DAX, FTSE Update: Bears Regain ControlMomentum has finally come my way, which has seen bears reclaim control of the DAX and FTSE 100. And I suspect they'll retain control for a while longer. Today I update my levels and outlook for both markets.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com (part of StoneX).
Candlestick Analysis
Fed Funds Rate Drop By 0.25% Might Not Be Enough....US10Y
Yields on the US 10-year Treasury rose close to 3bps to 4.06% on Friday, holding just above the 5-month lows hit in the prior session, as markets grew increasingly confident the Fed will resume rate cuts next week.
Market participants are currently anticipating the equivalent of two to three quarter-point cuts by year-end, while some participants are wagering on a larger half-point move next week.
What Can We Expect Going Forward:
- Unusually High Volatility
- High Probability Liquidity Sweep
- Yields Catch Retail Offside
Areas Of Interest:
- Short-Term Draw To Weekly Buyside @ 4.103%
- Potential To Reach Up Into 4.151% Equilibrium Before or 30 Mins After Announcement
- Long-Term Sellside Draw Through 3.996%, Targeting 3.987% - 3.822% HTF Discount Inefficiency
(Assuming Rates Drop .25 - .50 Basis Points)
10-Year T-Note:
What To Expect Going Forward:
- High Probability For BISI Inefficiencies To Fill
- High Volatility Throughout The Week
- Potential For A Stop Raid
Areas Of Interest:
- 31st Mar 25, NWOG Discount @ 113'00'0
- 112'30'0 BISI Low
- 112'29'5 - 112'26'0 Weekly Volume Imbalance
Yen Pairs Falter at Technical Junctures Several yen pairs have stalled around resistance levels, despite solid rallies into them. But whether this could indicate the beginning of a deep pullback or eventual bullish breakout likely hinges on whether incoming data points towards a hard or soft landing in the US. Today I look out EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, CHF/JPY and CAD/JPY crosses, and update analysis on USD/JPY.
Matt Simpson, market Analyst at City Index
The 3 Step Rocket Booster Strategy ExplainedIn this video i show you
the rocket booster strategy + Fibonacci levels.
So what is the rocket booster strategy:
It has 3 steps:
1-The price has to be below the 50 ema
2-The price has to be below the 200 ema
3-The price should gap down
In this video we see the bearish engulfing pattern
and the falling 3 soldiers patterns.
Watch this video to learn more.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies.Also feel free to use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money.
Stock Index: The AI Bubble That Will Burst!ES
S&P 500 futures finishes up 0.23% as economic slowdown worries cloud rate-cut optimism. From a technical perspective, this week marks the third consecutive where ES has been trading inside of 11 Aug 25 bullish spinning top candle indicating weakness of bulls after reaching uncharted territory of $6,541.75 all-time highs.
Such signs point to a short-term retracement down into discount arrays but I am not here trying to guess the top. If it does occur, $6,355.00 is an area of interest but on an overall basis, I want to be neutral until Sunday’s opening price / opening gap.
NQ
Nasdaq follows with a 0.93% gain but with the same issue of price trading within a range, in this case, since the 4th Aug 25 weekly bullish marabozu was printed, I would not want to put my money on a continued run as of yet. Preeing short-term retracements with a discount array @ $22,781.75 is being watched closely and for the time being, I want to be neutral
YM
Dow Jones closes -0.37% lower this week with the intermediate highs of $45,887 still in tact. Will the monthly buyside liquidity pool be used to suck in unexpected bull traders before repricing to HTF discount arrays?
If I am to see a decline in the 3 stock index pairs, YM will be the pair to lookout for as the front-running market.
Dollar Index - How Low Can We Really Go?The U.S. dollar is having the kind of year that makes you check if someone switched its medication — down about 10% so far in 2025, its worst showing since Richard Nixon murdered the gold standard.
Momentum traders had a field day this week with low resistance from 98.100 to 97.500 within one trading session.
This draw towards sell side liquidity was covered in the previous analysis and if you participated in the short play this week, you should be proud of yourself!
GBPUSD and EURUSD (the only 2 FX pairs I track) rallied on dollar weakness, targeting premium arrays on the 1-hour timeframe.
Although my overall bias for dollar index is bearish which will provide risk on scenarios, it does not mean every single week will print limit down. Retracements are expected. For this reason, I am playing it safe by being neutral.
Visa (V) Buy Signal: 3-Step Rocket Booster StrategyVisa (V) Buy Signal – Daily Trigger + Weekly Pullback + Rocket Booster 🚀💳📈
Visa Inc. (V) NYSE:V is flashing a compelling buy signal, supported by daily price action, weekly momentum readings, and long-term trend confirmation via the Rocket Booster Strategy.
Step 1 – Daily Candlestick: Bullish Signal
On the daily chart, Visa is showing bullish candlestick formations, including long lower shadows that confirm buyers are stepping in to defend support. This provides the entry trigger.
Step 2 – Weekly Oscillators: Sell / Strong Sell
The weekly oscillator rating is currently in Sell / Strong Sell territory. This highlights short-term momentum weakness, which in the context of a bigger
uptrend often creates an ideal buy-the-dip scenario. Traders can use this temporary pullback as an opportunity to position before momentum flips back upward.
Step 3 – Monthly Moving Averages: Rocket Booster Strategy (Strong Buy / Buy)
On the monthly timeframe, Visa shows a Strong Buy / Buy rating on moving averages. This is the Rocket Booster Strategy in action: the long-term trend is
powerful and acts like a booster, propelling prices higher once short-term weakness fades.
The Buy Case for Visa
Daily Candlestick → Bullish trigger (buyers defending support)
Weekly Oscillator → Pullback offering better entry levels
Rocket Booster (Monthly MAs) → Long-term trend remains strongly bullish
This multi-timeframe alignment makes Visa a high-probability candidate for further upside.
Trade Idea
Entry Zone: Near current levels or on dips
Stop-Loss: Below recent daily lows
Profit Targets: Previous swing highs and psychological resistance levels
The combination of a daily entry trigger, weekly pullback, and monthly Rocket Booster creates a textbook buy setup.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading and investing carry risks. Always practice on a demo account first , and develop solid risk management and profit-taking strategies before committing real capital.
Charts In 3 Steps-Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Buy Signal – Trend Resumes Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Buy Signal – Trend Resumes After Pullback ₿🚀
Bitcoin is also flashing a buy signal when viewed with the same 3-step system, showing strong confluence across timeframes.
Step 1 – Daily Candlestick: Bullish Reversal
On the daily chart, Bitcoin has printed a bullish engulfing/rejection candle, suggesting buyers have stepped in aggressively after a recent pullback. This is a strong reversal signal.
Step 2 – Weekly Oscillators: Sell / Strong Sell
The weekly oscillator rating is showing Sell / Strong Sell. This may appear bearish at first glance, but in the context of Bitcoin’s structural uptrend, it
signals a short-term dip that may provide an attractive entry zone before momentum turns bullish again.
Step 3 – Monthly Moving Averages: Strong Buy / Buy
On the monthly chart, Bitcoin remains firmly in a Strong Buy / Buy rating above its key moving averages. This confirms that the long-term uptrend remains strong, and pullbacks should be treated as buying opportunities.
✅ Daily Candlestick → Bullish reversal
✅ Weekly Oscillator → Temporary weakness offering entry
✅ Monthly MAs → Long-term bullish structure
Trade Idea: Traders may look for long entries on confirmation candles, with
stops below the daily reversal low. Profit targets could be staged toward recent highs and key psychological levels like $75,000 and beyond.
Disney (DIS) Buy Signal – Pullback Creates Opportunity 🎬📈
Disney (DIS) is flashing a fresh buy opportunity backed by multi-timeframe alignment in the 3-step trading system.
Step 1 – Daily Candlestick: Bullish Pattern
On the daily chart, Disney has printed bullish candlestick signals, including rejection wicks showing buyers defending support levels. This confirms demand is stepping in at lower prices.
Step 2 – Weekly Oscillators: Sell / Strong Sell
The weekly oscillator rating is in Sell / Strong Sell territory. This reflects short-term momentum weakness, but in the context of a bullish backdrop, this
pullback is often the perfect setup for positioning early before momentum swings back upward.
Step 3 – Monthly Moving Averages: Strong Buy / Buy
On the monthly timeframe, moving averages are firmly in Strong Buy / Buy mode. This confirms that the long-term trend is bullish and the bigger picture supports higher prices ahead.
✅ Daily Candlestick → Bullish trigger
✅ Weekly Oscillator → Short-term weakness = buy-the-dip setup
✅ Monthly MAs → Long-term trend intact and rising
Trade Idea: Traders may consider entering on dips with stops below recent daily lows. Potential upside targets include previous resistance zones and long-term highs.
⚠️ Disclaimer: These analyses are for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading stocks, forex, or crypto carries risks. Always test strategies on a demo account first , and make sure to use proper risk management and profit-taking strategies to protect your capital.
Trend Analysis with 3 Timeframes – D/W/M Trend Analysis with Three Timeframes – D/W/M 📊
You probably looked at this price action and thought: “That doesn’t look like a good buy signal.”
Honestly, I thought the same thing.
In this video, we’re diving into trend analysis, focusing on three timeframes: Daily, Weekly, and Monthly (D/W/M) .
👉 How come only these?
Because that’s what TradingView offers on the FREE plan. And trust me—it’s enough to give you a clear mid-term picture of the market.
If you want faster returns from day trading, you’ll need access to lower timeframes. That means:
Either support this content by gifting me a subscription ,
Or get a subscription yourself and replicate this strategy on your own.
⚠️ Of course, if you choose to go solo, it’s at your own risk without coaching from me. And that’s perfectly fine.
But… if you’d like me to personally show you how to day trade, then gifting me a subscription is the easiest way to make that happen.
What This Video Covers
This session is about mid-term trading, which means you can realistically expect to profit within 2 months at best.
And the good news? We’ve identified two trading opportunities:
CAD/JPY forex pair OANDA:CADJPY 💱
DIS (Disney) stock NYSE:DIS 🎬
Inside, you’ll see:
🚀 Rocket Booster Strategy
🕯️ Candlestick Pattern Formation
📈 Momentum Trading in Action
🎥 Watch the video now to understand trend analysis in detail—
and remember to ROCKET BOOST this content if you want to keep learning more.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky. Always practice risk management and profit-taking strategies. Start with a simulation account before risking real money.
MOMENTUM...THE CHARTS BIGGEST CLUES...IT'S A RECEIPT :)GUYS!! I gave some heat in this educational video! Talking about momentum and how to properly read the charts. I KNOW this will change your trading and life if you guys apply this to your analysis. So please watch the video to the end. Simple but powerful
and show some love if this brought any value to you!!
Cheers!
How to Trade Morning Star and Evening Star Candlestick Patterns Learn to identify and trade Morning Star and Evening Star candlestick formations using TradingView’s charting tools in this detailed tutorial from Optimus Futures.
Morning and Evening Stars are powerful reversal patterns that often mark turning points in the market. Recognizing them can help you anticipate when momentum is about to shift—and take advantage of new trading opportunities.
What You’ll Learn:
• How Morning Stars signal bullish reversals at the end of a downtrend
• How Evening Stars indicate bearish reversals after extended uptrends
• The three-candle structure of each pattern and what it means for trader psychology
• Why indecision candles (like dojis) play a critical role in confirming momentum shifts
• Using volume confirmation to validate Morning and Evening Star setups
• The importance of context: spotting these patterns at major support and resistance levels
• Setting effective stop losses at the high/low of the pattern for risk control
• Advanced entry tactic: waiting for retracement after confirmation to optimize risk/reward
This tutorial may help futures traders and technical analysts who want to harness candlestick reversal signals to identify potential market turning points.
The strategies covered could assist you in creating structured setups when strong buying or selling pressure appears at key chart levels.
Learn more about futures trading with TradingView:
optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer:
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objective
VIX Futures Positioning Sends Volatility Smoke SignalsIf real money exposure to the futures market is any guide, the VIX may be at or near a cycle low — implying that higher volatility could be on the horizon for Wall Street. Should a significant catalyst emerge, it could ripple through risk appetite across multiple asset classes.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at Forex.com and City Index.
August 24, Forex Outlook: What Can Traders Expect This Week?Welcome back, traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes.
Pairs to focus on this Week:
USDJPY
USDCAD
EURGBP
EURJPY
GBPCHF
NZDCHF
USDCHF
Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence.
📊 What to Expect in This Video:
1. Higher timeframe trend analysis
2. Key zones of interest and potential setups
3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes
4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next
Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights!
Have a great week ahead, God bless you!
The Architect 🏛️📉
August 11, Forex Outlook: Key Market Expectations for the Week!Welcome back, traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes.
Pairs to focus on this Week:
USDCAD
EURGBP
EURJPY
GBPCHF
USDCHF
NZDCHF
EURNZD
Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence.
📊 What to Expect in This Video:
1. Higher timeframe trend analysis
2. Key zones of interest and potential setups
3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes
4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next
Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights!
Have a great week ahead, God bless you!
The Architect 🏛️📉
August 11, Forex Outlook: What to Expect from This Weeks TradingWelcome back, traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes.
Pairs to focus on this Week:
USDCAD
EURGBP
EURJPY
GBPCHF
USDCHF
NZDCHF
EURNZD
Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence.
📊 What to Expect in This Video:
1. Higher timeframe trend analysis
2. Key zones of interest and potential setups
3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes
4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next
Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights!
Have a great week ahead, God bless you!
The Architect 🏛️📉
EU Scalp (wrong bias) - Trump speech Came into the day with a neutral bias looking for some kind of retracement deeper into the hourly leg.
After a bearish London with bearish H1 order flow showing (H1 wicks + rejecting the Order block) we sell our liquidity shakeout right in the middle of New York session.
It's really got me interested was how close we came to the daily DOL (or so I thought) before retracing






















