NYMEX:RB1! While the U.S. stock market performed miserably lately, energy commodities have a banner year. According to the American Automobile Association (AAA), the national average gasoline price reached an all-time high of $5.016 a gallon on June 14th. Diesel logged its own record on June 19th, at $5.816 a gallon. Crude oil price hike is certainly a major...
Oil rejected 113, and came crashing down through support at 106. It penetrated the vacuum zone between 101 and 106, but has since found support around 104, confirmed by green triangles on the KRI. We have subsequently seen a pivot back to 108, but appear to be finding resistance confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI. If momentum continues then the next target...
Oil has found good support off 101, but remains unable to break through 106. We appear to be ranging at these lower levels, establishing value. Volatility has consolidated notably in what appears to be a bear flag pattern, which could suggest that a break out is near. If so, then we must break 106 before considering the next target at 108, then 111 should be a...
As we mentioned yesterday, lower levels for oil are holding after it retraced from highs. Our level at $122.95 has held as a double top, and we have since pulled back to test support levels at $116, then $113. We are finding good support at $113, confirmed by green triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has flattened out, suggesting we will range here at current...
A technical retracement has taken oil back to 116, exactly as we anticipated. Recall that we suggested that oil will range for a bit between 116 and 122. The high at 122.95 will provide strong resistance for the moment, but eventually we see it pushing higher. There are few reasons to believe lower oil prices will come our way, but if we break past 116, we...
Oil has broken out from the bull wedge it was forming all this week. We have broken past the upper bound at $120 and have hit our target at $122.95 to the tick. We met immediate resistance here confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI before retracing a bit, but the Kovach OBV seems strong so we do not expect much in the way of a retracement. If we do, $116...
Gas on the spot looks to be setup to run at another new high as the pullback was a nice abc down into what should be a final push to test new highs in a 5th wave in what I see as wave C of a massive abc deflationary cycle is hitting ALL assets as the forecast in DEC 2021 calls for use this next move up to go long puts in the oil stock sector
Oil is tending to highs, forming a bull wedge pattern. The Kovach OBV has slumped a bit, suggesting a slight bear divergence. We are facing some resistance at $120, the upper bound of the wedge pattern. If we break out, we are set to hit $122, relative highs, and are clear to press higher after that. If we do retrace, then $116 should provide support, then...
Oil remains at highs, after curbs on China Covid lockdowns have eased . Supply remains tight as OPEC is reluctant to increase oil production. Although they have agreed to boost production, which should help buffer skyrocketing costs per barrel, Saudi Arabian oil prices have continued to increase . We do appear to be seeing a bull wedge or triangle forming at...
Oil has picked up, testing relative highs. We seem to be having trouble reestablishing the $120's, with $119 being the upper bound for now. The Kovach OBV has picked up, but does not seem sufficient to indicate a significant rally to hit relative highs at $122. In fact, we are looking a bit top heavy so anticipate a retracement back to support at $116, $113, or...
As seen in the past, the crack spread is about to roll over for the summer months until the fall shutdowns start again. How this plays out in the equities like $HFC is yet to be seen.
Oil has pivoted from $111, smashing through $113, and hitting our target of $116. We are showing definite signs of strength as there really are not any fundamental factors that could indicate otherwise, however we do seem to be having issues reclaiming the high at $122. If we are able to break past $116 solidly, this is our next target. Otherwise expect support...
Oil pivoted nicely off of $111, after peaking at around $120. We hit resistance here, and retraced, however we can identify no fundamental reason why oil should test lower prices. The $100's are here to stay for the foreseeable future. We did get a nice pivot from $111, which took us back to our level at $116 at the time of this writing. If we are able to...
Oil has retraced a bit, after a fresh burst of momentum took us past 116. We appeared to be gunning for 122, but lost momentum in the middle of the vacuum zone, with several red triangles on the KRI suggesting that the rally was encountering resistance in this area. Subsequently, we smashed through 116, finding support just above 113. Currently, we are meeting...
Oil has rallied significantly off news that the EU is planning to ban Russian imports of oil , despite the fact that Russia supplies 27% of the EU's oil and 40% of its gas. Crude oil prices soared off this news and we were able to smash through a relative high at $116. This was our target from earlier. Recall that last week, we noted oil's relative strength...
Oil has continued its rally, breaking through our level at $111 with ease. It is currently facing resistance in the middle of the vacuum zone between $111 and $116. The Kovach OBV has picked up sharply with the rally, but has since leveled off. We have few fundamental reasons why we should see lower oil prices, however if we do retrace, we should have support...
Oil has been ranging in between $108 and $113, with consistent resistance at $111, which we have added as a new technical level. The value area has consolidated immensely, which suggests that we may be preparing for a breakout. There is no fundamental reason yet why we should see significantly lower oil prices, though China's renewed Covid lock downs weigh on...
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