At some point volatility has to come up.... So I bought the 14/15 Call debit spread and financed it with the 13 Put The trade: VXX superbull Buy the 14 Call Sell the 15 Call Sell the 13 Put 64% probability of profit Break even at 12.95
... and buy the $VIX (or some form of it) Volatility about to get STUPID. VIX will double from here.
We are at the lows and this trade is a neutral to bullish strategy. By selling the 18/19 Credit spread we make money if VXX continues to go down, however by selling the At the money Put we collect enough premium so that we have no risk to the upside in case volatility decides to explode. To be more efficient with my capital I am also buying the 13 Put...
just not good-looking overall next week, if continue this trend, gap down will be filled soon
Trend line broken. If genuine then VXX could make a move Long. See projected on chart for potential targets.
SP500 Daily Chart Did you like my title? "The end is near". BUT NOT YET. I'll explain. First on this daily chart I would like to point out that we dropped a little bit over the last couple weeks. The hidden bearish divergence on the RSI below played out. But as you can also see, we have a larger hidden bullish divergence that has formed. Look at the last...
Accumulating here at a pierce of even # $16. Nice hedge against the longs in the portfolio in the meantime. Upside targets $16.60, $17 and beyond.
I had published an idea while ago and now after I revisited the IHS target I realized I have to correct it. I thin $2400 is a great psychological level as well!
VXX is acting strong today. However, market has animal spirit right now and it pays you if you short Vol than going it long. Short VXX as soon as it hits 20MA! Stop is close above 50MA!
DAX is testing a broken uptrend line (as resistance). With structure, broken trend line, 2 MA lines and minor downtrend line - 11,600-11,650 makes a potential Sell Zone 11,500 and 11,450 are the short term target zones
I have been giving it some thought and I have a feeling that there will be a rate hike on February 1st and I will list my reasons. #1) We are currently in the micro wave 5 which wont last until the March 14th Fed meeting. 2) The CME group has a FED Watch tool that gives a percentage for the likelihood for a rate hike for this year.....and for Feb 1st we are at...
I believe we are completing our minor wave 5 up to about 2300 2310 range in this bigger wave three. The FOMC rate hike estimation for February 1st is at 97%. I do believe they will hike again on that date being that the last one did nothing. This would also coincide with an overdue DCL. But if we are in fact in a bigger wave 3 then this correction should not...
With VIX at sub-12 levels, broad market implied volatility is low here, and a basic screen run for high implied volatility rank/high implied volatility yields few high quality results. Here's what I'm looking at ... . SPY et al (Broad Market) The first expiry with greater than 15% implied volatility for SPY is in the June expiry. The most I like to go out with...
CME_MINI:ES1! AMEX:SPY TVC:SPX TVC:DJI AMEX:DIA TVC:VIX AMEX:UVXY AMEX:VXX NASDAQ:TVIX
$ AMEX:SPY TVC:SPX SPY TVC:VIX AMEX:UVXY NASDAQ:TVIX AMEX:VXX
SP500 Daily Chart It appears that we are in our micro wave 5 move to complete this bigger wave 3. That's how I see it anyways. And I think we can make it to almost 2300 before the DCL rollover. It just never seems to be able to make it all the way through those milestones marks the first time. If you zoom out you will see my little cycle indicators and if you...