UVXY. Don't stay long too longUVXY needs plotting on a logarithmic scale to properly track the exponential decay. Bitcoin's rise was impressive, but inverted and plotted on the same scale it doesn't beat UVXY's decline.Shortby VIXtrade1
UVXP Consolidation Pattern in a Bullish Channel5-7 day forecast for UVXP. Bullish trend in a consolidating channel forming. Great swing trade if you are into that kind of thing. Great looking chart, I would set an alert/reminder to check back on this stock. It's only an idea, trade at your own risk people! by bitcake2018112
UVXY moving with room up aboveVolatility is rising with futures way down tonight - ready to rock tomorrow AMEX:UVXYLongby EagleWing3
Volatility to return in 2018!SuperTrend buy signal triggered. We have crossed the rubicon and are now at market levels where retail investors and permabear "professionals" who have been sitting on the sidelines during this most hated bull market in history are compelled to throw in the towel. As they finally re-enter the market, it will lead to increased volatility and I expect up to a 10% correction in the major US indexes in the first half of 2018. Additionally the short volatility trade is extremely lopsided and will not take much of an uptick to unravel. While I do expect volatility to increase significantly from major lows this year, it doesn't mean the major US stock indexes will be negative at year end. To the contrary, I expect more all time highs as the year progresses alongside an uptick volatility which will be a scenario most have not seen often. Longby mcostigane1
UVXY(15m). Possible KoD, Bullish Gartley, Butterfly.UVXY(15m). Possible KoD, Bullish Gartley, Butterfly.Longby JohnSp2
THINKING AHEAD TO (YET ANOTHER) UVXY REVERSE SPLITAs I thumb twiddle a bit here waiting for another VXX weekly expiry to open up and for a UVXY reverse split, I'm pondering potential long-dated plays in UVXY I can put on immediately post-split that are basically "set and forget" plays. I have seen evidence in both open interest and volume of people playing both ends of the stick at split when the price of the underlying -- in all likelihood -- will be at a high point, after which contango erosion and/or beta slippage will ensue: (1) buy long-dated (as long as you can go) at-the-money or deep-in-the-money puts; or (2) buy long-dated out-of-the-money puts for about the price you would pay to put on your standard 3-wide long put vertical (or less; some folks literally buy the most out-of-the-money, cheapest long puts they can lay their grubbies on). Because I'm literally not made of money, option (1) is out -- deep-in-the-money is just plain ass pricey on a per contract basis, and I question the usefulness of paying more than you have to in intrinsic and/or extrinsic value when the play is that the underlying is going to erode from that point forward over longer time frames -- just being deeper in the money doesn't necessarily pay more in that event unless you are paying less extrinsic by going that way.* Consequently, the play I'm going to put on immediately post-split is out-of-the-money long puts in a strike where I'm paying around 2.25 or less per contract (obviously, the less, the better) in the longest dated expiry that exists at the time of the split.** Naturally, it's difficult to price these out at the moment, so I'll just wait for the split and price them out then ... . * -- The general rule with most underlyings is that the deeper you go in the money, the less extrinsic you should pay. However, if you want to buy a Jan '20 35 long put at the moment (an extreme example, I know), it'll cost you 29.95 at the mid. 35 (the strike) minus 9.67 (current price of the underlying) = 25.33; 29.95 (the price you'd pay for the long put) minus 25.33 = 4.62. That 4.62's extrinsic value you're paying for up front, and that will decay over time. ** -- I can also see the potential in just buying deep out of the money long put verticals instead "on the cheap." Having a short put aspect as part of the play will naturally offset some of the extrinsic you're paying for the long. To a certain extent, it's a matter of how much you want to stick out there for how long ... .Shortby NaughtyPines335
Selling calls in UVXYUVXY is trading in a downtrend, I believe the trend will continue. Going to sell the 11 strike call for DEC 22 looking to collect 30 cents or per contract. Shortby rg777220
OPENING: UVXY JAN 19TH 14/17 & 15/18 LONG PUT VERTICALSI had to scramble mightily to get these on at the 11 CST pop/VXST/VIX ratio of >1.15, first opening the 14/17 for a 2.25 debit and then the 15/18 for a 2.20 debit ... . The break even for the former is 14.75 with a max profit potential of $75/contract and a 15.80 break even for the latter with a max profit potential of $80/contract.Shortby NaughtyPinesUpdated 5
OPENING: UVXY JAN 19TH 13/16 LONG PUT VERTICAL... for a 2.29 debit. Metrics: Probability of Profit: 61% Max Profit: $71/contract Max Loss: $229/contract Break Even: 13.71 Notes: Putting on a little more UVXY long put vert in light of this little pop we had today (VXST/VIX ratio finished at .95). The January 12th weekly opens tomorrow, so may add another position there as well ... .Shortby NaughtyPinesUpdated 226
OPENING: UVXY JAN 5TH 12.5/15.5 LONG PUT VERTICAL... for a 2.25/contract debit. Max Profit: .75 ($75)/contract Max Loss: 2.25 (225)/contract Break Even: 13.25 Notes: Basically a contango drift/beta slippage play, but playing the ball where it lies, rather than waiting for a pop ... . Going long put vert instead of my usual short call vert due to comparatively low VVIX.Shortby NaughtyPinesUpdated 884
UVXY: Unprecedented Oversold Conditions. Irrational Exuberance? Take a look at the Oscillators. Unprecedented! Can we call this irrational Exuberance or is Trump really that good?Shortby Will_WongUpdated 6
UVXY to finally break 8 DMA for HUGE RALLY!Gap Up Tomorrow to trap a GIGANTIC SHORT BASE! Failed tax plan is the whiff of smoke. Teeny weeny fire exit for the stadium crowds...Longby mseah8113
TSI signaling potential VIX move. (Trend Shift Indicator)Rarely does TSI indicate strong green-over-red crossovers in CBOE:VIX derivatives. TSI is for equities and not derivatives, however, this signal could be an early sign of some potential life in NASDAQ:TVIX and AMEX:UVXY etc. Link to TSI below. by BradfordFournier1
Bullish VIX in near future?This idea works off of 5 waves down and I'd look for this to happen on Wednesday. Trend line could act as support for Bullish VIX and may bounce there. Reaching the 5 wave bottom would be a good Risk reward play. Stop loss would be just below 5th wave and reward target could be high on a bullish VIX movement. IT's one to watch at least.Longby 7878max3
Hurricane Harvey Tradeplay First and foremost, I must wish everybody caught in this horrific storm best of luck, and most importantly, safety. As to this daytrade, this is just something to watch and see how it performs. The severity of the storm warrants a spike in UVXY tomorrow morning. Me and my boys will be trading it tomorrow on our chatroom. We love UVXY. Mojodaytrading if you wanna come watch tomorrow. If it spikes, it's a good thing to journal because then you can feel confident using it in this type of situation in the future. I don't expect a gigantic spike, but good enough if you have the buying power. Plus, if you wanna play the reversal, which is a good play tomorrow, Mike has those down to a scienceLongby alipipefitter224
UVXY to repeat or EXCEED the +210% rally in Jan 2016?Bullish crossover on 8 & 50 DMA despite recent Huge Aggressive NEW shorts in Volatility on the latest spike. Other than the recent false breakout in April 2017, the Jan 2016 crossover triggered a rally from 2900 to 6100 or 210% rally! XIV will cease to exist... www.forbes.com SVXY, an ETF that is short VIX, has almost doubled the shares outstanding since the VIX spike occurred and has reached a market cap of $1.1 billion.Longby mseah8110
UVXY "FIRE AND FURY" (TRUMP)followed the Fibonacci lines perfectly interday. a pure speculative emotion play, emotion is an expression of the universe, an electrochemical reaction, and Fibonacci is seen in all organizational patterns in the universe. i tried doing 5 minute but it wouldnt let me. the 5 minute tells a much better story. im starting to get sick of tradingview to tell you the truth, but anywaysLongby alipipefitterUpdated 3
Long UVXY because I'm a sucker for painWill see how this plays out. There's some obvious tension building in the world and Washington with fresh sanctions on the naughty trio and new protectionist rhetoric. This is purely a Friday play and will likely end with me either being stopped out or taking half the position off by close tomorrow. Double bottom on UVXY with a measured move to 35.8x would be the ideal dream scenario here. Longby Nezah225
UVXY(1hr chart). Wedge, trend line break, at 1.618 ext.UVXY(1hr chart). Wedge, trend line break, at 1.618 ext.Longby JohnSp2