SPX has clearly violated a trend line of this Renko chart. After a false-breakout of the channel, now we progress further downwards. This chart may suggest that even though we have had consistent growth for the last years, every time we cover less and less ground upwards. The next leg up, may lead us to the bottom of the channel and a rejection. Only then we can...
Pretty simple chart. The S&P has used the 200 week SMA as support for a long time. However, back in 2008, you can see almost the exact same pattern in both price and the RSI. The market went mostly sideways following the 200 week SMA for about 5 months before it eventually crashed. 1D time frame
6/ $VIX clipped today Another big RED (down) candle & lower highs Fits perfectly to what we've been saying for few days & For longer term outlook We see ton of volatility next few days = good few month bottom $NDX is @ DO or DIE!, bounce more likely #stocks #crypto
-Welcome to Monday October 3rd The Q3 close last Friday showed a complete route in the general markets as the quarterly close saw the DOW, NQ, and SP down 16%, 17%, and 20% from their summer rally highs. The Dollar Currency Index is still fully parabolic from it’s double bottom from May 2021. The collapsing value of the Swiss Bank Credit Suisse has brought to...
NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 Oct 03 Week Scenario2 dotted trend line + 11647 short proved fruitful. Observations: - Failing to attempt the supply/resistance line of channel = bearish - Descending triangle = bearish setup - Low participation in the market = tendency to whipsaw - volume Possible scenarios: 1) Breakdown of channel + descending triangle...
I am buying NQ with BOTH HANDS here. 2nd October 2022 is exactly 314 days from the November 2021 high. Im calling the low.
Now we are in a thick moving sand. We need to drop much further to find solid land. A way of looking at the clouds is as if they are mud. We are dropping as if we are very big, heavy and slow. I have drawn some possible support levels. The upper 3 are taken from the DJI/M2SL ratio, and the bottom one is taken after we scale appropriately the GFC. We need to mind...
If you haven`t bought Puts when Jerome Powell was saying that "U.S. businesses will have to endure some pain": Then you should know that the QQQ etf i ready for a technical rebound. A Technical Rebound refers to a recovery from a prior period of losses when technical signals indicate that the move was oversold. In this case, the Relative Strength Index momentum...
It's traps all the way down. And each one larger than the last one. Maybe one even larger is coming, who knows? Only the hunter knows, who is setting traps to take your money. And that hunter is big tech or whoever is rich enough to set them up. Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
its hard to gage what type of broadening wedge formation it is, green bullish case, red bearish case. Monday/Tuesday should dictate. If bullish, next post is my idea into mid october & possibly into the holidays.
Alpha Capital Wealth This is a most basic style chart I have made. Each yellow box is from 21:00 / 08:00 There is session breaks added to see each day clear. I have highlighted buy zones in green horizontal lines. & the sell zones in a red horizontal line. Simply to use this chart. Take buy zones and add buy limits or entries in the zones, ( price related)...
Looking at the current corrective wave structure, I think that we have another leg or maybe even two down before that market finds a bottom. In Elliott wave theory, wave C is based on the drop of wave A by aligning it to the top of wave B as shown in the chart. The market is currently testing the 0.618 fib level. This is also the bottom of the current down...
Do we see some relief into October? Seems likely.. I think a possible test of the 50% retracement (another 2% downside) is possible.. Fundamentally, Macro seems bad, but forward looking, DXY rolling over, Oil already rolled over... It's possible a relief rally follows before another sell off EOY. Similar charts with SPX and DJI
The S&P bounced off the channel support today. It also tested the 1.236 fib extension off the most recent peak. Both signs that a bounce was coming. There is also a gap that looks like it could be filled. In addition, this would be a good place for a test of the 20 day moving average by end of week if not early next week. Real question is will this hold or will we...
Other banks will probably follow the #BankofEngland #Fed Reserve is watching & it fits SHORT TERM bull narrative Updated $VIX - Don't see a major crash in 2022 #stocks #crypto #VIX $SPX $SPY $NDX #NDX $DJI #DowJones #NASDAQ100 $BTC $ETH
Minimum target. Getting over that and we could see a test or fill of the gap area around 302 - 308. Good luck!
A fresh breakdown in Apple from it's multi-week range isn't going to help the Nasdaq $QQQ stay away from its June lows, but it's a great immediate test for the market. If buyers, do in fact, bid into Apple and drive us higher into the close, absorbing the bad news, that could spark a bounce broadly, suggesting bad news is priced in, but it's on the buyers to...
NDTW = the percentage of Nasdaq 100 stocks above their 20D Moving Averages NDFI = " " 50D MAs NDOH = " " 100D MAs NDTH = " " 200D MAs I noticed NDTW was at 1 for the first time since Covid bottom, where it only spent a week bouncing a round down there; but this is closer to the 2008 crash. So I examined that. When NDTW went under 5% in 2008 for the first ...