Get started

ETF market

Where's The Top?Good evening traders, If you're anything like me, you've probably been asking yourself for a few days now when SPY will top out? So here is my technical analysis with a breakdown of my thoughts and predictions for the next few upcoming weeks. First and foremost, Trump took office on Jan 20th. The "Trump Pump" is alive and well, obviously. I'm starting to think the market was being retrained from a breakout under the Biden Administration, though we saw over a 25% return YTD. Side note: This year is projected to do 3% on the S&P 500. With that said, it is the S&P 500. The 500 largest companies in the United States. As Tech and AI take flight into 2025, it can only be assumed that large companies that make up the S&P 500 would be adopting these new resources in order to help them turn profits. What does this mean for retail traders? To put it simply, the trend is your friend, until it's not. These index funds, such as SPY have consumed bears for almost a consecutive 10 days, following a parallel channel towards a high target/trend line around the area of 623-626. Until this channel of mayhem is broken, SPY is bullish. This is no man's land and we could change direction at any given moment. The lines of resistance are as follows: .. .. .. .. Thanks for reading,
AMEX:SPYLong
by Tsteves
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-23-25 : Carryover PatternToday's Carryover pattern suggests the markets will attempt to hold near recent support while attempting to determine trend. I view it as move of an indecisive day - looking to see if the markets can break to new all-time highs or if the markets have reached the top I've been discussing. In my opinion, today will be a pause/consolidation day in the SPY/QQQ - leading to the big CRUSH pattern tomorrow. Gold and Silver are under quite a bit of pressure this morning. The metals pattern is a BOTTOM pattern. So, I expect this selling in metals to be reflective of issues that will drive the SPY/QQQ downward tomorrow (the CRUSH pattern) and likely result in a moderate downward trend in the SPY/QQQ over the next 2 weeks. Metals will recover and try to move higher as metals continues to hedge against global risks. BTCUSD is moving downward - trying to break below the Flag Support level of the EPP pattern. I believe tomorrow will be a pivotal day for the markets and today will be a fairly consolidated day overall. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
4
GLD UpdateGold seems to be intent on continuing to rise. This make me wonder if the ALT is correct. For those that don't remember, the ALT suggested that wave 4 was already over and was shallow. In order for wave 4 to have alternation with 2 though, it should be deep. We will just have to wait and see, but to me this thing has two possibilities for the ensuing pattern. The first (white count) is that this raise from the $234 bottom has been a deep b wave. If this is the case, it should be turning around very soon and heading lower again. The second (turquoise count) suggests that wave 4 is already over and wave 5 has begun. The turquoise labels are tracking the possible impulsive pattern. Time will tell but GLD moves slowly most of the time so be patient.
AMEX:GLD
by TSuth
META - Technical Analysis for Trading & GEX Option Analysis1. Technical Analysis for Trading * Trend & Price Action: META is showing bullish momentum, breaking previous resistance levels. The price is forming a rising channel and steadily trending upwards. * Support Levels: * $612.50: Immediate support marked as the HVL. * $600: Strong psychological support near the 3rd PUT Wall. * $588.55: The lowest support visible on the chart. * Resistance Levels: * $637.40: The current price is testing this resistance near the highest positive NETGEX wall. * $650: Next critical resistance level with GEX influence. * Indicators: * MACD: Positive histogram with the MACD line above the signal line, confirming upward momentum. * Stochastic RSI: Overbought levels indicate caution for short-term pullbacks but align with the ongoing bullish trend. * Volume: Increasing volume supports the upward movement, validating the breakout above $630. 2. GEX Option Analysis * Gamma Exposure Levels: * $637.50 (Highest positive NETGEX/Resistance): Strong gamma resistance; a breakout above this level could trigger a further rally to $650. * $630 (2nd CALL Wall): Previous resistance now acting as support, indicating bullish sentiment among option traders. * $600 (PUT Wall): Minor support indicating limited bearish pressure below this level. * Option Insights: * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 48.9, indicating slightly elevated IV compared to historical levels. * IVx (Implied Volatility Index): 47.2, suggesting moderate IV with potential for significant moves. * Call-to-Put Ratio (Call$ %): 38.5% of gamma exposure is call-focused, reflecting bullish dominance in the options market. 3. Strategy & Action Plan * Bullish Trade Setup: * Entry: Near $630 or on a breakout above $637.50 with confirmation. * Target: $650 and potentially $660. * Stop-Loss: Below $625. * Bearish Trade Setup (Pullback Scenario): * Entry: On rejection from $637.50 with confirmation. * Target: $612.50. * Stop-Loss: Above $640. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
$QQQ Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Today & MondayToday’s expected move is between 529 and 537, that is 8.75% move and underneath us we have the 35 EMA with that up gap from Wednesday. It is also paired with the down gap from resistance on Friday, December 27, so we do have a small island gap down at the bottom of the trading range to fill that may not feel today but it will soon Above us at the very top of the training range the red dash line is previous all-time high at 5:39.15. We do have a Read signal line here still but we are trading strongly above the 35 EMA so lean into that for support near 529
NASDAQ:QQQ
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels and Targets for Today & TomorrowThe expected move for today is between 606 and 613 and that is a .54% move today and the only level we have in our trading range today is that 35 EMA you could see it’s been a pretty support all week and then we have that up gap from This Wednesday, which could give some added support at the bottom of the trading range. Monday’s contract at the bottom takes us in the middle of that gap and with how extremely overbought we are that 50 day moving average could be a really great target for next week.
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Today & MondayToday’s expected move in IW is between 227 and 232 which is a 1.19% move. We are sitting right at the 35 EMA, which has been a support level however we do have a downward facing one hour to average that we need to meet up with and turn back around, that is a really real target and that four hour moving average is there well they meet up around 225 so 225 could be a really great support level. We also have the 30 minute moving average underneath that and just the fact that it is underneath those two levels is a bar signal and above us. We do have the 50 day moving average, which we did see as resistance on Tuesday Wednesday.
AMEX:IWM
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
1/24/25 - $osol - Buying 10% premium sub $91/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: OTC:OSOL Buying 10% premium sub $9 - i'm showing you this chart (you can copy this into your trading view) because it's the way to know if you're overpaying for closed end funds... step 1: go to website and figure out how many units of said asset you get per share ospreyfunds.io step 2: create TV formula to show you the premium/ discount. i do this for all the names i follow... OTC:GDLC , AMEX:GBTC (back in the day), OTC:BITW , OTC:OBTC (which is pure BTC and trades 10% discount today and picked up a pile of that)... and this one too. on a day like today after we've see solana make it's "winning" move vs. ETH (for the time being), as the selected L1 winner of this cycle (ex-BTC of course)... you go "what's up this thing has had an awful run". a lot of folks don't know what they own *lol* if you follow me, you know i bash the clownheaded nature of salad robots, space lasers, quantum dreams and nuclear summer... and a lot of this degen room temp IQ stuff unfortunately loses a lot of money chasing tickers they don't do 5' of research on. so the NPC will look at a chart like this and say it's a scam/ fraud you name it. but what's really happened is a bunch of people have smashed mkt sell into a fairly illiquid ticker (only 50mm AUM) and you go back to fair value. w the the Solana ETF nearly inevitable at some pt this year, you'd ask "why overpay 10% here for this". my friends, if/when that event, Sol will be ripping so much higher and so 10% premium for pure play access to SOL is kind of obvious. does SOL go lower first, w/ BTC lower? if/so yes. do i have a crystal ball? i do. /sarc. so go slow, just put it on your watchlist. but if u like the setup, look to make a move eventually on something like this. GL V
OTC:OSOLLong
by VROCKSTAR
DIA Technical Analysis and GEX Option Trading InsightsTechnical Analysis for Trading Current Price Action: * DIA is in a strong uptrend, maintaining higher highs and higher lows. * It is approaching significant resistance at $445, with support established near $430 and $426. Trend Lines: * Upward momentum persists, supported by a rising trend line. This provides a bullish bias until broken. Indicators: * MACD: Positive momentum is weakening, signaling a potential cooldown but remains in bullish territory. * Stochastic RSI: Overbought conditions indicate a possible short-term retracement or consolidation. Key Levels to Watch: * Resistance: $445 (Immediate), $447. * Support: $430 (Trend-line support), $426. Trade Scenarios: * Bullish: If DIA breaks above $445 with strong volume, a move toward $447–$450 could materialize. * Entry: Above $445. * Target: $447–$450. * Stop-loss: Below $442. * Bearish: If rejection occurs at $445, expect a pullback to $430 or lower. * Entry: Below $440. * Target: $430–$426. * Stop-loss: Above $443. Gamma Exposure (GEX) for Option Trading * Highest Call Wall: $445 (Significant resistance zone, call sellers may cap gains beyond this level). * Highest Put Wall: $419 (Support area where put sellers provide support). * Key Gamma Levels: * Positive GEX: Above $445 supports bullish continuation. * Negative GEX: Below $430 increases volatility and bearish pressure. IV and Option Flow: * IV Rank (IVR): 21.8 (Low IV, suitable for long option strategies like debit spreads or straight calls). * Call/Put Flow: Calls dominate at 19.3%, indicating bullish sentiment. Options Trade Ideas: 1. Bullish: Buy 445 Calls, expiring within the next two weeks, targeting a move above $445 toward $450. * Entry: $445 Calls at $2.50–$3.00. * Target Exit: $447–$450. * Stop Loss: If DIA drops below $442. 2. Bearish: If rejection at $445, consider 440 Puts, targeting a drop to $430. * Entry: $440 Puts at $2.00–$2.50. * Target Exit: $430. * Stop Loss: Above $443. Outlook Summary: * Bullish bias remains intact, but short-term overbought conditions suggest a potential pullback. * Watch for clear price action signals near key levels at $445 and $430 to confirm entry and exit strategies. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:DIA
by BullBearInsights
$DIA Analysis, Key Levels & TargetsToday’s expected move for DIA is between 442 and 448 and that is a .58% move and underneath us we do have 35 EMA clearly a support all week. It is at the bottom of the training range and that could pull us down just because of the positioning of it but so far it is support so keep an eye on that we are extremely over bought look at stupid Willie down below, looking like a pullback is likely and again we have that one hour moving the 30 minute underneath that that in itself is Berish but the fact that the one hour is facing down it’s very likely we come up onto that sooner than later and I mean next week for DIA this week the top of the week was supposed to be at 4:41 while that is still possible that is not in today’s implied move so if you did sell 441 calls, it could be a good time to roll those out to next week, and really yesterday would’ve been a better day to do that but today still a good day to roll out and reposition for next week for a pullback
AMEX:DIAShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
The Importance of a Bitcoin Trust & why do we have themWe all know the term NOT YOUR KEYS NOT YOUR CRYPTO so why would anyone invest into a CRYPTOCAP:BTC TRUST? How do we benefit from this & should we hold it long term? Before I answer this let me give you a understanding of (GBTC). Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) is a financial product that allows investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without directly owning it. Here’s what it means for Bitcoin and for those investing in GBTC: For Bitcoin 1. Increased Institutional Adoption: • GBTC provides a bridge for institutional and traditional investors to access Bitcoin through a familiar investment vehicle. • As Grayscale buys Bitcoin to back shares of the trust, this can lead to increased demand for Bitcoin, positively impacting its price over time. 2. Legitimization of Bitcoin: • Products like GBTC contribute to Bitcoin’s legitimacy as a recognized and investable asset. • This can attract more mainstream and regulatory acceptance of Bitcoin as a store of value or investment vehicle. 3. Impact on Liquidity: • Grayscale’s purchases remove Bitcoin from circulation, as the BTC held in the trust is locked up. This can create scarcity in the market, potentially driving prices higher during times of high demand. For Investors in GBTC 1. Convenience: • GBTC is a way to gain Bitcoin exposure without dealing with wallets, private keys, or cryptocurrency exchanges. Shares are bought and sold like traditional stocks. 2. Premiums and Discounts: • GBTC doesn’t always trade at the exact value of the Bitcoin it holds. • Premium: When demand for GBTC is high, its price can exceed the value of the underlying Bitcoin. • Discount: When demand is low, shares can trade below the value of the Bitcoin held. 3. Fees: • Grayscale charges an annual management fee (currently 2%). Over time, this can erode returns compared to holding Bitcoin directly. 4. No Redemption Option: • GBTC investors cannot redeem their shares for actual Bitcoin. This makes it less flexible compared to direct ownership of Bitcoin. Key Takeaways for Potential Investors • Pros: • Easy exposure to Bitcoin without technical complexities. • Access via traditional brokerage accounts or retirement portfolios. • Secure and regulated custody. • Cons: • Higher costs (management fees and potential premiums). • Limited flexibility (no direct access to Bitcoin). • Performance may not perfectly mirror Bitcoin’s price due to premiums/discounts. For Bitcoin as a whole, products like GBTC signify growing acceptance and accessibility. For investors, it’s a convenient option but may not be the most cost-efficient way to invest in Bitcoin long-term. If you understand this then you will be able to leverage this in a way to accumulate & exit without owning a token that will cost you over 103K currently for just 1. Jeremy Flanagan DGD
AMEX:GBTCLong
by jflanagan229
SPY at a Crossroads: Key Levels and Options Strat for Max ProfitAnalysis and Trade Plan for SPY Based on the 1-Hour Chart SPY is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, reflecting bullish momentum. However, key resistance at 607.82—backed by strong Gamma Exposure (GEX)—poses a critical decision point for traders. Here's a detailed breakdown of potential moves and strategies: Key Levels to Watch: 1. Resistance: * 607.82: Current high and GEX resistance. * 610-612: Psychological level and channel extension. 2. Support: * 605: Minor support within the trend. * 599.56: Major support zone highlighted by GEX and channel lower boundary. Momentum Indicators: * MACD: Bearish crossover, signaling potential short-term weakness. * Stochastic RSI: Overbought and turning downward, suggesting a possible pullback. * Volume: Moderate, with no strong conviction near resistance. Trade Plan for 1-Hour Chart Bullish Setup (Breakout Above 607.82): * Entry: Above 607.82, confirmed by strong volume. * Target: 610 and 612 (upper channel resistance). * Stop-Loss: Below 605. Bearish Setup (Breakdown Below 605): * Entry: Below 605, confirmed by increasing bearish volume. * Target: 599.56 and potentially 595 (lower support). * Stop-Loss: Above 606. Options Strategies Based on GEX (5-7 DTE) The GEX levels provide critical insights into market dynamics, with 607 acting as a strong resistance zone and 600 as a key support. Utilizing options expiring in 5-7 days (Jan 30, 2025), we can position trades for both bullish and bearish scenarios while minimizing the impact of time decay. Bullish Option Strategy: * Buy Call: * Strike: 607 (ATM) or 605 (slightly ITM). * Expiry: Jan 30, 2025. * Entry: On a confirmed breakout above 607.82. * Target: Resistance at 610-612. * Stop-Loss: If SPY falls below 605. Bearish Option Strategy: * Buy Put: * Strike: 600 or 599 (slightly OTM). * Expiry: Jan 30, 2025. * Entry: On a confirmed breakdown below 605. * Target: Support at 599.56 and potentially 595. * Stop-Loss: If SPY climbs back above 606. Why 5-7 DTE Options? * Lower Theta Decay: Allows trades to develop over a few days without rapid value loss. * Controlled Risk: More time to adjust positions or exit with minimal losses. * Flexibility: Captures both intraday moves and multi-day trends. Trading Tip: Stay Flexible While the 1-hour chart shows bullish momentum, the negative skew (-17.9%) and GEX resistance at 607 suggest caution. Monitor price action closely at key levels, and don’t hesitate to switch bias if the market conditions change. Conclusion:
SPY’s price action and GEX levels highlight critical opportunities for breakout or pullback trades. Use a combination of chart-based entries and 5-7 DTE options to maximize profit potential while minimizing risk. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading. 🚨
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
QQQ Will Explode! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the QQQ next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 507.22 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 521.67 My Stop Loss - 499.62 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by AnabelSignals
2
Opening (IRA): USO February 21st 79/April 17th 107 PMCP** -- Poor Man's Covered Put Comments: Shorting USO on strength using a long put diagonal/Poor Man's Covered Put, buying the back month 90 delta put and selling the front month 30 that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 22.96 debit Break Even: 84.04 Max Profit: 5.04 ROC at Max: 21.95% 50% Max: 2.52 ROC at 50% Max: 10.98% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out the short put on approaching worthless.
AMEX:USOShort
by NaughtyPines