Oil has found support at $85.55, but is having difficulty ascending to higher levels. We did test $90.06, as we anticipated yesterday, however it seems that we are rejecting this level. We are meeting strong resistance here confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI. If we reject the $90's, we could head straight back to support at $85.55. If that does not hold,...
Oil seems to have bottomed out at $85.55. We saw good support from green triangles on the KRI, and a subsequent pivot back to the high $80's. We are now just below $90, with $90.06 in particular being the level to break before attaining higher levels. We should see significant resistance there. The Kovach OBV is bearish and keeps pressing lower. If we fail to...
Oil has finally broken out, solidly reestablishing the $90's after spending a few days in the high $80's. We are still bound by $95.24, which has been our target and area of anticipated resistance since oil was in the $87's. We are seeing some red triangles on the KRI confirming strong resistance here. The Kovach OBV has picked up a bit, but it remains to be...
Oil has bottomed out just about our level at 87.21. We have broken through levels in the 90's, giving up that handle completely. The Kovach OBV is very bearish, confirming the momentum from the selloff. If things pick up, 90.06, which once provided support, will now provide resistance, and is our next target. If the bear momentum continues, then 85.55 and...
Gasoline in the US has been trending lower and lower, now down 30% from its ATH. It hasn't filled the breakaway gap yet, but I think it will do so in the next few weeks, and that could be an excellent opportunity to go long in the short term. Oil has filled the gaps and chopped at support for a while but is looking weak. What is strange is how supply is limited,...
Oil has fallen deeper into the high $80's following a selloff that broke monthly lows. We had very strong support at $92.03, and appeared to be seeing a double bottom forming, but the selloff knocked oil back a peg, smashing through multiple technical levels below in a persistence selloff that has taken us back to support at $87.21. We are seeing a green...
Gasoline (RB1!) has been rising since the March 2020 bottom on a straight Channel until late February 2022 where war and inflation worries turned it parabolic as illustrated by the use of the Fibonacci Channel extensions. Following the June 06 market top, a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern was formed that hit (and so far rebounded on) the 1D MA200 (orange...
Oil made an attempt at higher levels, hitting both of our targets at $100 then $101 before retracing back to the $90's. The Kovach OBV is gradually trending upward, so we are seeing a bull bias. But the $100's seem to be a hard upper bound for now. Currently, we are seeing good support around $95.24, a familiar level. We may also be seeing a bull wedge...
Oil has picked up again, breaking through $100, but finding resistance at $101. This is exactly what we anticipated, it just took a few days for oil to break through the resistance in the mid $90's. Our next target is $106, but it will take some momentum to get there. It is likely that we will hover in the low $100's to establish value. If we retrace, we will...
Oil rallied slightly, but is still maintaining the $90 handle. We shot up from support at $95.24, but fell short just below the target of $100, hovering around $99 at the time of this writing. The Kovach OBV is drifting up, suggesting a bull bias that could result in a breakout soon. If so, $100 and $101 are the targets. Watch for resistance here, and a...
Oil has edged back down to support after topping out at $100, a strong psychological and technical level. As predicted here, we are finding support at our technical level of $95.24, confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI. Support is looking weak, and we could break down further. The next level below and target for support is $92.03. After that we could test...
Oil has edged upward, but is meeting lots of resistance in the high $90's, just below the target of $100. We edged past $100 briefly, only to retrace back to comfort at the base of the $99 handle at the time of this writing. The Kovach OBV is trending up, but appears weak, suggesting we will need more momentum to break through $100 definitively. Many red...
Oil appears to have bottomed out at our exact level of $92.03, with a wick extending to $90.06 as we predicted last Friday. We were then able to pivot back up to the mid $90's, meeting swift resistance at $96.88. We have several red triangles on the KRI signifying resistance around this price area, just before $100. Sub $100 prices will surely be welcome to...
"Gasoline... breakfast of champions" - Joe Dirt Consistent with our view of #Oil, gasoline shows us a beautiful bear wedge. Are we all just expected to pay $4.50+ / gal of gasoline? This seems like a tall ask for the American consumer, considering prices are significantly elevated across most of the American ( & global ) economy. Emerging markets getting beat...
Oil dipped down further into the $90's, with a wick touching $92.03, as we have noted in these reports as the next level of support. We do appear to be pivoting nicely back to $95.24, but are bounded by $96.88. The Kovach OBV appears bearish, but does seem to have bottomed out, suggesting potentially that oil has reached a floor. If so, we expect it to shoot...
The price of crude oil has been moving sideways between 95 and 125. As a general rule, 90% of the time, I only trade once the price reaches key levels. In this case, the price is in the support zone. Therefore, I have looked for all the scenarios where the price was behaving similar to what it is now (we can define it as a triple bottom). Of course, in some of...
Oil caved through support at the base of the $100's, making its way down to $95.24. We expected this value to hold as a floor price, as discussed yesterday, and we just barely broke through, with a low just above our level at $92.03. We immediately equilibrated back to $95.24, and are currently testing the next level above at $96.88. A red triangle on the KRI...
Brent Crude is around $111.36, as investors grew concerned about a potential global recession and the tight supply of crude. Data from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting OPEC Countries showed that its output fell by about 100,000 barrels per day in June. Libya's oil exports have dropped to between 365 and 409 thousand barrels per day, which is about 865...