The Fed chairman has given the market a very important clue on 13 Dec 22. At what level will he consider an interest rate cut? He said “I wouldn't see us considering rate cuts until the committee is confident that inflation is moving down to 2% in a sustained way,” meaning only if CPI is heading nearing 2% then it is hopeful to see a rate cut. Market consensus...
lets look at 150 years of stock prices and see how valuation with inflation played out, and apply the "rule of 20" as a guide. The rule of 20 is a benchmark regression that essential says when PEs and cpi inflation are added together they should be under 20 for stocks to be attractive historically. SPX DJI QQQ NASDAQ:NDX GOLD
As long as inflationary expectations remained low after Jerome's last speech where he spoke about softening the increase in interest rates, which may or may not be the case, there is a good chance that inflation ticks down. This would confirm a 50bp hike for December, easing monetary policy and providing room for equities to continue their rally. While I think a...
Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! **EURUSD - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your...
Putting into practice techniques learned, mastering on demo, managed to execute some timely traders in Gold and Oil at really nice entry and exit levels. These are definitely ones for the playbook for the future.
The breakdown is recent and a longer-term continuation should be confirmed by an acceleration below the aforementioned descending supports. Notice I work with channel lines only. Questions are welcome.
Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard Nasr, as known as theSignalyst. 83 out of 500 days done. I truly appreciate your continuous support everyone! Let me know if you like the series, and if you would like me to change or add anything. Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good Luck!. All...
Top down analysis on DXY and US30 ahead of todays inflation data.
Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! **USDJPY - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your...
Content: • Why CPI could be at the beginning of a rally? • On 14 Dec 21, Fed: “Inflation is not transitory” changes everything • Strategy to counter inflation Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader,...
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Will the Fed responsibly consider the dis-inflationdata coming in? Or will they continue to try to please the market demands?
Under the US dollar pressure, EURUSD has been making lower lows and lower highs recently. However, RSI on the monthly chart is oversold for the 3rd time in this century. MACD is showing bullish divergence on multiple timeframes, and the EURUSD on H4 has just achieved a higher high this time with 5 impulse waves: the ABC correction is clear on the chart, wave C is...
SPX reacted negatively to higher than expected CPI data. month over month was more than expected. year over year CPI , the headline most of us like to chat about is at 8.3%. SPX VIX DXY
Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! **USDCAD - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your...
Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! **EURUSD - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your...
Where are the meat or commodity prices heading? Meat prices have been rising at a rate of about 3% per annual over the last 40 years. Meat is what I classified as an edible commodity, so is corn, wheat and rice. And as these commodities start picking up in prices, they are the one that will give the central banks a huge headache and to consider to hike its...
Traders, talk about disinflation and a bull market seems contradictory. But is it? I'll explain why disinflationary indicators may mean we see the S&P at previous or even new highs going forward before we recede once again into a true bear market.