The new CDSP numbers are in for the previous quarter (consumer debt as percentage of household disposable income) . Large spike up in consumer debt loads as people are burning through their last cash and borrowing to keep up their life style before the crash. Goldman-Sachs claims that retail has unloaded their positions from the bull run. Thanks to...
The only other time the 9EMA crossed under the 21EMA on the monthly was the 2000 Dot Com & 2008 Great Financial Crisis. (Noted with the blue + symbols & down arrows). Each time, the RSI was near 50. Each time, the ADX indicator has been lower than the preceding level (in the 20s, WEAK - NO TREND. The massive drop in monthly volume should be noted. When the...
Sometime in early Q2 of 2024 the Bitcoin network will experience it's fourth supply cut, Economically I am seeing rapid cooldown of inflation with month over month inflation currently sitting at -0.10 month over month 5 year forward expectation rate of inflation as of today is currently sitting at 2.16 only 16 basis points away from 2% target in my opinion...
Historically, gold and gold related stocks dont do well until the money supply needs to be expanded. When the central bank decides they need more printing and more debt, they devalue the dollar and tax the holder of currency. US debt and m2 is so large relative to the GDP, the central banks will need to relieve the bottleneck of money and increase money...
Saw the red line! It is now hit the 4th time by the market. Although oil has come down from 130 to 80 USD per barrel giving some relief to the oil-dependent economies and inflation is also in a downtrend, the problem is worse and deeper. This alarming deeper problem is US debt which is now 137% of the GDP. Imagine it was hardly 67% in 2008 during the financial...
Private foreigners have purchased just over half a trillion - yes, Trillion - LT USTs in the past six months (sorry, no #brettonwoods3) Why such huge demand for safe, liquid US$ instruments? Not a whole lot of trust for the Fed's toolkit and use. © Jeff Snider What is the reaction to buying UST's? The yields come lower. Interest rates come lower. What does the...
The current level of euphoria and speculation on Wall Street is likely to go down in history in the same way that the misplaced optimism of speculators in 1929 was immortalized by the tremendous crash and ensuing depression. The current dynamics at play are more similar to that period than most realize. Many potential catalysts for the Global Financial Crisis...
!!!CAUTION ONLY BIG BRAINS FROM HERE ON OUT!!! White: US 10 Year Bond Yield Orange: US Debt to GDP Blue: US yoy inflation "Inflation transfers wealth from creditors to borrowers for all sorts of nominal debt, not just government debt." -- Christopher J. Neely, Vice President at St. Louis Fed. What is the Great Reset? Is it a new 1929 Crash, a new Great...
Another weak day for $TNX This should be higher BUT why not?! Serious negative divergence too #FED & worldwide #CentralBanks have made commitment to buy debt OR Maybe 75bps won't make it for whatever reason? Hmmm
Lets take a look at the historical charts to compare silver to other mountains of money to gauge value. Is silver cheap or is it expensive? how would we know. Lets investigate and form an opinion. SILVER SLV GOLD GLD CEF
This shows expected interest payments as a moving average divergence around current interest payments which acts as a moving average that is delayed by one to two years. Anyways, the current "future" interest payments as calculated by the US05Y yield have never had a larger divergence from current payments. It is expected that in one to two years, US interest...
heres my american debt chart its finally approaching the stoploss and im hoping we go down for a while----if not I will try a few other things and see if it will go down more then-- just trying the basics----for now
#10 Mortgages The chart below shows the average single-family U.S. home price multiplied by the 30-year fixed mortgage rate. This chart attempts to show how dramatically higher the financial burden of home ownership has become in the United States. Using a cross chart allows us to better visualize the rate of change. Each cross represents one month. We...
If u know Elliot wave I’d reccoment testing that count lmfao. Essentially all ratios align perfectly not only through proportions between waves but also through history aligning with these shifts. I provided two retracement which represent the potential pull down of this wave 4 we are most likely in. (The wave 1-3 ratio is 1-2.474 as seen by the blue dotted...
There appears to be a 2-3 year delay between the current debt rates (US) and actually debt payment increases. It seems very likely that debt payments as a percent of tax receipts will go up to 28% similar to 2019 and 2020. What happens after that. It seems unlikely to me that GDP will continue to feed increases in federal tax receipts. 30% and above is next.
It felt like yesterday that Obama Care was the biggest concern on everyones minds. After 1.4 Trillion in healthcare spendings in 2021 and COVID pounding on weaker baby boomer populations has driven total debt into a parabolic upwards trend. War is festering in Ukraine, Wars get expensive. EU is on the brink of an Energy Crisis unlike anyone has seen...
WING has been an interesting story in the restaurant sector over the past 7 years. Wingstop has experienced above-average growth in both top and bottom line figures over this timeframe. Let us explore why this is the case and where the stock may go from here... Fundamentals: WING's fundamentals are nightmarish. Incredibly high levels of debt (likely why WING has...
Consumers are spent. Mean Median Spent _______________________ Observe CC closely as it is a leading Economic Indicator.