoin custody service, signalling banks are still gearing up for more crypto inflows. Meanwhile, the broader macro backdrop — monetary policy expectations, dollar strength, and regulatory tone — continues to be the real tug-of-war behind each move.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by LegendSince
Rallies, Pullbacks, Repeat: The Story of U.S. Stock IndexesThe U.S. stock market has been threading a fine line lately: the S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed today as tech names like Nvidia, Micron, and Lam Research led gains, while traders held their breath over a looming government shutdown. Despite strong momentum, indexes ended the week in the red as hawkish comments from Fed officials and sticky inflation data cooled enthusiasm. What’s driving this tug-of-war? Optimism over rate cuts clashes with political risk — and the next twist could send markets swinging hard.
CME_MINI:ESZ2025
by LegendSince
Dollar Index: The Calm Before the Storm?The Dollar Index has been stuck in a tight range, but don’t mistake sideways trading for stability. Behind the scenes, traders are torn — weaker economic data and the prospect of a shutdown argue for a softer dollar, while global demand for safe havens keeps a firm bid under the greenback. That tug-of-war has kept DXY consolidating near recent highs, almost like a coiled spring waiting for a breakout. When Washington sneezes or the Fed shifts tone, the dollar won’t drift — it will lurch, and the next move could set the tone for every major market this quarter.
TVC:DXY
by LegendSince
3
US Shutdown... How Can This Impact Yields?A U.S. shutdown doesn’t just freeze Washington — it shakes Wall Street. Investors rush into Treasuries for safety, pulling long-term yields down, while missing data and fiscal fears can push short-term yields up. The curve bends under politics, not just economics, turning every extra day of gridlock into fresh market uncertainty. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield recently fell ~4.3 basis points to about 4.145 % amid safe-haven demand ahead of a possible shutdown. The curve has shown signs of steepening: longer maturities have been under more pressure (yields up) relative to short maturities.
TVC:US10Y
by LegendSince
September 28, Forex Outlook: What Can Traders Expect This Week?Welcome back, traders! In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes. Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence. 📊 What to Expect in This Video: 1. Higher timeframe trend analysis 2. Key zones of interest and potential setups 3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes 4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights! Have a great week ahead, God bless you! The Architect 🏛️📉
Education
by The_Archi-tect
2
No more contradictions. Weekly, daily and 4h are alignedAfter taking liquidity from the weekly swing high (red line), the price visited the monthly imbalance and got rejected straight back in the range. Furthermore a bearish Choch happened Those information are enough for me to be bearish on weekly timeframe, at least short time Daily just broken the swing, now need a retracement. The internal structure are in alignment with this idea 4h is also making lower highs and lower lows You can watch the video and see the whole analysis
Short
by IST22
$100,000 Bitcoin Might Not Be Far From Reality....“Fed Cut” was Already Expected The 25bps cut had 99.7% probability priced in, so there was little surprise. Bitcoin needed more dovish forward guidance, not just a single cut. This led to a “sell the news” effect: BTC jumped ahead of expectations and then hesitated. Weak Spot Flows / ETF Pullbacks Futures markets are active and leveraged, but spot volume is lagging, suggesting weaker real demand. Although ETFs once fueled gains, some weeks show professional asset managers pulling back, slowing the rally.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by LegendSince
$5 Billion Nvidia & Intel Deal = Moon?Key Drivers of the Rally Fed Rate Cut The Federal Reserve cut short‐term interest rates by 25 basis points this week — the first rate cut in a while. That typically boosts equities because borrowing costs fall, making future earnings more valuable. The cut also signalled that further easing might be possible, which increases optimism about slower financing conditions ahead. Strong Tech & AI Sentiment Tech names, especially those involved in AI, chip manufacturing, cloud, data centres, have had good news. For example, Nvidia & Intel made a joint investment/partnership plan which lifted Intel heavily and helped boost tech indices. Nvidia is buying $5 billion of Intel common stock at $23.28/share, which gives Nvidia about a 4% stake in Intel. This comes after recent government investment in Intel (the U.S. got a ~10% stake) to shore up its competitive position.
CME_MINI:ESZ2025Long
by LegendSince
Dollar Index Holding Up But GBPUSD Might Change That...Dollar = Relative Game, Not Absolute Dollar Index isn’t just the USD — it’s USD vs a basket (mainly EUR, JPY, GBP). If the Fed cuts but ECB, BOE, and BOJ are also leaning dovish, the relative advantage doesn’t change; USD stays steady. The dollar has been consolidating because macro signals are mixed (Fed easing vs US resilience, inflation uncertainty, global growth divergence), and the euro/yen/GBP balance out. The market is waiting for a clear catalyst — usually a Fed decision, inflation report, or geopolitical shock to break the range.
TVC:DXYLong
by LegendSince
Interest Rates Dropped... Why Is Yields Rising?Why Yields Can Rise After a Rate Cut When people say “interest rates dropped,” they usually mean central bank policy rates (like the Fed cutting rates). But bond yields (like US10Y) are set in the open market, based on supply/demand and expectations about inflation, growth, and future rate paths. Rate cuts can be inflationary: Lower borrowing costs can stimulate spending and growth, which raises inflation expectations → investors demand higher yields. Market front-running: If the cut was already priced in, traders may rotate out of bonds (selling pushes prices down, yields up).
TVC:US10YLong
by LegendSince
Silver To The Mooooon!!Several factors have come together to make silver especially attractive. Expectations of Fed Rate Cuts / Lower Real Yields Markets are increasingly pricing in Federal Reserve rate cuts, which reduces the opportunity cost of holding non‐yielding assets like silver. Real yields (yields adjusted for inflation) have been weak or falling, making silver more appealing. Weak U.S. Dollar When the USD weakens, commodities priced in dollars become cheaper for holders of other currencies, boosting demand. Safe-Haven / Inflation Hedge Demand Geopolitical risks, economic uncertainty, and fears of inflation make precious metals attractive. Silver benefits both as an industrial metal and a hedge to some degree. The gold-to-silver ratio is unusually high, which many see as signalling that silver is “cheap” relative to gold, suggesting more upside potential.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by LegendSince
Fed Funds Rate Drop By 0.25% Might Not Be Enough....US10Y Yields on the US 10-year Treasury rose close to 3bps to 4.06% on Friday, holding just above the 5-month lows hit in the prior session, as markets grew increasingly confident the Fed will resume rate cuts next week. Market participants are currently anticipating the equivalent of two to three quarter-point cuts by year-end, while some participants are wagering on a larger half-point move next week. What Can We Expect Going Forward: - Unusually High Volatility - High Probability Liquidity Sweep - Yields Catch Retail Offside Areas Of Interest: - Short-Term Draw To Weekly Buyside @ 4.103% - Potential To Reach Up Into 4.151% Equilibrium Before or 30 Mins After Announcement - Long-Term Sellside Draw Through 3.996%, Targeting 3.987% - 3.822% HTF Discount Inefficiency (Assuming Rates Drop .25 - .50 Basis Points) 10-Year T-Note: What To Expect Going Forward: - High Probability For BISI Inefficiencies To Fill - High Volatility Throughout The Week - Potential For A Stop Raid Areas Of Interest: - 31st Mar 25, NWOG Discount @ 113'00'0 - 112'30'0 BISI Low - 112'29'5 - 112'26'0 Weekly Volume Imbalance
TVC:US10YLong
by LegendSince