uvxy down and dirty chart forecast to 18.36uvxy down and dirty chart forecast to 18.36. We could fall more but over the next couple of days to friday I expect a double bottom at the fib level shown.Shortby candlestickninja224
VIX looking juicyCrossing over the 200 MA, triple bottom or reverse head and shoulders, and solid short-term uptrend show the market is slipping and has a high chance of moving into panic sell territory. Load up while you can. Shortby MysteriousPersian2
overbought vix (UVXY)this thing has taken on a terminal thrust/ island top appearance and i wouldnt be surprised to see vix and its derivative products pull back from this extreme.Shortby cerealcharts1
EMA Crossover (Not happened since March 2020)Bullish Volatility! 55 EMA has now crossed above the 120. Looking back, this has not occurred since March 4, 2020. The time before that was October 15, 2018!! This is a historically valid pattern. I've been watching this thing for years and now is the time to stack volatility. The Russians are disconnecting from the internet, inflation is only going to get far worse with grain, wheat, and oil prices skyrocketing and the war only increasing. Don't overthink it. Are we entering volatile times? Yes. Is the money printer getting turned off? Yes. Is inflation keeping the Fed from saving things this time?... I can't say they won't try, but I can tell you that they have no control over consumer price inflation like food and gas. Their policies only affect asset prices like houses, stocks, and bonds. They have been able to print money however for the last 13 years because they convinced everyone that they were controlling inflation. No they weren't. The global supply chain and ability to get cheap products in days was what was controlling inflation for the last 20-30 years! WHEN they raise interest rates, it will not lower food inflation because they have nothing to do with each other. The only thing that will help food inflation is a de-escalation in Ukraine. Interest rates effect one's ability to access capital and credit. This ample credit access is not used for food. It's used to buy overpriced real estate and stocks. SO making that access to credit more difficult won't effect food sales, but far moreso house sales.Longby MonetaryRebel115
two paths for volatility (UVXY)theres a really bullish sentiment playing out on the daily, but technical indications are that we sell off a little in vix. ive circled the type of cross i want to see, and highlighted what could gappen if we dont complete the bearish pattern. over $23 or under 16 in 1 weekShortby cerealcharts112
Volatility rising.Whats up world! Check that fit on the vix… goes pretty good with the oragne trace on ES1. Whats up now… Bitcoin? You gonna survive a fear based market crash? Or does everyone hit sell on everything, all at once. Boom. Follow along for updates on this ride through the universe. Good Luck, God speed, Love & Light around the world. by DHLawrence0
UVXY Setting Up For Higher PricesWe have a nicely formed ascending triangle that could launch up with any major news event. The technical pattern is enough for me, I acquired a small position and will be watching to add more on a breakout. NFA, DYORLongby ChartProphet553
This may confuse some.. maybe not..I know I posted my TQQQ position... where I am buying UXVY. (green box).. my stop is right below it. by Original_Stock_WhispererUpdated 777
Volatility - UVXYIdea for UVXY: - Mistakenly closed previous position too early, but at least it gives more confirmation in the thesis. - DXY continuing its ascent, causing macro bearishness. - Efforts to break above 200D SMA on SPX continuously rejected. Waited for an SPX below the put wall at 4350 "to be sure". - There is risk in short positions pre-CNY, but there is a Quality stop above 200D on SPX. We already had a bit of a bounce off 500D on Russell, but it is fading. - Federal tax event - liquidity sinkhole Feb 15th. Along with the QE Taper, this should be a systemic liquidity drain. - GDP was a "beat" but the components do not look appealing. GDP Sales (minus inventories) shows far less structural growth than suggested. IMO it is the peak of the business cycle, and earnings will only drop from here, due to hawkish Monetary Policy. - Shadow rates spiking and real rates about to be hiked. - Yield curve inverting. - Volatility begets volatility. Widening ranges suggest further volatility spike to come. In conclusion - worth it to try a long Vol position here and have some conviction (with a reasonable stop-loss). Long UVXY 19C Feb 18 (4.20 debit) GLHF - DPTLongby UnknownUnicorn1043646Updated 2212
Guaranteed money (UVXY)If we break to new highs it's almost a guarantee that, provided we are hitting new lows in multiple important sectors like tickers xlf, qqq, spy, we take this over 19. The only real guarantee is that whatever high we hit in UVXY we are seeing lower prices soon. low 14s is where I'm drawing these hypothetical puts expiring a me to.e early March. This is based on the simple fact that indices didn't hold their lows, and there are really two scenarios that can play out: we set some lower low as support and bounce, or we continue lower. If we go lower there's really no support. If we bounce there's really very little resistance. Low availability of shares means we're not headed sideways. This is the bullish picture for uvxy: This is the bearish picture: The forecasts show my limits of how far I would long or short based on a bull/bear move from current levels. The ghost feed is just one solution to how they could both hit. If you get the right signals UVXY is guaranteed money.by cerealtradesUpdated 3
target before the big sp500 fall on UVXYtarget before the big sp500 fall on UVXY, I think we drop to 14.50 by next week.Shortby candlestickninja2
Piercing Pattern Identify - Learning PurposeAfter some Lower Lows, I Got to identify a Bullish Trend with. piercing patternby mudassirali0071
overbought vix (UVXY)i wouldnt want to be holding this thing long right now. were at 84 rsi hourly and a pullback from these levels seems like its in the works. mid to high 15s is the target. even if we gap up and blast to the upside, i dont think were really in hot water unless spx breaks to new lows, and it doesnt seem like thats going to happen.Shortby cerealtradesUpdated 225
UVXY inverse log trendlineuvxy is not something you wanna hold. its down A LOT from the high (about $2,050) cuz of how many times its reverse split over the years. uvxy also went up over 1000 percent (500% more than the vix) when markets crashed in march 2020. longing volatility via uvxy can be very profitable during the next market crash, which i think will be soon.Longby lofihenny4
$UVXY market hedge*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management You NEVER want to see the market rally in a bearish market right before an important CPI inflation report. A lot of stocks are looking bullish right now, but sentiment could flip quickly tomorrow. My team will be using $UVXY as a market hedge. We entered in premarket at $12.60. Our take profit is yet to be determined but our stop loss is set at $11.50 ENTRY: $12.60 STOP LOSS: $11.50 If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoneyLongby SimplyShowMeTheMoneyUpdated 13136
SPY - VIX VolatilityHi, Here is my art project that illustrates a few harmonic patterns that has strong influence over our current motions, as suggested by the similarity in spacial orientation of the arguments within the support & resistance planes, indicated by solid & dotted lines. The PURPLE trace shows nicely the behavior if this is a mid level bullish argument. The projection is from our previous increase in volatility, as shown by the purple trace. It is scaled to the most recent major move within the argument, and also with an eye toward the forward looking movements with int eh S&R planes. The ORANGE is of course a significant bearish influence, again scaled to oscillate naturally between the planes. Now. . .. . a more exciting idea to explore... we all know that once the SPX starts poppin' through support levels, it can get real rowdy... just like poppin' bottle at Elleven. enter the PINK and BLUE traces. These are from the same previous growth cycle, but scaled so that the next order of magnitude smaller harmonic pattern aligns with our current larger time frame harmonic pattern. This is how exponential growth happens. My favorite subject ! . .. . and yours too i hope. .. . . Things get a bit hectic on the chart at the 30 minute candle (minimum time frame to publish, but the 9 minute is my favorite. . . . . so i threw in some level indicators, on the tops & bottoms of the forecast. Good Luck, God Speed, Love & Light! p.s. . . .. . if you like this idea, follow me, and there is a reasonable chance i will update it next week as we get back into the action. by DHLawrenceUpdated 0
SPY and UVXY a pairs trade for a Ukranian invasion There is better than an 80% correlation between a rise in SPY and a corresponding drop in volatility. The inverse is also true. On February 5, 2018 there was a world wide drop in futures and a rolling stock market drop starting with the US market then rolling around the globe and back to the US. By the open premarket US trading in UVXY - a leveraged volatility instrument - went from $12 to $18. At the open of regular US trading hours and during that trading session UVXY touched $36 with a corresponding drop in SPY. In the event of open conflict - selling SPY or /ES while buying UVXY common or call options will be be golden. I will ignore the small gains to be made buying defense contractors and hardware providers. The people constantly touting UVXY will finally have their moment. Why not do it now? I like to have a small UVXY position over the weekend. I will enter with 2% of capital account value on the first jump with the start of a military action in Ukraine. Has anyone considered the possible narative that Mr. Putin can raise the price of Russian oil with this sabre rattling? The threat that this is winter and supply might be shut off for Europe should be a possibility. I should have the ability to move markets like that. Who can say? I am prepared. Keep some dry powder around for this one to be long volatility and short S%P. This is historically my top volatilty trade when markets are rattled. during the February/March 2020 Covid black swan swoon UVXY went $12 to $132. UVXY portfolio leverage moved the common to 1.5 times VIX as adverised and hit it almost to the penny. When the Russian miilitary shot a hole in the Russina Parliament building I made my first crisis profit - buy US financial stocks near book value on the one day drop. that was before the creation of leveraged volatility instruments. Yes I have been at it that long.... These things happen now and again. This is from my current playbook. all the best.Shortby Spotshooter1983222
UVXY $15.30 No problem... Scalps up to $18 projected (28%)UVXY is really showing some signals for continuation up, DXY as well. Indices seem confused, not great for volatility. Trade safe and stay blessed! NFA, DYORLongby ChartProphet2
vix churning lower, should spring back then decline (UVXY)this is a rapid consecutive forecast going into the end of the week i dont foresee vix ending above week highs, but there could be bounce if we dont immediately continue lower on the daily the forecast cluster represents output from the ghost feed this is based on qqe, rsi, vwma 14.74, 14.24, 13.81 are key levelsShortby cerealtradesUpdated 0
UVXY 1W -- Shelter in the Stormtest UVXY offers daily leveraged exposure to short-term VIX futures, designed to capture the volatility of the S&P 500, in a commodity pool wrapper. As a geared product with daily resets, UVXY is designed as a short-term trading tool and not a long-term investment vehicle.Longby TheCryptoChartWhispererUpdated 116
UVXY Rebound after only few positive earnings> Earnings in for major companies bullish, but overall sentiment of market bearish > SPX hit resistance at low part of head & shoulders > New VIX cycle beginning > UVXY bottom at 13-14, target of 17-18Longby ChemRatic2
UVXY Looking A Bit Bullish PerhapsPotential inverted head and shoulders playing out? Appreciate the risk with this asset and don't hold through expiration or even or night if you're smart! Upper targets have been laid out, follow QQQ , SPY, and DJI for guidance as this will be an INVERSE trade to those potentially. NFA, DYORLongby ChartProphet1