Monetary base is now at 18T. The FED just modified about a year of historical data to reflect something new. Bitcoin will be the new reserve currency. Thoughts?
BNC:BLX ... and where we should be :)
It seems like good deals are to be had when the total stock market increase is below the increase in the overall money supply. The green is the M2 money supply and the yellow line is the VTI total stock market index. You can see you got a good deal in March when stock prices fell below the increase in the money supply. The same for 2019 and 2016. There...
In this analysis, I'll take a look at the US Dollar Index (DXY), analyze it from both a technical and fundamental aspect, and look at what this could imply for the asset markets this year. DXY Technical Analysis - To begin with, we can take a look at the monthly chart for the dollar index - Since 2001, it has been on a downtrend, and ever since 2008, it has...
Definition Correlation Coefficient (CC) is used in statistics to measure the correlation between two sets of data. In the trading world, the data sets would be stocks, etf's or any other financial instrument. The correlation between two financial instruments, simply put, is the degree in which they are related. Correlation is based on a scale of 1 to -1....
M2 money stock vs #Bitcoin Coincidence? I think not!
I have been plotting BTC against GOLD (left) and M2 (right) to try and look at the value adjusted for inflation and buying power (using gold to measure buying power). M2 is the amount of money in the world (to simplify it) and BTC / M2 has already broken the 2017 ATH by 7.81%. This is a good sign as it shows that we have surpassed the previous cycle high when...
apparently central bank printing is good for #Bitcoin ?
Bitcoin vs M2 Money Supply 2020 Covid Year - Money Printer goes BrrrrrRRRrrrr... Stablcoins market cap increase many magnitudes ($20B USDT + others USDC/BUSD) Bitcoin broke ATH in dollar value will it break in real value yet. Let's see.
An interesting thing happened in the last 2 weeks of November. Money Supply: United States people fled to cash by converting M2 money stock (savings, investments, money market) into M1 (checking and cash). Dollar: Foreign investors presumably sold off dollar assets bringing DXY down around 2% in the month. To recap: The money supply indicates that US people...
Hi everyone, I am doing some self study and have created the graph above. using the equation of exchange M*V=P*Y I have calculated 1/Y. M = Money Supply V = Money Velocity P = Price (S&P index value) Y = Real Output/Value Keeping the above in mind I calculate 1/Y (inverse because chart is easier to look at) 1/Y = 1/(M*V/P) Adjusted Value =...
I suspect we are seeing a failure in the bearish signal we had recently, and yet another bullish trend in the weekly timeframe here. The M2 adjusted chart is highly interesting as it predicts we may see prices break the 2019 top briefly, I fear this might lead to an extreme in bullish sentiment a subsequent market crash towards lows not seen since the COVID...
We all know it's going to happen, just a matter of when, it seems. Day after day, I come across different traders who have their own narratives about when this debt crisis will finally rear its ugly face and we will be faced with a sober reckoning of decades of monetary irresponsibility and irresponsible allocation of scarce resources to state capitalist...
Past week, gold only followed dxy moves, how many more days left?
BTC has had an extended bullish push up from the March 2020 "Black Swan" lows and by most metrics this recent sell-off looks like just another one of its large corrections the crypto is known for. As many have noted, throughout the covid crisis most world economies have been printing money like there's no tomorrow nor consequences of doing so (insert "money...
Triple bottom bounce incoming? Money printer go brrr. Green = inflation adjusted (negated from price, representing a lower price) Orange = actual market price Of course I didn't take LTC inflation into account. Is it useful? You be the judge.
Every time the M2/Silver ratio RSI hit these levels S&P500 had a setback. Will this time be different?