followed the Fibonacci lines perfectly interday. a pure speculative emotion play, emotion is an expression of the universe, an electrochemical reaction, and Fibonacci is seen in all organizational patterns in the universe. i tried doing 5 minute but it wouldnt let me. the 5 minute tells a much better story. im starting to get sick of tradingview to tell you...
My timing is slightly off but with the recent breakout, it appears that my wave count is on the money. We are in wave 5 of a larger 1 of this bull markets final Wave 5. I hope that did not confuse you. So I do not think this will measure the same as wave 3 which would take it to around 2510 ish. And I am looking for it to be a little bigger than wave 1, which...
I have not posted a SP500 chart for a while so I thought I would show how its going. So far its following along with my prediction. As you can see, if we do reach 2500, then a 10% market correction would bring it down to the bottom of the large channel trend line. I may try TVIX in June. I am pretty sure we are about to finish a very large Wave 1 of our mega...
SP500 Daily Chart Did you like my title? "The end is near". BUT NOT YET. I'll explain. First on this daily chart I would like to point out that we dropped a little bit over the last couple weeks. The hidden bearish divergence on the RSI below played out. But as you can also see, we have a larger hidden bullish divergence that has formed. Look at the last...
A bullish Cipher is shaping up near the lows.Entry at 18.86 and first target @23.00.MACD is in positive territory.
Weekly Chart I just thought I would do an update to where I think we are in the broader markets. 1st I thought I would post this weekly chart so you can see my count as to when the "BIG CRASH" might (might take place). I am thinking not until the next presidential election. That's just a guess. Nothing special about it. But I think the Trump policies, once...
I have been giving it some thought and I have a feeling that there will be a rate hike on February 1st and I will list my reasons. #1) We are currently in the micro wave 5 which wont last until the March 14th Fed meeting. 2) The CME group has a FED Watch tool that gives a percentage for the likelihood for a rate hike for this year.....and for Feb 1st we are at...
We are not experiencing a traditional "January Effect", this market is showing a strong consolidation period; with clear trends migrating towards the downside. Will this trend reverse to the upside? The answer to this question can be clarified with an analysis of the VIX. Currently, VIX is trending to the upside, this would be an indication of the return of a...
I believe we are completing our minor wave 5 up to about 2300 2310 range in this bigger wave three. The FOMC rate hike estimation for February 1st is at 97%. I do believe they will hike again on that date being that the last one did nothing. This would also coincide with an overdue DCL. But if we are in fact in a bigger wave 3 then this correction should not...
With VIX at sub-12 levels, broad market implied volatility is low here, and a basic screen run for high implied volatility rank/high implied volatility yields few high quality results. Here's what I'm looking at ... . SPY et al (Broad Market) The first expiry with greater than 15% implied volatility for SPY is in the June expiry. The most I like to go out with...
CME_MINI:ES1! AMEX:SPY TVC:SPX TVC:DJI AMEX:DIA TVC:VIX AMEX:UVXY AMEX:VXX NASDAQ:TVIX
$ AMEX:SPY TVC:SPX SPY TVC:VIX AMEX:UVXY NASDAQ:TVIX AMEX:VXX
SP500 Daily Chart It appears that we are in our micro wave 5 move to complete this bigger wave 3. That's how I see it anyways. And I think we can make it to almost 2300 before the DCL rollover. It just never seems to be able to make it all the way through those milestones marks the first time. If you zoom out you will see my little cycle indicators and if you...
I'm doing a little planning ahead here for the UVXY 5-1 reverse split, currently scheduled to occur on Jan 12th. Truth be told, UVXY is not one of my favorite VIX derivatives to play, largely due to options liquidity, which leads to wide bid/asks that you have to putz with in order to get filled for something vaguely approaching a "fair price." Nevertheless, I...
A 5-1 reverse split is scheduled to occur in UVXY on 1/12/17. In a nutshell, this messes with options positions (see Post below) ... . However, it can also be an opportunity to get into a short UVXY "Contango Drift" play. I'll do a separate post shortly ... .