*** end of INFLATED USD Deflation is coming. Food for thought. Because THE CYCLES EXIST and THEY RHYME.
The British pound had a strong rally, starting from the ¥175 level and breaking through significant resistance levels. It even surpassed ¥180, a psychologically important mark. However, caution is advised as chasing the trade at these levels is risky. Markets don't go up indefinitely, and a pullback is expected. Lower prices are needed before considering entry. If...
Last week's surprising jobs report sticky inflation, and persistent and frothy financial conditions may force the Federal Reserve members into a more hawkish position, forcing them to keep the heat on interest rates and the money supply. Many market participants were looking for a pause in rate hikes as soon as next month and possibly a pivot to lowering rates...
XAUUSD H4 - May look a little bit messy on the face of things, but from swing low data 03/11 up towards swing high dated 16/11, we have started to correct, TP seen from recent analysis yesterday before then climbing higher, but this falls short of our 382, we have since seen a pullback to our H4 break and retest zone (that we have yet to have). From current price,...
Traders will keep eyes on global bond markets for next week because if the Bank of England's strange policies continue, it could help gold to rise while the Bank of Japan, which is concerned about high prices in USDJPY, should intervene in the forex market. In addition to buying yen, they can sell US bonds in the markets and witness fluctuations in bond yields. ...
The price has officially broken out the consolidation range to the bears. The target point for a reversal is still at at $0.28 however there is a few levels of support before the price reaches this point, these support levels were sourced from the fib retracement of the current wedge formation. The price has bounced off the golden ratio, (62.8% fib) so the price...
Using descending channels and 210 MA and also fundamentals with recession fears along with more Interest rate hikes we could see more downside with the Nasdaq 100.
price targets between $29k & $27k. with all the recession and inflation fears, markets are bearish for now. As we know there are still rate hikes coming by the Feds and this contributes to a weaker market for conventional stocks and commodities. We have two moving averages and a trendline that price action will have to contend with. Plus, we also see similar...
The pair is trading in a sideways triangular area, that doesn't mean it is a golden opportunity to buy , but this is the scenario in which i prefer to go long and target 100% Fibonacci expansion. excluding Job reports some bad figures are showing up in the United states when it comes to industrial and services growth... thus meaning same/slower pace of...
this is my idea. i think we have there great RR. dont forget about rate hikes. :)
In 2017 we saw a BTC peak at the midpoint of the FED tightening cycle, if it is to put in another top, we need to see it within the next 6 months before rates get too punitive on risk-on assets.
This is a big issue for the ECB, and they're very much between a rock and a hard place. For years the bank has kept policy extremely easy, and the economy has largely become used to this. However, they are now facing an inflation backdrop that ironically, they probably could only dream of 10 years ago (OK maybe not as high as it currently is, but you get the...
I believe this is the only way to view what may happen in the near term future with BTC price speculation. I know twitter is full of perma-bulls saying that 32/33k will never be seen again, they could be correct, but regardless their bias shows because they are making their decision too early... Perma Bears said we were going to 18-14k even 11k last week on...
This chart uses a simple downtrend in order to predict the terminal fed funds rate, which I believe will be 150-175 basis points by March 2023. As we can see, the previous fed funds rate hikes under the current downtrend have resulted in periods of lower GDP growth as well as yield-curve inversions and very regularly precede lows in total US jobless claims (the...
=> We still maintain our USDCAD short position from earlier in the week and recommend selling all corrective rallies here ahead of the BoC rate hike widely expected this month. => Although the rate hike is expected this trade is far from crowded and we see incoming data to keep the BoC on track with tightening monetary policy. => Odds of any hikes are close to 90%...