After a correction WXY (double zig-zag) we are on the way to a 1 2 3 4 5 impulsive wave, breaking up the downtrend line of the last two months. Bull flag Chart Pattern being applied The recent good news about "Coinbase Custody" is targeting institutional money, making the moment good for the bulls. www.coindesk.com
Disclaimer(s): The green (0) viewable in the bottom left of the chart would have been in 2005 but because of the scope of this graph it coincides with 2010 By the same token the green (3) should be several years forward but coincides with 2019, again b/c of the scope of the graph ...
Simple Pitchfork analysis of macro picture in BTC.
As always I like to look at things in no smaller than six month time frames. The longer the better in general. I even remember 20 something odd years ago when an investment instructor told me that "if you're investing you shouldn't be looking at a time frame of less than 5 years." Let's apply this to our general way of thinking. When the housing market bubble...
Macro View: 2018 has been a very exciting year for the dollar thus far. Volatility has sky rocketed in the last couple of months, the FED has indicated a reduction in QE and Donald Trump has been tweeting away. In my view, I believe the dollar holds a more bearish outlook due to the following factors: 1. Rise in political tensions between China and US 2....
So for about 6 months now we have not seen exponential growth. Call it what you will. I think I will call it a "bitcoin recession." For two quarters we have not seen the kind of positive growth we have come to expect, however, compare what we have now to this time last year and you should still be a very happy camper. If you've been HODLing of course and even...
Short term divergences developed on 12 and 4hr charts. Overall bearish weekly structure is concerning. Should the rally break 8k+ this would ease investor concerns which currently look like a slow downward bottoming. 7800 - 8000 - 8600 key levels to watch during rally.
Here's a fresh macro look at what's coming using weekly ichimoku, elliott waves and fibos. Bitcoin is rapidly approaching a key yearly pivot. Whatever happens in the next 2 weeks will define Bitcoin (and the whole crypto) market till the end of the year. We will soon enter the vertical rising ichimoku cloud on a weekly (Point 3). Historically we already had 2...
30 year represents long term growth expectations, the 10 year has already broken out as linked below. This down trend is not as clean of a break as that one and will need a continuation after today's test the of February highs. 10s 2s spread hit ~39bps recently now at 49bps. If we get a confirmation the first target is 3.74 as a measured move which happens...
We got two diagonals, then a range if we don't hold. Stay safe.
We have been hearing some negative sentiment in the market, about how the next recession is near and coming... The thing here is you need to realize where you are 'hearing' such news from. Ahem... most of the time, likely from the news or media. The question here is are they really that reliable? Well... based on our analysis (not the AUDJPY of course), we are...
If the high low patterns really are the future for 2018, it could look something like this. Thoughts?
Macro Euro Monthly Chart (channels drawn on quarterly chart) - We have been consolidating for months on top of the lower part of Euro's historic uptrend channel, against shorter term steeper trendline. Ask yourself which one will win.. Cut out the noise and zoom out to get your ideas, zoom in to enter your trades and swing your way to freedom.
Founded by the creator of paypal Elon Musk, the company, has some rather concerning fundamentals. Don’t get me wrong, electric vehicles are the future; we need renewable sources of energy before the world reaches peak oil. Big Energy companies are slowly moving away from oil as a source of energy we are witnessing electric cars solar panels pop up everywhere the...
Comparing the S&P 500 with the VIX over a macro period, on a % increase scale.
Inspired by the logarithmic regression models in the old bitcoin forum thread , I drew up the above macro chart. Disclaimer: I don't believe this chart has any predictive value. At all. This is for entertainment purposes only. Nonetheless, I find this chart highly fascinating. Bitcoins fractal nature couldn't be more obvious. Some observations: The baseline has...
Lots of different future paths but if you are a long term investor it looks hard to go wrong if you just keep buying gold regularly each year. That's what the Chinese and Russians are doing (and they are no strategic or tactical slouches). Get the feeling we might get to the neckline and fall back - so will be playing that as initial set up in next few months if...