Bitcoin, Ethereum Breakout: 401(k) funds & the next "Altseason"Bitcoin is up 10% in August, driven by strong ETF inflows and a game-changing executive order allowing 401(k) retirement funds to invest in cryptocurrencies, potentially bringing trillions of dollars into the sector.
Technically, Bitcoin and Ethereum are breaking out toward multi-year highs, with BTC leading and ETH close behind—setting the stage for a possible "altseason" if these levels hold and capital rotates into altcoins.
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BITCOIN Bullflag and new all-time high ?!BULL FLAG and new all-time high 👀⏰
📇BTC daily-chart (BITSTAMP) and 💡everything important in the chart !
Bitcoin has broken out of its sideways consolidation and has recently successfully tested this channel (bull flag), thereby activating a potential bull flag.
The resulting targets (see example) are based on the low of approximately $98,240 and the sharp rise to the current all-time high of $123,236.
See the flags at the top with the corresponding price-targets 🏁 👀
💥Rising blue diagonal line for the previous support
💥From an indicator perspective, a possible bullish cross is imminent in the MACD-Indicator and bearish momentum may continue to decline ...
💥Finally, the bull flag (textbook) as an example of a chart pattern.
🔥Please also take a look at my last idea, as there are certain similarities based on this...
🎯 If you like this idea, please leave me a 🚀 and follow for updates 🔥⏰
Furthermore, any criticism is welcome as well as any suggestions etc. - You're also very welcome to share this idea.
I wish you a pleasant Sunday and a good start to the week & successful trading decisions 💪
M_a_d_d_e_n ✌
NOTE: The above information represents my idea and is not an investment/trading recommendation! Without any guarantee & exclusion of liability!
UnitedHealth: Deeply oversold but worth a closer lookUnitedHealth (UNH) is the largest private healthcare company in America. Eight million Medicare Advantage members. Optum’s network reaches tens of millions more. It has the data, the reach, and the pricing power. At today’s valuation, it’s worth adding to your watchlist. Forward P/E at 11× versus a five-year average of 14×. Price-to-sales at 0.6×. RSI at levels not seen in decades. Oversold. Under-owned.
Mispriced? Potentially. We must make it very clear that there could be more downside. But upside is also worth considering.
The AI angle is real. UNH’s health data trove is unmatched. AI can strip billions in waste, automating claims, flagging fraud, predicting costly illnesses before they happen. This isn’t science fiction. It’s execution. Done right, it builds margins and widens the moat. Few can play at this scale. UNH can.
Healthcare as a sector trades 20-30% cheaper than the S&P 500. Aging demographics and chronic care demand are long-term tailwinds. A re-rating here could be swift and brutal for anyone short.
Now, the problems. Medical costs are spiking. Medicare Advantage margins are squeezed. Guidance was pulled, and that spooked the market. Leadership turnover added uncertainty.
These are real headwinds. But they’re fixable.
Premium hikes are already being set for 2026. Stephen Hemsley, the architect of UNH’s prior growth, is back. He’s cutting, reviewing, and bringing in outside talent.
Price implications? The market is pricing in permanent damage. That’s why you can buy a market leader at a crisis multiple. If margins recover and AI efficiencies kick in, this stock doesn’t just bounce, it re-rates. The gap from 11× to 14× earnings on UNH’s scale is tens of billions in market cap.
The bear pit is noisy. The bull case is quiet. But it’s there, and it’s strong. Stop losses are important to manage more downside risk.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
BTC Holding Strong: Fibonacci Levels Point to $130KBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is holding above a key dynamic support zone at the lower boundary of its ascending channel, with current price action signaling a potential continuation to the upside. This long setup is supported by multiple bullish confluences.
✅ Bullish Confluences:
Fibonacci Retracement Support: Price respected the 38.2%–61.8% Fib retracement zone between $113,769 and $110,828, confirming a strong demand area.
Trend Structure: Clear higher low formation on the daily chart, maintaining the bullish channel pattern.
EMA Cloud Support: Price remains above the multi-band EMA cloud, showing sustained bullish pressure and trend bias.
Channel Support: Bounce from the ascending channel’s lower trendline, keeping structure intact.
Bullish Candlestick Formation: Daily candle holding above key support with buying pressure evident.
Ideal entry would be between 113k and 114500.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – $123,285 (38.2%): Initial resistance and reaction zone.
TP2 – $126,225 (61.8%): Mid-extension target, aligns with prior swing high zone.
TP3 – $130,983 (100%): Full measured move to the channel top.
SL: Placed just below the 61.8% retracement (~$110,800), protecting against a breakdown of the bullish structure.
BITCOIN DAILY/4HR THE daily trendline and 4hr trendline break out will be watched for forward guidance.
if we break the top layer resistance we buy and target 123k current all time and high and factor the possibility of 135-130k-128k zone for next sell.
And our sell will be on break of steep ascending trendline acting as dynamic support and we will watch 114k and 111.78k zone and further downslide wiill be 90k-100k zone.
zone by zone layer by layer.
the structure of the market is clear ,it will never lie.
trading is 100% probability and you need the mindset of a hunter, dont buy because others are buying.
your risk to reward ratio should be your trade reason.
GOODLUCK
Tesla Roadmap: From $300 Zone to $575Hello traders, here’s my latest analysis on Tesla (TSLA) based on the weekly and daily timeframes. On the weekly chart, I have drawn a downtrend line starting from December 2024, and the recent price action shows a breakout above this line on a weekly close. This breakout is a promising sign that an uptrend may be developing in the medium term.
On the daily chart, we can see a cup & handle pattern forming, which is a bullish continuation structure. However, the daily downtrend drawn from the December 2024 highs remains unbroken, so I will need to see a weekly close above the $332 resistance level to confirm a swing long setup.
My preferred positioning zone for longs is between $300 and $350, using a multi-entry approach to average into the trade. My upside targets are $366, $445, $500, and finally $575. These levels align with inverse Fibonacci projections, with “safety 1” at $360 and “0” at $227, pointing toward the 161, 200, and 261 extensions as key objectives.
For stop-loss placement, patient traders who are willing to hold through volatility may consider a weekly close below $265 as their invalidation point. For faster or more short-term oriented traders, a weekly close below $300 could be used as a tighter stop level. Although I believe it is unlikely for price to drop this far, even if it does, I expect strong buying interest and a potential rebound from the $265 support zone.
Risk management remains crucial for this setup. I recommend not risking more than 10% of your capital, scaling in over multiple entries, and always confirming with your own strategy before committing to the trade. Position sizing and discipline will be key to managing volatility and protecting capital.
NASDAQ:TSLA
VRSK – Bullish Pin Bar at Key Support after Earnings Flush?NASDAQ: VRSK delivered good quarterly results, yet price action showed a sharp flush-down bar breaking below the lower Bollinger Band. Recently, price retested the key previous low level at $262, triggered some small stop-losses, and closed back at $262 with a bullish small pin bar. Double bottom setup on VRSK.
Key factors supporting this level:
1. Flush-down move likely to stop out weak holders.
2. Break below lower Bollinger Band, indicating short-term oversold condition.
3. Stochastic oversold and attempting a bullish cross.
4. Bullish pin bar closing back above support.
EUR/CAD – 93% Traders Are SHORT! Bearish Reversal Brewing?The EUR/CAD pair is currently in a bullish trend, but multiple technical and sentiment signals are pointing toward a possible trend reversal.
🔍 Key Observations:
Trend: Bullish (but losing momentum)
Bearish Divergence: Price making higher highs while RSI indicators show lower highs.
Pattern: Rising Wedge – a classic bearish reversal formation.
Harmonic Analysis: AB=CD pattern is approaching the potential reversal zone (PRZ).
EMA Insight: Price candles have moved across the 20 EMA and 50 EMA, signaling weakening bullish momentum.
Sentiment (Myfxbook.com): 93% of traders are currently short on EUR/CAD — strong crowd bias toward the downside.
📌 Trade Setup:
Bias: Bearish
Strategy: Sell Stop at breakout of previous Higher Low (HL)
Entry Price (EP): Sell Stop @ 1.59755
Stop Loss (SL): 1.60626
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.58884 (R:R = 1:1)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.58013 (R:R = 1:2)
Lot Size: 0.15
Risk: $200 | Potential Reward: $200–$300
💡 Trade Execution Plan:
We will enter only after HL breakout confirmation to avoid false moves. This setup aligns Rising Wedge pattern, Bearish Divergence, EMA cross weakness, Harmonic PRZ zone, and bearish sentiment — a powerful confluence for a potential downside move.
📊 Technical Summary:
Combining price action, chart patterns, harmonics, momentum, and trader sentiment gives this short setup high probability.
📢 Your Turn:
What’s your take on this trade? Will the market follow the 93% bearish sentiment, or could this be a trap?
💬 Drop your analysis in the comments, let’s discuss!
👍 Like, 🔁 Share, and Follow for more trade setups & technical breakdowns.
#EURCAD #Forex #ForexTrading #BearishReversal #PriceAction #HarmonicPatterns #TechnicalAnalysis #EMA #Divergence #TradingView #ChartPatterns #SwingTrading #ForexSetups #ABCDPattern #PriceActionTrading #ForexSignals #RisingWedge #1HRTimeFrame #ForexLife #DayTrading #MarketSentiment #Myfxbook
BILL - 6-10 R:R short-term trade opportunity Here is a multi-time frame analysis and trade idea on BILL. The algorithms are indicating a potential short-term reversal and with a few of our confluences and confirmations, we are able to set up a solid trade.
I left out the weekly view because it's not as relevant for this short-term trade idea - but needless to say, we are in a strong downtrend.
As you'll see on the Daily (left chart), we are respecting a tapered white selling algorithm on the buy-side and potentially proving it on the sell-side today. If this is the case, we have the opportunity to take the trade from the bottom of white to at minimum the top of the stronger teal selling channel.
- Trade 1 is offering a 6 R:R (to the top of teal)
- Trade 2 is offering a 10 R:R (to the top of white)
Keep in mind that if we do break out of teal and prove white on the daily time frame, this would be a very bullish indication and potentially leave us for a breakout trade beyond toward the top of the weekly selling channel.
The major confluence that makes this trade viable is the HTF demand zone (indicated by the green box) that we have just tapped into. While the perfect entry would be on a white hold which we had at today's low of $40.60, for further confirmation, we are waiting for a break and 15 Minute close above the demand zone. We will then enter the position and have a tight stop below our white algorithm and low of day.
If you like this type of analysis and trade ideas, let me know in the comments! I typically post longer-form analysis videos which offer more information and give you the ability to find trades on your own. However, I am happy to offer ideas like these when a good opportunity arises
Happy Trading :)
Tesla Stock Gains After Musk Gets $30 Billion Award — What Now?Tesla board is hoping that the pile of shares would be enough to pin down the CEO and lock down his focus. But challenges are there. Here’s one — $30 billion might not be enough to keep Musk around.
💰 $30 Billion Retention Bonus
Tesla stock NASDAQ:TSLA is up about 4% since the start of the week after the board of directors handed Elon Musk a gift-wrapped, legally-contingent $30 billion stock package .
What’s inside? A cool 96 million shares — nearly enough to buy a small country or, at the very least, keep Musk’s wandering focus in the Tesla lane.
In a letter to shareholders, the board didn’t mince words: “We are confident that this award will incentivize Elon to remain at Tesla. Retaining Elon is more important than ever.” Translation: “Please don’t leave, here’s money.”
This isn’t just about stock awards or executive compensation. It’s about bringing back lost focus and whether the most famous CEO on the planet can be convinced to stop juggling a handful of companies and pay full attention (ok, more attention) to the one that’s public, highly volatile, and still kinda trying to figure out self-driving and robotaxis .
🎢 If the Stock Could Talk
The market’s response? Pretty bullish. Traders seem to like the idea of Musk staying inside the Tesla factory gates — or at least not moonlighting in so many side quests.
After all, Elon’s presence — erratic tweets, spontaneous product reveals, and all — is a core part of Tesla’s brand value. The stock has often behaved more like a crypto coin than a traditional automaker.
Musk already owns over 400 million shares, around 13% of Tesla, worth roughly $125 billion. But he’s gunning for more: his long-stated ambition is 25% voting control (equal to $250 billion in shares based on the current $1 trillion market valuation. This new package edges him closer to that goal. If he can’t own a country, a quarter of Tesla might do.
⚖️ A Legal Complication Worth $56 Billion
There’s one tiny footnote here: if Elon wins back his 2018 $56 billion pay package — the one struck down by a Delaware court — he might have to forfeit this new batch.
So yes, Tesla may have just given the richest man in the world a “Plan B” golden parachute. Or a “Plan A” depending on how Delaware judges are feeling when they decide on it.
🤖 AI, Robots, and Attention Deficits
Let’s not forget what lit the fire under this latest move. Back in January, Elon posted on X that he was “uncomfortable growing Tesla to be a leader in AI & robotics” without more control. It was a public shakedown — and apparently it worked.
Tesla’s ambitious AI goals — full self-driving software, Optimus the humanoid robot, and a suite of other sci-fi-sounding visions and promises — are largely tied to Musk’s personal involvement. Investors know that without him, these projects could end up shelved… or sold to xAI, his other pet project and owner of X (former Twitter).
🧮 The Math of Mega-Pay
Tesla says the accounting value of the package — after subtracting what Musk would have to pay to exercise the options and adjusting for restrictions — sits at about $23.7 billion. That's about the GDP of Malta and only slightly smaller than the SEC’s collective headache every time Musk tweets.
In return, Musk has to stick around for five years — or at least not officially leave. The board hopes that’s enough to keep him engaged. But the question is: How much is enough to counteract everything else going on?
The man’s worth $350 billion to $400 billion (depending on volatility) and if he wants to build Martian houses or dig tunnels under Paris, a few billion dollars aren’t going to make a difference.
🔀 A Shifting CEO, A Shaky Business?
It’s not just about Elon’s attention span. Tesla’s business hasn’t exactly been smooth sailing. The EV market is more crowded than ever. Sales are dropping in Europe. Tariff threats are buzzing in the background.
On top of that, it’s the earnings season and the Earnings calendar is hot to the touch. In recent quarters, Elon’s perceived absence from the factories have coincided with slumping revenue and nervous investors.
Add in the fact that Elon just exited the Trump administration after a brief stint and dramatic fallout — yes, that happened — and Tesla investors are understandably hoping for a little more focus in the months ahead. Not to mention his new Washington gig — his “America party” political party .
🚗 Is Tesla Still a Growth Story?
Tesla is still the largest EV maker in the US, but the shine has worn off a bit. The Cybertruck’s still not mainstream, Model 3s are getting old, and margins are being squeezed by global competition and pricing wars.
If Musk is serious about staying and building, this could be Tesla’s opportunity to pivot — from hype-driven volatility to sustained, AI-powered growth. But if not, well... there’s SpaceX. Or xAI. Or Neuralink. Or The Boring Company. Or the next startup he tweets into existence.
Off to you : Do you feel like Tesla is paying Elon to stay interested — or rewarding him for prior (and future?) performance. And is that the way to buy loyalty and dedication? Share your thoughts in the comments!
Boeing Wave Analysis – 5 August 2025- Boeing reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 230.00
Boeing recently reversed up from the support zone between the pivotal support level of 217.50 (former top of wave 1 from June) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
This support zone was further strengthened by the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse i from June.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Boeing can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 230.00 – the breakout of which can lead to further gains toward 240.00.
Why Litecoin is my #1 pick right nowObserving the price action between the two vertical blue lines (the '20 to '21 bull cycle), and comparing to the trend based fib extension levels on the left, we have a blueprint for the fib levels that LTCUSD responds to. At the .236 fib, a 24% pullback. At the .382 a 36% pullback. At the .5 a 38% pullback. Then the market got super heated and it blew past the .618 and had another 38% pullback before the final push up to $413, followed by a 75% "correction".
I'm using those fib levels for my sell/buyback zones in the current bull cycle:
- The first one is at $131, but I think LTC may blow past this one since it's so close to where LTC is breaking out of the trendline and the crypto market just had a retrace.
- The second level is at $188.
- Third level at $234.
- The final level I'm aiming for is the golden trend line at around $400.
- Based on breaking out of the long descending wedge on the LTC:BTC chart, it's possible for LTCUSD to have a huge blow-off top and hit upwards of $600.
Looking at the LTC:BTC pair, (see my last post), Litecoin has a huge potential in the current bull cycle. In the '20-'21 cycle it didnt breakout against bitcoin until the end of the bull run and that breakout wasn't major. LTC:BTC is currently breaking out of a long-term trendline with significant volume.
We'll see. But one thing is for sure, LTC held up well against BTC during the recent drop from $119k to $112k, and now it's pumping steadily. Lookin' good.
What do you think?
Meta Platforms (META) Shares DeclineMeta Platforms (META) Shares Decline
Shares of the US tech giant Meta Platforms (META) hit a record high last week, climbing above $780 following the release of a strong earnings report:
→ Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $7.14, significantly exceeding the forecast of $5.88.
→ The company also outperformed expectations on key metrics related to advertising growth.
→ Additionally, the media has highlighted the growing importance of AI technology to Meta’s business.
However, shortly after reaching an all-time high, META shares began to show bearish momentum.
Technical Analysis of the META Chart
On the four-hour chart, the following signals are visible:
→ A bearish engulfing pattern formed on Thursday;
→ A bearish gap appeared at Friday’s market open, followed by a continuation of the downward move.
This represents a notable pullback from the historical peak — potentially indicating that the initial bullish reaction to the earnings report has faded. The share price decline suggests a correction from overbought territory, as confirmed by the RSI indicator.
The $740 level appears to be a key support zone — previously acting as major resistance before the breakout. Bulls could also find support from the median line and the lower boundary of the ascending channel that has been developing since mid-May.
Given this context, a scenario in which bulls attempt to resume the uptrend within the ascending channel cannot be ruled out, especially considering the company’s strong fundamentals and the presence of multiple technical support levels.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USOIL declines for the 3 days in a row. What's next?USOIL declines for the 3 days in a row. What's next?
Since the last post the USOIL has already declined on 2.5%, currently rebounding from SMA50 on 4-h chart. 2 main reasons are behind this.
On August 3, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their partners, collectively known as OPEC+, decided to increase oil production by 547,000 barrels per day in September, the latest in a series of swift production boosts aimed at regaining market share. They cited a robust economic outlook and low inventories as the reasons for their decision. However, Friday NFP report may signal of a potential recession risk in the United States, the biggest oil consumer in the world. Here is what the Goldman Sachs writes down in x.com: "The decline in employment growth over the previous two months in the July report was one of the largest since 1960 and was accompanied by several months of similar revisions earlier. Corrections of this magnitude are extremely rare outside of the recession period."
So, fundamentals don't favor oil and despite the current rebound from SMA50, there are low chances of developing some bullish momentum here. The pullback from 6,800.00 is expected with the following decline towards 6,500.00
Small Caps: Rebound or rollover at 200DMA?Near-term price action in U.S. small-cap stocks may be instructive for assessing longer-term directional risks, with the contract trading near the key 200-day simple moving average.
Despite breaking uptrend support and extending the bearish move late last week, buying dips remains the preferred strategy unless there’s clear evidence the U.S. economy is sliding into recession—an outcome unlikely to be resolved near-term with only second-tier economic data on the calendar this week. That also means market pricing for just under 100 basis points of Fed rate cuts by mid-2026 is unlikely to shift dramatically, helping to support risk appetite.
If the contract can reclaim the 200DMA and hold there, longs could be initiated with a stop beneath the level for protection against reversal. 2192 is an early hurdle for bulls with a break of that level opening the door for a run towards 2240 or even 2278.
Alternatively, if the contract remains capped beneath the 200DMA, the setup could be flipped with shorts established below the level and a stop above. Friday’s low and 2133 are obvious near-term targets, with support at 2075 the next downside level after that.
Momentum indicators remain mixed despite rolling over in late July, placing more weight on price action rather than any firm directional bias.
Good luck!
DS
US 30 Index – Potential Rebound or Deeper Retracement Ahead?Just as the US 30 became the last of the three major US indices to register a new all time high last Monday at 45160, on a final wave of positivity generated by the announcement of a trade deal between the US and EU, it was snatched away again as traders used the up move to take profit on longs.
This initial fall evolved into 5 straight daily declines which took the index from its record high of 45160 on Monday to a Friday close at 43591 as the sell off accelerated, driven by disappointment of a more hawkish than expected Fed, a new wave of trade tariffs from President Trump, weaker Amazon earnings , and on Friday, perhaps the biggest surprise of all, a Non-farm Payrolls release that showed the US labour market may be weakening faster than anticipated.
Looking forward, with the shock of Friday’s data reverberating through markets, US 30 traders still have lots to think about this week. The US ISM Services PMI release is due at 1500 BST on Tuesday. Service activity has been the major driver of growth in the US economy for the last 18 months, so this new update could have a big influence over where the US 30 index moves next. Any reading below 50 = economic contraction, while readings above 50 = economic expansion, and traders could well be focused on how this month’s print stacks up against last month’s reading of 50.8.
The earnings releases of 3 bellwether US corporates may also be relevant, given their US 30 index weightings. Caterpillar reports its Q2 results before the market open on Tuesday, with McDonald’s and Walt Disney reporting before the open on Wednesday. Traders may be looking to compare actual earnings against expected, alongside assessing any future revenue guidance that is provided against the current trade tariff operating environment.
Now, while the US 30 index has opened this new trading week on a more stable footing, currently trading up 0.25% at 43705 at the time of writing (0530 BST), assessing the technical outlook for the week ahead could also be useful for traders.
Technical Update: Deeper Retracement Risk Emerging?
While it might be argued that it was the reaction to the latest US employment data that saw US equities encounter fresh selling pressure, as the chart below shows, prices were already declining into Friday’s payrolls release.
Price weakness was materialising in the US 30 index right after it posted its new all-time high on Monday July 28th at 45160, and traders might now argue that last Thursday’s close below support provided by the Bollinger mid-average, currently at 44412, was the first potential indication that a more extended phase of price weakness was possible. The case was then perhaps strengthened by Friday’s negative reaction to the payrolls data, which saw closing breaks under support provided by the July 16th last correction low at 43770.
There is of course no guarantee that this price action will result in a retracement of the April 7th (36440) to July 28th strength (45160), but assessing what may be the potential support and resistance levels to monitor this week could be helpful, if the recent volatility continues to dominate price action at the start of August.
Possible Support Levels:
Last week’s price decline held at the 43337 level which was the August 1st low, and having previously found buyers at this point, they may be found again. As such, this 43337 level could now prove to be the first support focus for the week ahead.
Closing breaks below 43337, if seen, could lead to the possibility of further price declines, opening potential to test the next support at 41824, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to July 2025 price strength (see chart above).
Possible Resistance Levels:
Having now seen the Bollinger mid-average for the US 30 index turn lower after last week’s fall, this may now be the first resistance level to watch on any subsequent rally higher. It currently stands at 44442 and watching how this level is defended on a closing basis could be useful.
If a more sustained phase of price strength is to materialise, it could be closing breaks above the mid-average at 44442 that increases the possibility of it happening. Such moves could then see retests of the July 28th all-time high at 45160, possibly higher if this level is then breached on a closing basis.
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Figma Stock Goes Parabolic in Market Debut — Should You Buy?Figma stock NYSE:FIG more than tripled on IPO day. But that’s not thanks to the Figma guys — they had agreed to sell the company to Adobe NASDAQ:ADBE just two years ago.
Figma stock NYSE:FIG made a spectacular entrance into public markets last week — and then some. Shares of the design software firm surged 250% in their debut Thursday and climbed another 5% Friday, pushing the company’s fully diluted valuation to about half the size of Adobe NASDAQ:ADBE , the company that once tried to acquire Figma for $20 billion before regulators shut it down.
It’s a strong showing for the IPO market and a signal that investors are still willing to pay up for growth — even if the valuation raises more than a few eyebrows.
💸 $33 Becomes $118: Here’s What Happened
Figma priced its IPO at $33 per share on Wednesday, above the already-raised target range of $30–$32. The stock opened at $85, hit highs around $120, and closed the day up 250% . It ended Friday at $122, giving the company a fully diluted valuation of roughly $70 billion.
Quick stat: Figma pulled in $749 million in revenue last year. That means Figma’s price-to-sales ratio is sitting close to 94x. By contrast, Adobe trades at just under 11x sales. Froth or not?
📈 Growth Is Real — But So Is Volatility
The one big thing in Figma’s favor is growth. The company increased revenue by 48% last year and by another 46% in Q1 2025. But profitability is uneven. It posted a net loss of $732 million last year — a reversal from a $737 million profit in 2023 that was mostly boosted by a $1 billion breakup fee from Adobe. Without that one-off, the business hasn’t been consistently profitable.
In Q1 of this year, however, Figma did turn a small profit of $44.9 million. That’s a good sign — but it’s not enough to embrace a 94x multiple.
🤝 Who Uses Figma and Why It Matters
Figma isn’t just a trendy tool for designers — it’s widely used across big tech. Clients include Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX , Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN , Spotify NYSE:SPOT , and even the finance bros over at Vanguard. The software allows real-time collaboration, making it pretty attractive for remote or hybrid teams.
Its browser-based model and freemium pricing helped it spread fast during the pandemic, and now it’s seen as essential software for modern digital product teams. If you’ve ever opened a figma.com link during a Zoom call, you already know. “Can everyone see my screen?”
💎 Figma, the Bitcoin Holder
In a twist that feels very 2025, Figma disclosed in its filings that it holds Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD . The company invested $55 million in the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF AMEX:BITB in March 2024 — and by March 2025, that stake had grown to nearly $70 million. They also bought $30 million worth of USD Coin CRYPTOCAP:USDC , which they plan to convert into more Bitcoin later on.
Figma’s treasury strategy echoes moves by companies like Strategy NASDAQ:MSTR , GameStop NYSE:GME , and Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA , and signals a growing trend among tech companies holding crypto on the balance sheet. It also adds another layer of volatility to Figma’s investment profile — though bulls might see it as a hedge.
🧾 IPO Cash and What Comes Next
Figma, as the newest entrant into the US stock market , raised over $1.2 billion from its IPO, capital it says will be used for general corporate purposes, product development, and potential acquisitions. Given its ambitious roadmap, that kind of cash cushion could help sustain growth — especially as it scales up competition with Adobe, Sketch, Canva, and Notion.
That said, being public also means new (and painful) expectations. Traders and investors will want to see steady top-line expansion, margin improvement, and a path to sustainable profit.
👀 Should You Buy the Stock Now?
The enthusiasm is clear — but so is the premium. Buying Figma now means paying 94x revenue for a company with promising growth but no long-term track record of profitability. That’s a tough sell for value investors but par for the course in growth tech — at least during bullish cycles.
If you're a long-term believer in the design software space and Figma's competitive edge, you may see upside. But for others, it might be worth watching a few quarters of earnings before jumping in. IPOs often pull back once the first wave of euphoria fades (and the insiders dump their stakes).
👉 Bottom Line
Figma’s market debut was one of the most successful of 2025 so far. The company has the brand, the user base, and the growth metrics to somewhat justify serious investor interest. But it also has a premium valuation and a patchy history of profitability.
Earlier this year, CoreWeave NASDAQ:CRWV (cloud computing and AI) and Circle Internet Group NYSE:CRCL (the stablecoin guys) stunned Wall Street with similarly turbocharged entries. It’s a unicorn stampede, and investors are chasing them like it’s 2021 all over again.
Off to you : Are you buying NYSE:FIG ? Holding off? Or just admiring the charts like a good minimalist designer?
ATEC - NEW 52-WEEK HIGHATEC - CURRENT PRICE : 13.77
ATEC made a new 52-week high last Friday with burst in trading activity. Look at the volume pointed by red arrows. On 31 Oct 2024 there was a significant gap up with high volume, from there the stock continue rises - indicating strong buying interest. Now same scenario happens - gap up with strong volume (hint a strong bullish momentum). Take note also that there is a rising support line - indicating demand is getting higher. There is possibility that the stock may trend higher in near term.
ENTRY PRICE : 13.15 - 13.80
TARGET : 16.50 and 18.70
SUPPORT : 12.75
SpySo.... I'm looking for a rebound this week early on from Smallcaps, banks, and cyclical. All last week everything non tech sold off.. it all started with TVC:NYA hitting this monthly trendline
As you can see, this has been resistance for about 5yrs and every time it has tagged , a correction has followed. To make matters worse , July monthly candle finished with a gravestone doji reversal. Monthly grave stone reversal means that the trend has likely flipped and for the next few months at least until Oct things will flip bearish for all things non tech.
but right now for this week, I think all things non tech gets a big bounce at least early on
Why do I say a bounce is coming? Well the hourly technicals for things non tech went way oversold. On top of that look at the daily BBand on NYA and AMEX:IWM
With standing World war 3 or Powell firing you will get smoked if you short this. This is why my favorite longs early this week are Smallcaps and banks.
Focusing on big tech..
If you didn't know that this market runs on a tech bubble then last weeks divergence was your wake up call.
Neither, Dow,IWM or NYA made a new high but the QQQ and spy did.
With that being said you will only know if the spy has topped by keeping track of the NASDAQ..
Qqq
Over the next 2weeks I think Qqq will retest that breakout of 538-540 which is around the 50ma
This drop will bring spy down to 610 retest.
But first I think there is extremely high chance Qqq retest it's 20sma to the upside at 560 to the upside before heading down
I prefer the short up there at 560 but be aware that price could trade between 550-560 to form a H&S
In a move of extreme fawkery we could get a double top instead
But that will only come off Qqq breaks back over 565
Overall, I don't really like big tech long this week. You may have some making moves but it will be a spotty picture with some green and most red or choppy.
The break below the 20sma on Qqq and all tech indexes
AMEX:XLK
NASDAQ:SMH
AMEX:XLC
Means the trend has changed to bearish.. as a trader one of the rules that has helped me is
Swing the trend and scalp the counter trend..
If the market is bullish then you swing calls and scalp puts.
If the market is bearish , you swing puts and scalps calls.
As far as swinging puts this week, just keep your eye on the 20ma of your favorite index/Stock. Once price retest the 20ma , that is the best entry for the short IMO.
The weekly bearish engulfing means that's by WED-Thurs you should stop trading calls and look for market to roll over for more downside.
Spy
Hourly
As long as the market opens above 617, you want to scalp the long early in the week with your target of 626-628.
I don't know if they will close this gap or not, it will most likely depend on Qqq breaking above 560.
Below 617 and 610 comes.
If price pushes above 629 , I wouldn't chase calls here. That double bearish engulfing on daily Time frame is no joke, and price will likely no break above 640.
Trade idea of the week is
AMEX:IWM
200sma is at 216.50
Over 217.00 and I like calls to close gap at 219.40.
Price could push up to 20sma at 222 but from there I like the short back down targeting 210
XRP 4H – Double Bottom… or Just Another Lower High?
XRP bounced cleanly from major support — the same zone that sparked its last leg up.
This could mark the early stages of a double bottom or just another bear market rally before continuation.
🔹 Previous top = strong supply rejection
🔹 Current support = high-volume bounce zone
🔹 Stoch RSI turning up from oversold
Key confirmation would be:
– Break of $3.15
– Retest + continuation
Otherwise? Another fakeout lower high could trap longs.
Yoga Pants, Tariffs, and Upside: The $LULU BetLululemon NASDAQ:LULU - My Investment Thesis 👖
Hey team,
I've been keeping an eye on NASDAQ:LULU for a while, and I'm finally going to pull the trigger.
In this market of overhyped MAG 7 stocks, Lululemon dropped 62% since its high in Dec. 2023 until now.
Here's why I'm into LULU:
Revenue has been growing every year for 5 years. Still, the stock is at its lowest in 5 years.
Growth has been slower in the US but good in Asia.
Net income has also been growing over the last 3 years.
P/E ratio is at 13, the lowest in many years.
Stock is also beat up because of the tariffs.
Analysts at Morningstar put its fair value at $305 (now $193, giving it an upside of 58%).
Product Innovation: New franchises like Daydrift, Shake It Out, and Align No Line have been well-received and will continue to drive sales.
Lululemon recently announced an expansion into India for 2026, with plans to open a physical store and a partnership with Tata CLiQ, the e-commerce arm of India’s largest business conglomerate, Tata Group. India can be a huge market for Lulu.
There's also intense competition and margin erosion.
Saying this, I kinda see people around me less excited about Lululemon products.
Technical Analysis:
My EVaR - Entropic Value at Risk - is in a low risk area.
RSI is oversold.
Price has been under the 200 MA for too long.
I'm going to proceed with caution on this one, and allocate approximately. 0.5% of my portfolio into it.
Quick note: I'm just sharing my journey - not financial advice! 😊
Broadcom (AVGO): Is This the Dip You've Been Waiting For?Broadcom (AVGO) has been demonstrating a remarkably strong bullish trend since early April, carving out a clear path of higher highs and higher lows. This robust upward momentum is well-defined by a series of ascending channels.
Trend and Channel Dynamics:
Initially, we observed price action moving steadily within a well-established ascending green channel. The stock showed consistent respect for the channel's boundaries, indicating controlled yet persistent buying pressure. More recently, AVGO broke out above the upper boundary of this initial channel, suggesting an acceleration in momentum. This breakout led the stock into a new, steeper ascending channel, which it has largely been respecting since late June/early July.
Current Price Action and Retracement:
AVGO is currently trading around the $294.10 mark. After reaching a peak just above $307, the stock appears to be undergoing a healthy pullback. This retracement is a natural part of any strong uptrend, allowing for consolidation and the absorption of profit-taking.
Key Support Levels to Watch:
Intermediate Support ($283 to $288): Our first crucial area of interest is the intermediate support zone between $283 and $288. This level aligns closely with prior areas of consolidation and, importantly, the lower boundary of the most recent ascending channel. A test of this area would be a typical and healthy retest of previous resistance now turned support, and a bounce here would signal continued strength within the current channel.
Key "Good Level" Support ($260 to 270) This zone is highlighted as a "good level" for a reason. It perfectly aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent major swing low to high:
The 0.5 Fibonacci level at $275.76 sits just above this zone. The crucial 0.618 Fibonacci level is at $268.28. This 'golden ratio' is frequently a strong reversal point in healthy pullbacks. The 0.71 Fibonacci level at $262.44 reinforces the strength of this broader zone. A move into this 260−270 area would represent a deeper but still very much acceptable retracement within a strong uptrend, offering potentially compelling entry or re-entry opportunities for long-term participants.
Overall Outlook:
The current pullback in AVGO should be viewed as a necessary consolidation within a powerful uptrend rather than a sign of weakness. The stock has demonstrated clear impulsive moves followed by corrective retracements throughout its journey higher, as visually reinforced by the white zigzag line.
We will be closely monitoring how AVGO interacts with the 283−288 intermediate support. A successful hold and bounce from this level would suggest a continuation of the upward trajectory. However, if this level is breached, the 260−270 zone becomes the critical area where fresh buying interest is likely to emerge, presenting a lower-risk entry point for those looking to capitalize on AVGO's impressive run.
In summary, AVGO remains firmly in a bullish posture, and these identified support levels offer tactical insights for managing positions or initiating new ones.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
MRVL Massive 15-Years Symmetrical Breakout Targets AheadMarvell Technology (MRVL) has just completed a monumental breakout from a 15-years symmetrical triangle, a rare and powerful long-term accumulation structure. This type of macro consolidation typically precedes a major directional expansion, and in this case, the breakout confirmed bullish continuation.
Currently, MRVL is forming a rising channel structure, with price bouncing cleanly from the lower boundary confirming demand and the continuation phase of the macro move.
The 1:1 projection from the symmetrical triangle gives us a clear target trajectory, with the final leg potentially extending to $229, aligning perfectly with the upper boundary of the rising channel.
In the short to mid-term, the ideal buyback opportunity rests near $67.50, should the market retest previous breakout support or the lower boundary of the channel once more. This zone offers asymmetric risk-to-reward potential for long-term investors and swing traders alike.
Key Targets
📈 $67.50 – Buyback Opportunity Zone
📈 $229 – Rising Channel Top / 1:1 Expansion Target
A breakout this large is no coincidence, it’s backed by years of price compression and institutional positioning. Now is the time to watch closely.
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