Candlestick Analysis
The Dollar's Demise May Not Be Over Just YetThe US dollar index is on track for its worst week in nearly two and a half years. It is also nearly 6% off from the January high, which is similar in depth to the two previous selloffs seen in 2023 and 2024. Yet I do not think we've seen the low just yet, even if there is evidence of a potential bounce on the daily chart.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
BTC getting bullish closes on daily after a mean fib retestGet your eyes back to the sky after receiving the double bottom retest using last weeks levels as support 🎯 As we like to keep it simple using previous candle levels as support or resistance, we can expect all levels closed over to act as Break and Retest (BAR Method) points to hold us up.
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EUR GBP & DXY Update--DXY Tanking as expectedFrom pre-new year analysis we expected by the printout that last year's high would be purged for liquidity and then we would fall out of the old imbalanced short range 🔑
Voila, what else could we expect. We are always on point with long term analysis.
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EURUSD - End of February Analysis- Although EURUSD has seen a successful bullish delivery this month, it has been more indecisive than GBPUSD as Januarys highs is still in tact
- I still got eyes on a longer term draw up to 1.06 - 1.07 but for now, its best to play within the ranges.
- Bullish going forward but cautious of lower time frame PD arrays. Not afraid to change my bias.
GBPUSD - End of February Analysis- Successful bullish delivery up to 1.27
- As the dollar weakens, i expect to see further attempts for GBPUSD to attack the 1.27 zone.
- Monthly FVG // BISI present long opportunities to as long as dollar continues to see weakness
-Expecting bullish price action going into the next couple of months
Dollar Index - End of February Analysis- Below the opening price of the 3-month bullish order block, a monthly BISI @ 104.636 – 105.420 presents itself
- Failed to see last months high taken out all whilst trading into the 6-month SIBI. Last months lows has been taken although price closed inside the previous. months range
- Studying a draw to February's low @ 106.126 as the 1st point of interest
- Monthly candle body closure above the midpoint of Februarys high and open will negate this idea.
US10Y - End of February Analysis- February bearish monthly bias has been achieved this month!
- Sellside liquidity rests below 4.126%
- The possibility still exists for a short-term bullish retracement filling part of the imbalance this months candle created.
- Looking out for a retracement then capitulation through Sellside liquidity @ 4.126%
- Fair value gap lays close @ 3.932% – 4.170% so I will be paying close attention to it.
Gold resuming it's usual bullish narrativeAs we always say, after a bullish daily close, we will remain bullish until a bearish daily close. With that being said, there was def a short opportunity today after reaching our buyside goal.
We will continue to track the development here and keep you on point with expectations.
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Gold back to it's normal bullish programAs we always say, after a bullish daily close, we will remain bullish until a bearish daily close. With that being said, there was def a short opportunity today after reaching our buyside goal.
We will continue to track the development here and keep you on point with expectations.
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NAS & Indices are continuing to meltAll the indices are still seeking correction of inefficiencies existing in the sellside. There isn't much else to be said of this current situation until we start receiving bullish closes on higher time frame 4H/Daily.
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YM (March 2025) - End of February Analysis- Closed out this month bearish, tickling all time highs but with more uncertainty than ever before. Februarys price range closed inside the previous monthly range
- 42605 bullish monthly order block in my scopes
- Playing the short term ranges going into March is the best solution as the monthly timeframe is indecisive
NQ (March 2025) - End of February Analysis- Feb candle gapped lower, rallied and attacked January’s monthly highs before closing inside of the lower encroachment of Jan’s wick low and close. Indicates weakness
- Efficient delivery to the upside means I can rely on the last up-close candles as a PD array to expect price to support it to the upside
- Monthly bias closed bearish
ES (March 2025) - End of February Analysis- 5807 monthly bullish order block pending if we see downside movement
- 1 month FVG // BISI @ 5669 – 5724 of interest if we are to close below 5807
- Februarys high created new all-time highs but price quickly declined shortly after. Suggests short term weakness- Monthly bias was bearish as ES has closed bearish this month






















