Not looking so good for btc... I guess that's what happens when 80% of the supply is in control of 0.1% of the population... Creates an on-boarding bottleneck which mess with price stability.. The block-halving mechanism used for the inflation model and ultimately the building blocks of crypto's incentive model, is flawed. Coins need to use a sigmoid function...
A potential short trade is busy setting up for this coming week starting on 12 November 2018. FUNDAMENTAL Fundamentals will probably support a weaker GBP. Economic red news releases include GBP: cpi, retail sales and inflation reporting. Should all of or most of these news items be negative for the GBP, a definite GBP weakness will be experienced. Note: no...
Based on my analysis I see commodities markets offering investors above average returns heading into the next decade. During the expansion of our economy from 2008, prices in the commodity market have been fairly low and producing dismal returns. This is ranging from several factors such as energy prices falling, subsidized farming, the price of precious metals...
PPG Industries Warns of Intensifying Inflation Pressures and Weakening Demand October 8, 2018 by Dr. Duru ““As we look ahead, we currently do not anticipate any relief from inflationary cost pressures in the third quarter. We expect aggregate global economic growth to remain positive with end-use market activity comparable to the second quarter, adjusted for...
The Age of deleveraging has come to an end. It is again inflation time now. USDollar uptrend has ended on 18th of March 2015, so does the deflation cycle in the world economy. I adjust my prognosis bases on the latest data in google trends about lower high in the word "deflation", "Dollar collapse" fears turning back on track and rising of yields on government...
Acuity Brands: The Business Uncertainties from Tariff and Wage Inflation I last mentioned Acuity Brands (AYI), a lighting and building management solutions company with $3.7B in net sales in 2018, three months ago. At that time, I described a good risk/reward setup to go long the stock post-earnings. AYI shot nearly straight up from there. The stock broke through...
This chart highlights the obvious enormous influx of "price" in BTC as compared to the Federal Adjusted Monetary Base. The FED has created 4.2 Trillion dollars and gave it to the banks so they wouldn't run out of money and "run" on other banks. But, the banks got clever and decided to use the gift of debt based fiat to play in a free market call BITCOIN. This...
Today's all-time intraday high on the S&P 500 reminded me of a correlation I had looked at in the past. I re-charted it just now and frankly, the implications are fairly profound. 1. Note that for most of the chart as the value of the U.S. Dollar Index drops, the market goes up. - What that means is this. The stock market prices went up, but the value of our...
Measured moved based on H&S break has this moving approximately 10%. We're currently looking at a retest of the break, but it's fading fast. When combined with the record net-short interest here, this could be a fast move, and could even invert the yield curve in one fell-swoop. If so, this would be reminiscent of the 2000 yield curve inversion, which happened...
what happens when your currency inflates relative to a stronger currency? what happens when you invest in strong currencies?
This is ugly. AUDUSD is for a fourth time, bearing down on its trending channel, a key trend established back in 2015 when Commodities bottomed out. This isn't a good sign for a (supposedly) reflating global economy..
LONG OPPORTUNITY ON XPTUSD Bullish Shark (Highlighted Yellow Moving Forward) Two entries given on the chart. Goodluck
Inflation expectations too high vs DXY likely due to oil strength Should correct with lower oil, lower DXY, and lower InfExp RSI divergence in place
With crypto and stocks, many overlook that boring shiny thing that used to be the basis for sound money. Personally, i like the actual physical silver...and it's a good idea to have some for a rainy day...or financial collapse....or a zombie apocalypse (and based on how many people are on side-effect laden meds, maybe that's not so far away, though i...
I think something is going to happen. Might be something good in the crypto market that makes people want to use it, maybe a development that makes it easy to use resulting in on boarding? Or, something very very horrible that makes people rush to crypto because theres fire everywhere, the world markets are crashing, paper money is in hyper inflation and people...
What points to USD strength fundamentally: - Monetary policy: FED rate median is at 2.15% end of 2018 vs ECB expected to hike only 2019 Q4 -> carry on USD side - CB balance sheet: FED BS decreasing since 2017 May, ECB still rising, tapering expected in '18 Sept - Inflation: US Core inflation 2.1% and forecasted to 2.4% vs Eurozone 1.1% and moderate upward...
I assume this isn't news to most of traders while I write this, but macro-economically Commodities are a buy. Having been beaten down over the last 5-years the broad basket is on the rise. Anchored by rising oil prices, increased flight to fear (gold, silver), and the presence of an emerging inflationary pressure. In this chart, there is an evident bullish...