ES Price Action REview FOMC 5-1-24Going over the FOMC reflecting on the day and our process. looking for clues to how we could have traded the day better. Better than yesterday is our only goal. 06:32by BobbyS8130
Time to catch its breathAfter the volatility seen on Wednesday in the S&P 500, the expectation is that Thursday will be a day for the market to catch its breath before labor numbers come out on Friday. This means trading inside Wednesday's range on Thursday.02:57by DanGramza2
S&P 500 Futures Fibonacci Analysis 050124Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 5107/61.80% Chart time frame : B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress : B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) Hit the bottom D) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.by fibonacci61800
sp500 shortmultiday short trade on sp500 . Tp at 4700 at the SP/VIX ratio, candle marked a bad bearish shadow, a hypothetical prelude to the formation of a bearish parallel channel. Possible index target 4700 points.Shortby NewHOrizons11
ES EOD UpdateWTF was that? LOL, Powell pump and dump in just one hour. I know I keep saying Fed days always whipsaw, but that was ridiculous. Futures up a little on QCOM earnings, Europe might bounce overnight, sold of hard this morning, more whipsaw. Anyways, it messed up the indicators, so no trading until things go overbought or oversold. Taking the rest of the week off.by hungry_hippo2210
ES UpdateRSI hit oversold at close yesterday, MFI still oversold. Guessing we get a Powell pump this afternoon, but watch out for teh whipsawby hungry_hippoUpdated 119
Bullish Setup Before The Fed?Looks like a bullish setup before the Fed. That being said, I think it could go either way.by ABSResearch0
Identifying opportunities on FOMC DayI go over how to establish potential scenarios for an FOMC day and how to prepare accordingly. FOMC can be very tricky to trade, but if you have a plan and know the levels that are in play it can provide great opportunities. Long10:43by LiquidityTracker0
ES (S&P 500 Futures) continue with the Downtrend 👇On ES (S&P 500 Futures), it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 5090 and 5128. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated. I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again. The downtrend combined with the strong volume area are my main reasons for this short trade. Happy trading, Daleby Trader_Dale114
Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 1st, 2024Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 1st, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with the potential for sharp swings amplified by the FOMC announcement. Increased caution and focus on capital preservation are paramount. Key Supports Major Supports: 5060 (major), 5043-47 (major), 5030-32 (major), 5000 (major) Additional Supports: 4976 (major), 4938-41 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5066, 5077-82 (major), 5102 (major), 5144 (major) Major Resistances: 5171 (major), 5200 (major), 5246-50 (major) Trading Strategy FOMC Volatility: Expect unpredictable price swings driven by reactions to the FOMC interest rate decision and related news. Prioritize Capital Preservation: Focus on protecting your account rather than chasing aggressive moves. Adapt position sizing and risk management strategies accordingly. Long Opportunities: Due to FOMC, direct bids are high risk. Focus on failed breakdowns for better risk/reward. Potentially long at major support levels after flushes and reclaims (5043-47, 5030-32). Short Opportunities: Due to FOMC, direct shorts are also high risk. Watch for strong bounces and failed breakdowns. Consider shorts at key resistance levels only if the reaction to FOMC is definitively bearish. Proceed with extreme caution. Level-to-Level Trading: Employ level-to-level scalping techniques and profit-taking, navigating this volatile environment with tighter stops. Bull Case Holding Support: Defending the 5043-47 support zone is crucial for bulls, with 5030-32 as the absolute minimum. Reclaiming resistances like 5066 could indicate buyer strength. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5030, intensified by negative FOMC news, signals a downside move. Watch for bounces/failed breakdowns for potential shorts. News: Top Stories for May 1st, 2024 Global Economic Outlook Mature economies are stabilizing with a slight growth uptick projected for 2024 and 2025. Emerging economies maintain stability with growth projections at 4.3% for both 2024 and 2025. Regional Trends Asia, including China, anticipates a slowdown, while Latin America expects gradual growth increases. Inflation and Monetary Policies Global inflation is expected to decrease, reflecting central bank rate hikes for price stability and growth support. Geopolitical Impacts Populist policies and recent elections in the US and EU pose financial policy and market stability challenges. Transition to a New Monetary Order impacts interest rates, asset values, and lending environments globally. EU regulatory changes affect financial markets and trading regulations, emphasizing compliance. Digital Transformation Focus on digital assets and CBDCs outside the US signals shifts in financial transactions and regulations. Blockchain technology enhances financial security and transparency, notably in DeFi platforms. AI integration reshapes financial services, optimizing operations and decision-making processes. Digital and open banking experiences exponential growth, fostering fintech innovations and collaborations. RegTech solutions powered by AI help firms manage regulatory obligations efficiently across jurisdictions.Longby spytradingpro0
Prep and Lean ES/NQ/SPX Wednesday ES Trade Plan Inflection: 5095 Upper lvls: 5115 / 5127 / 5137 Aggressive Inflection: 5076 Lower lvls: 5052-5056 / 5030-5038 / 5005 NQ Trade Plan Inflection: 17628 Upper lvls: 17660 / 17776 / 17818-17838 / 17901-17937 Lower lvls: 17507 / 17356-17370 / 17283-17293 / 17163 SPX Pivot 5036 Stay Frosty!09:19by Beyond_Charts0
ES1! morning updatePrice action in orange ellipse appears corrective, and in that light I feel more confident that the move from 5333.50 to 4963.50 was a complete impulse wave. From here, I see two possibilities: the bullish count (green) would have us at or near the low of today, with a move back up towards 5154.25 to complete a (B) wave; the bearish count (red) would have us continue lower today and break the low of 4963.50 with impulsive price action.by discobiscuit0
Overnight Price Action REview ES FOMC 5-1-24Going over price action for the ES. today is FOMC one of the most volatile days. size down manage risk today. we are going into battle soon. 03:42by BobbyS8130
SP500 - corrupt money supply - inflationThis ES1 chart is the six + Europe and Asia trading sessions. this hasn't corrected properly in over a decade.... and this is what it looks like when they print trillions out of thin air, as "aid for Ukraine" which is then spent entirely on weapons or infrastructure supplied by our military industrial complex. we were warned about this shit. Orwell, Roosevelt. BREAD, Circus, Genocide. thats a pretty clear indicator of how broken our government is. they show us Captain America and Captain Planet on the programming we got as kids... just an illusion to the reality of our criminal monetary systems and war mongering. all crimes against humanity, and sins of the soul that keep us trapped on these low vibrational levels. Time to ascend. Time for the Ponzi scheme of the us financial markets, and now corrupted federal government to fall gracefully. Teh SPX is long over due. the second leg down from covid is just now getting started... delayed by TRILLIOns of new money printed as stimulus. That is trillions stolen from all of us that have earned our money with our time and energy. It flows through Ukraine, Israel, Palestine, and right back to the US stock market in the portfolio of the corrupt dudes that oppress the rest of us. inflated by blood money. and now tethered to BTC with the ETF.... poisoning that currency as well. So.. time to pay the piper for all the money printing... the harmonics of the SPX suggest that we need to check in on the old resistance... now turned support, and 1600. bold white dotted line. ps... BTC ETF + HALVING . . . is everyone just now figuring out "buy the rumor sell the news" huge correction incoming. Where will everyone put their credits with the US markets and BTC dumping??? sounds scary?!!? well, fear and greed are the dominant forces in these markets. Hmmm... is there a coin that raises a different emotion??? maybe the emotion of Love? I know! DOGE coin. dogs are known for unconditional love. Love is the answer. love will prevail... im going that emotion moving forward. no more playing at the table with the blood money military complex sharks. im going to play at the table with all my friends. my tribe. the DOGE tribe.by DHLawrence2
SP500 & a corrupt money supplyThis ES1 chart is the six + Europe and Asia trading sessions. this hasn't corrected properly in over a decade.... and this is what it looks like when they print trillions out of thin air, as "aid for Ukraine" which is then spent entirely on weapons or infrastructure supplied by our military industrial complex. we were warned about this shit. Orwell, Roosevelt. BREAD, Circus, Genocide. thats a pretty clear indicator of how broken our government is. they show us Captain America and Captain Planet on the programming we got as kids... just an illusion to the reality of our criminal monetary systems and war mongering. all crimes against humanity, and sins of the soul that keep us trapped on these low vibrational levels. Time to ascend. Time for the Ponzi scheme of the us financial markets, and now corrupted federal government to fall gracefully. Teh SPX is long over due. the second leg down from covid is just now getting started... delayed by TRILLIOns of new money printed as stimulus. That is trillions stolen from all of us that have earned our money with our time and energy. It flows through Ukraine, Israel, Palestine, and right back to the US stock market in the portfolio of the corrupt dudes that oppress the rest of us. inflated by blood money. and now tethered to BTC with the ETF.... poisoning that currency as well. So.. time to pay the piper for all the money printing... the harmonics of the SPX suggest that we need to check in on the old resistance... now turned support, and 1600. bold white dotted line. ps... BTC ETF + HALVING . . . is everyone just now figuring out "buy the rumor sell the news" huge correction incoming. Where will everyone put their credits with the US markets and BTC dumping??? sounds scary?!!? well, fear and greed are the dominant forces in these markets. Hmmm... is there a coin that raises a different emotion??? maybe the emotion of Love? I know! DOGE coin. dogs are known for unconditional love. Love is the answer. love will prevail... im going that emotion moving forward. no more playing at the table with the blood money military complex sharks. im going to play at the table with all my friends. my tribe. the DOGE tribe. by DHLawrenceUpdated 0
Wednesday volatility is expectedWith the Fed making announcement on Wednesday, volatility would be expected in the S&P 500. A change in the feds attitude towards interest rates being high longer is not expected.03:08by DanGramza2
ES May 1st PlayMay first will be economy news all day market will be expected to be red .Shortby Seanpatel311
ES daily Price Action Review 4-30-24Going over the days price action. looking for clues on how we could have traded the day better. always do your reflection period. without Reflection there is no Wisdom, only wasted time and time is something we just don't have a lot of. so Make it count. do the hard work. 07:36by BobbyS8130
Long ON SP500 SP500 open with a gap down. going for a long position before it continues its trend downwards. Entry: 5052.25 Stop Loss: 5040.75 Depending on how movement is my first take profit is ( 5072.25 ) Full Take Profit: 5086.25 Longby DTrades01012
2024-04-30 - a daily price action after hour update - sp500 Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment End of month proved to be volatile and bears made clear that the last bounce was a lower high and we are on our way to new lows. My overall market thesis for the last 2 weeks was, that this bounce should be a W2 and we are in a new bear trend. Now bears need strong selling to break through the previous lows and make even the last bulls cover for their life’s. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Not as weak as dax but same play. Retest of 5000 is next and retest of 4963 highly likely if we break 5000. current market cycle: bear trend key levels: 5000 - 5150 bull case: Here bulls could not touch 5150 again and gave up on US open with a big bear bar similar to EU open. Bulls tried to stay above 5125 but failed and then we just crashed down to 5065 and closed at the lows. Best bulls can hope for here is to find support around 5000. bear case: Huge day for the bears as in dax. Big round number as support coming up with 5000 and we will see how long it can hold. Can my bear trend thesis be wrong and 5000 won’t be broken and we range 5000-5150 for many weeks? Absolutely. I gave enough reasoning over the past weeks why I think we are in the new bear trend. Bears need to keep it below 5100. short term: Down to sideways - 5000 will probably be big support and we can move sideways first again medium-long term: Full bear below 5000. Lower high W2 is in, We are in W3 and my target for W5 is around 4600. trade of the day: Short, no ifs and buts. Just sell anywhere and have an appropriate stop.Shortby priceactiontds0
ES is FALLING!Its only the 2nd day of the trading week and this is how our weekly chart looks! ES price action fell to close a globex gap at 5082 today in preparation for FOMC day tomorrow May 1! We will I believe we could continue down as low as 4934 depending on the data this week. 4934 is supported by a weekly FVG close at that level. Its a great time to buy puts on SPY on short! by RandiMichelle0
SP500 demand zonesThis is a quick update on daily vs weekly demand zones. I also kept my demand zone from the past that was noted from May 23'. We are at the start of the buy zone on the daily. I did look back and we are about at the average correction for a bull market correction for tech driven indices. I believe this stops soon if Apple and Amazon earnings are neutral or bullish. Otherwise we correct to 4800 over the coming weeks. The 20 EMA is also noted as a strong area of support. Longby Apollo_CB0
ES updateMentioned this in the NQ post, ES is not oversold yet on RSI or MFI. Recommend waiting until tomorrow to buy the dip, though gap direction may depend on earnings. AMZN tonight, QCOMM tomorrow, AAPL on Thu afternoon.by hungry_hippoUpdated 11