During the previous week there has not been significant news published for the current state of the US economy, so the Treasury yields remained relatively stable, moving within a short range. The US Labor department revised its data for the inflation in December from 0.3% down to 0.2%, but the US Treasuries did not react much to this news. One of the reasons might...
I will start forecasting full years in advance and provide updates from there finally understand how the bond markets works dont be fooled folk 2024 nasdaq is crashing market is overbought the recovery was too quick easy come easy go and only the informed are preparing their shorts if u appreciate my work like, tip, comment, follow
Current state of the short and long term #Yield. The 1Yr is underperforming against the 2Yr yield. However, it looks like it wants to push higher. 10Yr vs 30Yr The 10Yr is performing lil better than 30 but....... The 30Yr has a BULLISH short term crossing over longer term moving avg, RSI also looks strong. IMO yields are looking good. Seems like there is still...
Uptrend has commenced and we have barely begun. Generally inflation has 3 waves, and we have had our first. Rates are only up from here. Next stop is 10% ish and a 618 retrace. Wishing for 5% to be terminal rate was a joke.
Hi Trader! U.S. Treasury yields climbed on Wednesday after an unexpected rise in UK inflation last month and stronger-than-expected U.S. December retail sales data strengthened the case that interest rate cuts will not be as imminent as the market expects. The UK inflation print, as well as more push-back from European Central Bank officials on Wednesday against...
Good Morning Update Looking at the short & long term Bond Yields. Short term (3M & 6M) yields are trading above bank crisis levels. The 1Yr & 2Yr #yield are underneath the crisis levels. The 10Yr is currently at those levels & 30Yr is above said levels. Makes one think....... How much longer can #banks support these levels? CRYPTOCAP:BTC AMEX:GLD ...
Hey guys, Crude oil came down recently, which can help inflation to come down as well if energy market will continue to decline. In fact I see nice bearish pattern, so my assumption is that US yeilds and USD can be trading at resistance. In this video I will also look at the chart of the 10 year US yeilds where I see greater chance for a drop to 3% rather than...
The 100-year government bond is an extremely interesting investment opportunity. Bonds tend to price this recession more than stocks, so in the case of a soft landing, they should perform significantly stronger than stocks, which may have this already priced this in. Additionally, the 100-year bond, with its high duration, has extreme sensitivity to interest...
Good Morning! Let's get it done! Look at #yield for 1yr - 30Yr. What do you see? Last week we said they looked 2b bottoming out a bit. Do any of these look weak to you? RSI above halfway point, solidifying the possible bottoming process. Short term #Interestrates keep testing the top part of the white line. The more something is tested the weaker it becomes and...
US FED officials decided to leave the rates unchanged at the FOMC meeting during the previous week, however, the much better than expected jobs data influenced major Treasury yields move during the previous week. Although the market was expecting to see the figure of 180K, the released figure was almost doubled to 353K. In the eyes of market participants, this...
US 10-year yield spiked on Friday which strengthened the 61.8% Fibo retracement rate of 3.931%. The main resistance rates now sit at 4.057% and 4.115%, the 50- and 200-day MA’s. Given the lower high made last week I suspect the next move will be higher towards the 38.2% Fibo rate of 4.347% so keep your eyes on this week’s US 10-year bond auction.
Hello and have a good time I trade according to these analyses My analysis is based on fundamentals, intermarket analysis, news, geopolitical topics, and of course technical levels. I hope it is your light
if monthly plays out this trend line, perhaps the US is following the path of Japan.
In short term, If US02Y spikes then BTC nukes a bit. So expecting a nuke by tomorrow or anytime soon. BTC to 35K is still in play with previous cycles retracements to 0.318.
it looks like we are about to have fun again, its going to be a slow ride there though.
employment data beat slows down bond bulls. we either role from 4.085 or 4.25
This shouldn't happen. But I imagined it and I thought that I would make it real. The drawing. The market might not agree with me. But I will be looking forward to see any price action that might signal the end of another wave. Regardless of the direction of the future. Easier to draw the past, than to predict the end and the beginning. Of another wave. Of another...