I have been recently watching United States Oil Fund's 6 months, 1y and 5y chart and they all say the same thing. go long. any thoughts?
Looking for USO to strengthen around 10.90 where 50, 100 and 200 ma confluence exists. Also trendline support.
The angle of the current pitchfork channel (Modified Schiff) that prices are moving within is larger in magnitude than the angle of the longer-dated, broad pitchfork channel. That may imply that price action is accelerating to the upside. Keep in mind, for this assumption to remain valid, the channels must stay intact. I have overlaid a Fibonacci Circle study,...
Price has recovered considerably since being rejected at resistance on January 3rd. The current trading channel remains valid, as well. I am looking for a retest of resistance on price in addition to the new resistance trend lines on RSI and ROC. Of note, the MACD is turning positive, too.
Price briefly pierced resistance, although, this was promptly rejected during the US regular session hours. Concerning indicators, the RSI uptrend appears to be broken to the downside- same with the ROC uptrend. Concurrently, the MACD just turned negative. My short-term price targets are $10.90 and then $10.50.
The USO trading price has been rejected (on large volume) for a second time now at the 2.618 Fib extension- with the first rejection occurring in June of 2016. Next area of support is around $10.90.
Currently trading the upwards correction to 60-70. Then I am afraid we are going to see oil collapse in price..
Capital flows can be inferred from a comparison of SPY GLD USO TLT in terms of relative RSI's
OPEC reached an agreement in the weekend, which should imply a price move upwards. Still though my current wave count suggest another move downwards to point E of the ascending triangle in the corrective wave B of one larger degree. Further we should get a bigger corrective wave C up to around 60, which is the end of wave 4 where most corrections tend to...
Long term wedge has been violated where the arrows are showing it's weakness Watching that smaller wedge we are in right now
We saw a gap down on the open today. Regardless, buyers were still willing to come in and drive the price higher. I think this is a good opportunity to squeeze out the people who got short positions in early on what appears to be a top forming. Be prepared for a gap up on the next open. In which case, I still wouldn't be afraid to open a position up. Looking to...
Medium term traders shouldn't be shorting this yet. We still have positive momentum on the MACD. Also, I think it's a bad sign to see buyers willing to come in and drive the price higher after a gap down today. I think this still needs more time before heading down.
A top appears to be forming on USO but medium term traders should not short yet. Looking at the MACD we still see positive momentum going on. It is safer to wait until we start seeing the MACD cross towards the downside before we look to short this.
We are about to transition from a risk-ON inflationary environment to a risk-OFF inflationary environment. That means bond yields might fall even though inflation is rising. The US has been a huge beneficiary of the risk-ON move and as a result should see outflows. That means lower equities, and a weaker dollar. Given a falling dollar, rising inflation, and...
Look for price to hang out in the price range box for several days before moving down. If you want to open a position towards the top of the price range box that is fine. Personally I'm going to wait for some sort of failed breakout towards the top of the price range before getting involved on the short side. I'm giving two target prices to close your position...
I say, trends in silly moneymaking funds like USO and UCO, UWTI, etc are a great way to get rich, but as my great grandfather said and his great grandfather before him, "Always know where $50 is." This chart is meant to show you exactly that in relation to USO. Why does USO do this funny little contango dance around oil? Why, that's for another post my boy!
Current algo targets (red circles) Crude algo intra work sheet 645 AM Dec 2, 16 FX $USOIL $WTI FXCM #Oil $USO $UWTI $DWTI $CL_F #OOTT #Algo Considering the fact that a recent time / price cycle has expired algo targets are considered "soft" - waiting on confirmation. twitter.com www.compoundtrading.com