The U.S. dollar index is sharply down, following a horrendous day for Chinese equities that did not spark any "safe haven" buying. The 8.48 percent drop in the Shanghai composite was the second worst day ever for the composite since 2007. Traders feared that the Chinese government and the People's Bank of China (PBoC) would pull any assistance to help keep their...
A good article: "The average stock market correction following the first rate has occurred 21.2 months later." www.zerohedge.com "The number of times that Federal Reserve has hiked interest rates without a negative economic or market impact has been exactly ZERO." www.zerohedge.com "There is an ongoing belief that the current financial market trends will...
I'll opine briefly Did the market take a "pound" of flesh from traders, following a near 700 pip parabolic move? Traders often think these moves are ever-green; but there are a few take aways from the three-day wash out: The vast majority of forex traders (or retail in my opinion) are technical traders. They depend solely on price movement and indicators to try...
Go long on "optimism" Traders are more “optimistic” in that everything will work out – from rate hikes to Greece – and risk continues to bid higher on the news, or no news as it were. Greece is said to be saved after Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras gave into the troika and EU on a bailout extension. The game theorists got.. played? However, the International...
Gold is hated but most because it is the antithesis of greed, which has been feed for years by central banks around the world. I'll be frank, I was rather bearish on the shiny metal an forecasted $1,035 per toz. in 2013. However, as the charade of lackluster growth and quasi-monetary policy continued, gold's fundamentals are bullish. It is too simplistic to...
Dollar bulls may be few and far between, as a potential rate hike has now become a "buy the anticipation, sell the rumor" play. Even the most hardcore bulls like Marc Chandler has taken a step back to rethink the dollar. After making a series of lower highs and lower lows, the dollar could very well test the lows near 93; while a series of resistance levels...
The kiwi has been able to stable a relatively impressive entrancement, following the volatility in the dollar. I first noticed the rally yesterday after it was reported that US President Obama voiced his concern over a stronger US dollar; and all dollar-pegged currencies jumped. Here is my original tweet prior to the surge: twitter.com It is no wonder on why...
The US dollar index was a thing of bubbly-beauty, gaining over 25 percent in a year. Traders thought that after seven years, it is now time for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Unfortunately, reality is set it. The Fed has always claimed to be data-dependent. First, the potential for a rate hike was when unemployment dropped to 6.5 percent. That came and went...
This is not the first time the euro-dollar has been able to stage monster rallies, as faith in the US dollar continues to crumble. The dollar index has had a few of the worst days since 2009. Previously via Twitter, I supported the initial rally from 1.0880; but as it approached the current supply zone, I believed it would be a tough nut to crack for further...
This important indicator reflects many things including the steepness of the interest rate curve, and should fail to hold the current uptrend if the economy continues to improve as anticipated. However, longer-term price action still shows uncertainty about this scenario. Expect volatility in the near-term until further economic data confirms.
08:00 am: This week will be eventful. Fed is expected to remove the "patience" from its interest rate policy statement. If so, markets will expect a rate hike in Jun Fed meeting. This is likely to put pressure on the markets in the intermediate term as the expected rate hike, the first since 2006, will be perceived as a game changer. If the above unfolds, USD...