simplenothing

PRO
Message Follow Following Unfollow
Last visit Joined 4 months ago @Tradometry
Learning as I go. Trying to keep it simple. Interested in equities and VIX.
Markets Allocation
94 % stocks 6 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USO 9% | 3 XIV 9% | 3 SPY 6% | 2 EA 6% | 2
simplenothing simplenothing PRO XIV/SSO, W, Short , 9 days ago
XIV/SSO: Likely Trend reversal for equities
23 0 5
XIV/SSO, W Short
Likely Trend reversal for equities

For most people with common sense, it's not a question of if the markets will top, but when. I think this spinning top candle on the weekly here, may finally lead us lower next week. At the very least, it's a sign to be cautious.

simplenothing simplenothing PRO VGZ, D, Long , 11 days ago
VGZ: Favorite Mining Stock
18 0 4
VGZ, D Long
Favorite Mining Stock

I think miners are looking good. VGZ has no debt, and is my lottery ticket of the miners I own.

simplenothing simplenothing PRO USO, D, Long , 2 months ago
USO: USO - Support around 10.90
30 0 2
USO, D Long
USO - Support around 10.90

Looking for USO to strengthen around 10.90 where 50, 100 and 200 ma confluence exists. Also trendline support.

simplenothing simplenothing PRO GPRO, 120, Long , 2 months ago
GPRO: GPRO - Long into earnings
45 0 3
GPRO, 120 Long
GPRO - Long into earnings

I will try to buy tomorrow around $9.20. We sell GoPros where I work, and sales in December, which is their biggest volume month, were only down -0.9% this year. Last year, December was down -18.2%. So, it could be that sales are starting to suck less, which is a start.

simplenothing simplenothing PRO IRBT, D, Short , 2 months ago
IRBT: IRBT Top (overbought weekly)
18 0 4
IRBT, D Short
IRBT Top (overbought weekly)

Expect to fill gap around 53.5. Sold some 62.5 calls expiring Jan20

simplenothing simplenothing PRO XIV, W, Short , 2 months ago
XIV: XIV - Bearish Engulfing weekly
33 0 4
XIV, W Short
XIV - Bearish Engulfing weekly

Bearish Engulfing candle on XIV indicates equities will most likely continue to struggle next week. SPY currently at 233.25

simplenothing simplenothing PRO CFG, 240, Short , 2 months ago
CFG: CFG - Expect retracement to 23.6% Fib
13 0 5
CFG, 240 Short
CFG - Expect retracement to 23.6% Fib

Bought CFG bear spread (sold 1 Jan20 35 call; bought 1 Jan20 40 call) for -1.37 (credit). I think stock is overbought and Value Line dropped it's rank from 3 to 4 FWIW... I'm looking for it to fill gap around 33.

simplenothing simplenothing PRO GLD, 120, Long , 2 months ago
GLD: GLD - Guess on short-term direction
59 0 7
GLD, 120 Long
GLD - Guess on short-term direction

Extremely bullish monthly and weekly candles. Short-term target 112. After that, maybe a pullback to form a cup-handle scenario on this 2-hour??? Just a wild guess on that part.

simplenothing simplenothing PRO XIV/SSO, D, Short , 2 months ago
XIV/SSO: Equity markets topping here
35 0 3
XIV/SSO, D Short
Equity markets topping here

This is XIV / SSO (double S&P). I think it is finally signaling a top here. SPY closed at 225.38. Based both on shorter term rising wedge and Longer term (blue) trendline resistance.

simplenothing simplenothing PRO AMZN, D, Short , 2 months ago
AMZN: Plan for AMZN
51 0 4
AMZN, D Short
Plan for AMZN

I plan to short around 779 which is 1) last week's highs and 2) the 50% fib retracement and 3) the 50SMA. Monthly and weekly charts are looking weak, especially against rest of market, so I think we should see at least a drop to 740 after that. Maybe it will find some support at the 200 day MA.

simplenothing simplenothing PRO IBB, 60, Long , 2 months ago
IBB: IBB - Gap Filled, can move higher now
19 0 1
IBB, 60 Long
IBB - Gap Filled, can move higher now

I'm playing odd that this will move a little higher. Bought Dec23 270 call / sold two Dec23 280 calls for $1.90

simplenothing simplenothing PRO EA, 240, Short , 2 months ago
EA:  EA - top of channel again
29 0 4
EA, 240 Short
EA - top of channel again

This setup worked last time I posted, so figured I'd try again now that it has returned to upper trendline. Bought one Jan20 85p; sold one Jan6 74p for 6.85.

simplenothing simplenothing PRO CMG, 240, Long , 2 months ago
CMG: CMG - Finally some strength?
38 0 6
CMG, 240 Long
CMG - Finally some strength?

Looks to me like CMG is finally coming off a long base. Sold 397.5 puts expiring Dec 9th for 5.50 credit.

simplenothing simplenothing PRO TLGT, 240, Long , 3 months ago
TLGT: TLGT - Bull Flag
25 0 1
TLGT, 240 Long
TLGT - Bull Flag

Looks like standard bull flag. Hoping for between 8.6 and 8.9. I'm in at 7.43

simplenothing simplenothing PRO EA, 120, Short , 3 months ago
EA: EA - Top of channel short
22 1 3
EA, 120 Short
EA - Top of channel short

Looking for stock to reverse lower from this 79.5 level to middle of channel or lower. I'm long the Dec23 79.5p and short 2 74.5p

simplenothing simplenothing PRO USO, 240, Long , 3 months ago
USO: USO - Staying bullish
27 0 2
USO, 240 Long
USO - Staying bullish

Figured I'd update this USO chart with a new target (#3). Unfortunately Energy-related stocks didn't pull back as I hoped when USO nipped at target-1. However, hopefully the target-2 area will allow them to consolidate before moving higher again.

simplenothing simplenothing PRO BIIB, 240, Long , 3 months ago
BIIB: BIIB - Bull flag
21 0 1
BIIB, 240 Long
BIIB - Bull flag

BIIB showing good relative strength. I bought 1 325 Dec16 call and sold 2 350 calls for 2.10 debit.

simplenothing simplenothing PRO ESV, 240, Long , 3 months ago
ESV: ESV
25 0 3
ESV, 240 Long
ESV

Tried this one before, hopefully better luck this time. I bought at 8.86

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