Bear diamond or reverse abcd. looking for 3.15-3.26 >3.66 we continue to the upside
AVB has a death cross that is approaching. This pattern still favor's a near term bounce but will likely resume its longer term downtrend once buy the dippers are exhausted. This is a trend that is not your friend.
With major weakness in the banking sector we are still seeing the contagion play out. Some banks are more at risk than others. Based off of a blow out in Credit Default Swaps. The bond market is showing there is tremendous risk in this bank. Just like Credit Suisse CD's blew out befroe the collapse, we are watching COF credit defaults blowout.
Yet another example of a market mean reverting to its long term 200-day ma at 3.13 and attempting to stabilise. We have seen SVB collapse and UBS take over Credit Suisse and during this market turmoil, as at other times, we are likely to see markets mean revert to their long term moving averages - particular attention should be paid to the 200 and 55 week moving...
$TNX has held better than short term #yields but could this be changing now? - The 2yr & 1Yr are holding. - Of course, it's early in the trading day so we'll see tomorrow morning how things go. - In reference to the post last week on #yield in 2008, we need to keep an eye on TOPS in these #bond yields. It took 1 year at that time before there was a lower high. IMO...
Are we about to witness a technical breakout in the QQQ? Yields have softened, Disocunt window opened, heading into options X...lots of catalyst to rip higher. However Tech is overbought and into technical resistance.
Good Morning! We've been mostly cash when it comes to #stocks. Been defensive as we have #GOLD #SILVER #BCH #BTC (#crypto #altcoins in personal) some $VIX & some bigger VALUE names, added some more today $AMGN $VZ as examples. We've reduced the exposure as the direction seems south but anything can happen. FEAR is the word. #Dollar ripping again & bond...
In this update we review the recent price action in the TLT etf and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target
Was kind of expected to get some bounce from #Bond #Yields. The last two days, especially yesterday, was RARE in yield price action. It happens but it's rare. The buys could have been investors trying to take advantage of higher rates being that they are "expecting" the Fed Reserve to lower rates. We mentioned that most yields, when we posted, were at or close...
Good that I always TRUST my Charts: US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield has dropped 'nicely' since my last post, which was 'against the stream' since when i posted it Powell was being extra-Hawkish and situation was different. News: The yield on the 2-year Treasury note fell sharply on Friday as the shutdown of Silicon Valley Bank sparked a flight to safer...
With oil breaking bullish support, it's safe to say that demand has been cratering around the world. As Jeff Snider has discussed for months now, if the supply constraints on oil aren't driving oil higher, then there must be a serious demand problem. Overheated economy? I think not. Add to that Gold up and Yields down and that means low growth + low inflation....
Just when we thought the hawkish narrative was pretty much priced in, SVB’s fallout basically threw a spanner into the hiking cycle. You’ve probably read quite a lot about the whole SVB debacle since Thursday’s trading session so we won’t harp on that. We instead want to turn your attention to two other markets that moved significantly since the SVB episode....
Today we saw a systemic risk in the financial sector. The regional banks were hit extremally hard and as a result the Major banks saw sell side liquidation. Where there's one cockroach, there's usually another. Risk in the banking sector is the worst type of risk investors can ask for. Credit liquidity crisis is not something to mess around with. SIVB looks...
One of the reasons US Treasuries, and other bonds, have been selling off is the dumping by Japanese investors. All duration #YIELDS have done well but more so the shorter term. The Inverted Yield Curve has widened over the last few months but has been significantly lately. However, today we see the 1 & 10Yr ($TNX) selling off but the 2 Yr is CRATERING!...
Good afternoon Swiss investors, today I made an analysis on the Switzerlnd 10 Year Government Bonds Yield, it shows that it's too early to put your money on the market since we're waiting for it to cross the golden point to see whether you put your money on it or no. For any more analysis on a specific market don't hesitate to ask and I'll be answering with pleasure.
EURJPY - Trade idea! This post is purely based on technicals! Pattern: Wedge/Triangle - A break to either direction. Highs: 145.575 Lows: 144.030 If it breaks the highs expect your target areas to be 147 low areas & If it breaks the lows expect your target areas to be 143 areas (200 EMA). Be careful of false break outs and we do have a busy day on the docket...
Massive level of resistance has played out and Stocks could power higher as Treasury yields and dollar might ease further. 4,22% has been a Major Support/Resistance level (S/R as you can see on the chart) and the prices down have dropped even lower, below the psychological 4% What does that mean? When US government bond yields are on resistance, meaning they...
Copper is struggling at resistance. Often when Copper Struggles, so to does the S&P500. Copper can be ultra sensitive to the Dollar and yields, so watch it carefully as an economic barometer.