If you are looking for correlation between multiple oscillators as your signals for entering trades then you have come to the wrong place. Remember this is a cat and mouse game where the mouse is chasing the cat and the cat sometimes turns around and eats the mouse. As for the dow tomorrow, expecting a bullish breakout although entering before there is at...
For those who trade more actively or have a lot of portfolio turnover, it’s easy to get immersed in the minutiae of the chart and lose sight of the important macroeconomic drivers of the market – i.e., growth, inflation, liquidity. All three – stable growth, low-to-moderate inflation, and ample liquidity all remain in place. At the moment, the US is... Full...
Here we are approaching the macro downtrend line and you can see we've breached it on the linear chart. I believe momentum will slow here until we establish a break and hold above the logarithmic chart downtrend line. Once we break these lines and hold above I believe Bitcoin may start ranging and ideally alt coins will start to flourish. I expect to see a...
Lets look at Bitcoin at a macro level, As the pitchfork shows, we haven't breached from the down channel yet, but we have invalidated the down trend scenario by breaching 11400. I believe we are still in wave 3 of an up trend because yesterday's correction was non-existent (not proper size) and too shallow to call it a wave 4. It was a bull run and continuation...
You can short the Vix by buying PUT options on Interactive Brokers and make a nice profit.
In the following article, I go through the Q1 2018 macro outlook, by economy, asset class, and among a few industries: aff.whotrades.com
Just realized I hadn't updated this in a while. I flip flopped back and forth between two theories I had before our recent ~40% correction, I was right the first time and then after talking with some people, my mind was changed. The thing about Elliott Theory is it's very hard to agree on wave counts, but in the end it doesn't matter. Just find the waves and trade...
Practical Exercise 1) Choose a major central bank from the list above. 2) Identify their goals and mandates. 3) Identify their current and future stance with regards to interest rates and monetary policy. 4) Share in the relevant thread.
Banco Macro en búsqueda de los $220 luego de recuperar la caída producida por la posible vinculación con el dueno del banco. rompiendo al alza la barrera de los 200$ habilita ir a buscar la resistencia en los $220 donde existe resistencia importante. MACD semanal en senal de venta. (nunca considerar como recomendación de compra/venta de activos) Seguinos en...
Macro log perspective on ETHUSD shows a massive bull pennant forming since April 20. Pole height: ~$400 Breakout around ~$350 (conservative) Price target: $750 Major support: $300 Solid R:R here
After an impulsive bullish move on 19th October, price has been developing correctively, and has hit the minimum target for a decent retracement between 50% and 61.8%. As long as price remains above the structural trend line, we remain bullish on AUDNZD and can potentially target 1.1332 area. We are having the RBA and RBNZ Rate Statement this week which might...
Based on my analysis of the pair's movements this year, I'd expect the pair to have a chance to reverse and continue working through its current channel down to about the 107 mark. However, this analysis is simply based on its current pattern which I predict it will break out from in the long-term due to discrepancies between the Fed and BoJ's macro-scale views.
Afternoon traders, Something special happened last week: the Fed funds rate rose to 66bps. Why is this important? Historically, /dx depends on not only the direction of US yields, but also the absolute level. A "high yielder" can be defined as a currency whose central bank offers at least the third highest central bank yield in the G10. By this definition, USD...
We are in a range and i can see good support at this level. Price also tried to break above resistance but failed to do so. now it has pulled back and we seem to have grabbed enough momentum off the current support to break the upper resistance. sl can also be placed under psar.
Note$ -I was hesitant to short gold mostly because of tensions with North Korea, however IMO any military escalation from now on is unlikely. Market got used to North Korea shooting wanna-be-ICBMs and missiles every now and then. -I expect gold to be losing value til next friday -US inflation data next friday might push Gold up a bit (as per labor report I expect...
Deep in my heart I am a contrarian. Whether its investing or anything else, usually I like to take the opposite side of the consensus. For this reason, I have been attracted to the Russian stock market for a couple of years. I'm a big reader of Jim Rogers, and I listen to any new YouTube video he appears, and he initially got me started in Russia in 2015. With...
Hello Traders, In this short weekly outlook it is not about any trading setup rather than an opinion if Trump’s infrastructure plan will influence the direction of Oil prices in 2017 and beyond? First, if we look at the US Oil price we can basically see three phases so far. We will start back in 2014 as oil prices started to plump massively in Q3 of 2014 from...
Hi guys, In effect, this is an extension of my aussie trade posted pre-Trump (26th October 2016) in which we bagged 500 pips. AUDUSD has seen rapid recovery off the back of both dollar weakness (mainly due to lack of details of the US administration's economic plans) and rapidly rising commodity prices, in particular iron ore (/it has rallied 10% recently,...