Candlestick Analysis
Trading Day SummaryTrading Day Summary
Today wasn’t a winning day on the books, but it was a major win in discipline.
I hit my daily loss limit before 10 AM, stopped live trading, and switched over to paper trades to protect my capital.
The setups I took—especially in Gold and Euro—lacked full confirmation, and one overnight trade didn’t align with my plan.
I experienced around $200 in slippage, which added to the loss.
The bright side? I stayed in control. No revenge trades. No emotional spirals.
My paper trade afterward was textbook—5R+ potential. That tells me the strategy is sound. Execution and timing just need to be sharper.
Bottom line: this is a marathon, not a sprint. I’m proud of the discipline and the mindset. Tomorrow, we reset and refocus.
Mid-Session Market ReviewMid-Session Market Review
S&P 500: After some initial volatility from the 8:30 news, the market accepted above the prior day’s levels but has since pulled back within range, consolidating just below the highs.
NASDAQ: The NASDAQ remains above all of yesterday’s levels and is currently balancing between the high of the day and the 23,100 level, showing a rotational pattern.
Russell 2000: This market is rotational within the prior day’s range and has accepted below the CVA and PVA. Potential trade opportunities might come with a pullback to the 2,245 area.
Gold: Gold has accepted below the prior value area and is still rotational within the CVA. Trade opportunities could present themselves near the prior day’s low.
Crude Oil: The market is quite choppy, hovering around the prior day’s low and value area low. Caution is advised, with potential long opportunities on a pullback, as long as conditions align.
Euro Dollar: The Euro is dropping significantly, moving below all key levels without much respect for them. This could provide short opportunities if there’s a pullback.
Yen: Similar to the Euro, the Yen is also pushing below previous levels. It’s getting choppy near the CVA low, so caution is needed until it shows more respect for those levels.
Natural Gas: The market is rotational within the prior day’s range and respecting the CVA high. Long opportunities might be possible if conditions are right.
Aussie Dollar: It’s showing some respect for the CVA low and is still rotational. There could be a potential long setup forming, depending on how it plays out.
British Pound: The Pound has accepted below all key levels, and a pullback to the CVA low might provide short opportunities, though caution is needed around the VWAP.
End-of-Session Market ReviewToday was a solid trading day with some interesting moves across the markets:
S&P 500: The market trended upwards from the open, gradually moving into and above the prior day’s value area, closing near the high of that range.
NASDAQ 100: After some initial back-and-forth, it climbed above the prior day’s high and value area, showing strength into the close.
Russell 2000: This market was quite choppy and balanced for a good part of the session, but eventually pushed up to close near the prior value area high.
Gold: It stayed range-bound, moving between the CVA high and the prior day’s value area without breaking out.
Crude Oil: We saw a significant drop right from the start, with prices falling about 1.5 points and ending the day lower, though still within the prior day’s range.
Euro Dollar: It tested the CVA low, dipped below the prior day’s low, and then bounced back to close around that level.
Yen Dollar: It started near the prior value area low, accepted below it by midday, and remained balanced in that lower range.
Aussie Dollar: Initially, it held above the CVA area and tested a higher level before sharply dropping below the prior day’s low and then balancing in that lower area.
In total, I took eight trades today. Two of them were in the Yen, both valid setups that didn’t work out and ended in stop-outs. I also took some long trades in the Aussie Dollar that I probably could have avoided since the market was choppy.
On the positive side, I managed risk well and ended up with two winning trades that put me in the green by about $1,200. Overall, I’d rate today as an A- day. Moving forward, I’ll focus on staying out of choppy markets, paying attention to the developing value area, and possibly using Heikin Ashi bars for better clarity.
Mid-Session Market InsightsMid-Session Market Insights
In today's session, I'm closely monitoring eight different futures markets: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, Gold, Crude Oil, Euro Dollar, Yen Dollar, and Aussie Dollar.
S&P 500: We're seeing a rotational pattern within the prior day's value area and the CVA. I'm eyeing long opportunities from the prior value area low up to the high.
NASDAQ 100: The market is a bit choppy around the PVA and CVA highs, with a slight upward intraday trend. I'm staying cautious here.
Russell 2000: Also choppy, but we've got acceptance within the CVA. I'm looking for long opportunities from the CVA low, which aligns with the prior day's low.
Euro Dollar: I'm currently short from the CVA high, with the first target at the prior day's low. We've broken below the prior value area, so I'll trail this trade and see how it develops.
Yen Dollar: It’s been a bit of a mixed bag. I took a short below the CVA and prior day's low, got stopped out, but it was still a decent setup.
Aussie Dollar: I took some long positions that weren't the best setups, as it was quite choppy near the CVA high and prior day's low. Lesson learned for next time.
Crude Oil: I took a short from the CVA and PVA highs, hit my target at the low of those areas, and we’re currently hovering around that level.
Forex Weekly Round-Up: DXY, GBPUSD, EURUSDKey Price Zones (DXY): 97.422 - 97.685
🟦 DXY (Dollar Index):
On paper, USD had a strong week:
🔹 Durable Goods smashed expectations (+8.6% vs 0.5%)
🔹 PMIs, GDP Price Index, and Jobless Claims came in solid
But the market ignored it:
🔻 Consumer Confidence disappointed (93.0 vs 99.4)
🏠 New Home Sales missed
🕊️ Fed Chair Powell stayed soft — no aggressive tightening talk
Result?
Despite strong fundamentals, DXY broke down, sweeping daily lows and printing fresh bearish structure.
It’s now down ~10% YTD — the worst first half in over 50 years.
📈 EURUSD & GBPUSD: Holding Strong Despite Weak Data
EURUSD
German Retail Sales: –1.6%
Import Prices: –0.7%
ECB tone: muted
Still, EURUSD held daily support and gained — thanks to broad USD weakness.
GBPUSD
Current Account widened (–£23.5B), GDP unchanged
No standout UK catalyst
Yet GBPUSD held its ground and edged higher as DXY continued to fall.
🧠 What This Tells Us
Strong data isn’t always enough.
When price action, market sentiment, and liquidity targets align — they override the numbers.
Stock Index: ES, NQ, YM Weekly Update📈 S&P 500, Nasdaq & Dow Jones – All-Time Highs, But Caution Creeping In
🟩 S&P 500 | Nasdaq | Dow Jones
All three indices hit new all-time highs to close out June.
Powered by:
🔋 AI optimism
💰 Solid earnings
🕊️ Dovish Fed tone and falling bond yields
SPX continued its breakout run
Nasdaq surged as big tech led the charge
Dow followed with slower but steady strength
⚠️ But Watch the Signs Beneath the Surface
Consumer confidence dropped sharply
Home sales weakened
Fed speakers remained non-committal on cuts
All three indices now look extended — particularly Nasdaq
Momentum remains bullish, but these rallies are now resting on softening macro, yield compression, and hope that the Fed stays on hold.
🧠 Key Takeaway
Price action is euphoric — but fundamentals are flashing mixed signals.
When tech leads the market at extremes, volatility risk is elevated.
Exact Entry Levels & Profit Potential (July 3, 2025)🎯 Market Structure Breakdown – Exact Entry Levels & Profit Potential (July 3, 2025)
📊 In today’s session, I revisit the market for the second time – and you’ll see why I’m ruling out some setups altogether. There’s value in looking twice. What did I miss earlier? It's all in the structure.
I break down price action step by step, highlight precise entry zones, and show where the real potential for movement lies. Clean levels, no guessing.
⚠️ Note: I don’t trade the first 10 seconds – all orders are placed after 9:30:10 and I'm looking for entries only until 11:30:00.
👉 Check out the full breakdown and stay ahead of the game.
NASDAQ:AMZN
NYSE:ANET
NASDAQ:AVGO
NYSE:BA
NASDAQ:COIN
NASDAQ:CZR
NYSE:DELL
NASDAQ:GOOG
NASDAQ:MSFT
NASDAQ:AMD
NASDAQ:RKLB
NASDAQ:SBUX
NASDAQ:SMCI
NYSE:VRT
NASDAQ:NVDA
EU trade breakdown 24th June 2x entryBreaking down two of my positions from Tuesday.
First entry was a very aggressive momentum entry on the flip of a M3 imbalance.
Second entry was fantastic and even though it lost - it was a good trade to take. We had HTF alignment as well as a strong London Low to trade away from.
Stock Index Futures - ES, NQ, YM - Weekly AnalysisS&P 500 / ESU2025
Key drivers:
Rebounding from April’s tariff-induced lows, boosted by optimism around U.S.–China trade, easing geopolitical tensions, and Fed rate‑cut expectations
Market breadth strengthened as sectors beyond mega-cap tech—especially financials and industrials—joined the rally
Nasdaq / NQU2025
Catalysts:
Continued leadership from AI/digital giants like Nvidia (which rose ~4% on Friday and regained its title as the world’s most valuable company) alongside broader tech momentum
Dow Jones / YMU2025
Highlights:
Strongest weekly performance since early April.
Corporate earnings (e.g., Nike’s better-than-expected report) provided sector-specific tailwinds.
Cross‑asset momentum: Equities rebounded strongly from April’s slump, logging back-to-back months of double-digit gains—fuelled by tariff ease, geopolitical calm, and dovish Fed signals.
Vigilance required: While sentiment is strong, potential catalysts include the July 9 deadline on tariff pauses, upcoming jobs data, Fed commentary, and the tax/spending package.
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I will be approaching the markets differently from now on.
Based on the feedback from past analysis, I will be compiling all related pairs into one video, giving you guys the ability to see how one asset affects the other.
This is called inter-market relationship and it's something i've been doing for years.
It gives you confidence on what pairs are 'Hot Picks' and the ones that have a high chance of not delivering the way you want.
Last week of June EU outlookWeekly forecast for EU. We have seen a very bullish June so far. We approached a weekly POI before starting to consolidate.
We are now entering the last week of the month where the monthly candle's upper wick needs to be formed.
In this video I have identified a potential area where we could see the pullback take place.






















