BTCBTC and potencial Bearish Retracement into D Discount / W FVG from there price can react and make All Time Highby andy4444_0
BTC 4 hr shortPotential head and shoulders forming. 618 retracement as a target and measured move.Short08:47by CryptoShabs0
BTC near term downsideI expect CRYPTOCAP:BTC to touch $68,300 before resuming uptrend and retesting $73K.by monsterelfUpdated 0
BTC Higher lows on daily, shown on 1 h timeframe, showing demandThis demand is happening close to the resistance of this 3 months consolidation. It might be the last pullback we need before enough demand pushes us through the resistance and up to the next consolidation flag, which might be around 80 - 100k. Get ready as soon as we cross 72,000 $ with good volum. See you at 80 - 100k $ :) in a week ++Longby naturex1Updated 3
btc/4hHello traders hope you are enjoying our Analysis. Now we are here again with a new trading opportunity ,we will discuss today about btcUSD smart money concept analysis: Don't get caught in whale traps. What do you think of this idea? What is your opinion? Share it in the comments📄🖌 If you like the idea, please give it a like. This is the best "Thank you!" for the authorby IQgroupsUpdated 1
BTC forecast for JulyMost likely, a weak downward movement will continue to the border of the formed flag/wedge. And it makes sense to buy at its lower limit. If before this time its upper limit of 72-74 is broken, of course you can also buy BTCLongby strongJaguar350780
Jun.4-Jun.10(BTC)Weekly market recapEmployment data was released last Friday. Although the unemployment rate rose to 4%, the number of NFP exceeded expectations, reaching 272,000. The data performed average, but due to market expectations were too high, there was a correction after the data was released. Not only in crypto, gold has also seen a obvious correction. The market currently predicts that the number of interest rate cuts in 2024 will be reduced to two times, in September and December. The CPI and FOMC for May will be announced on Wednesday and Thursday this week. We believe this will determine the medium-term trend. Regardless, we are heading towards a rate cut. BTC is as we predicted last time, after rising and falling. It is slightly lower than last week’s price. Although the price has corrected, there has been no continuous decline for the time being. Trading volume is low. From the WTA indicator, after the last analysis released, a small number of blue columns representing whales appeared, but they quickly disappeared. The ME indicator continues to maintain a bullish trend. To sum up, we believe that the volatility of BTC will increase this week and continue to fluctuate, with the probability of rising higher than falling. We maintain our original resistance level 74000 and support level 61000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.by Sypool0
Long Position on Bitcoin (BTC/USD)The recent price action shows a consolidation phase following a sharp decline, suggesting a potential reversal opportunity. Given the historical support and resistance levels, a bullish trading setup can be considered. Trade Setup: Entry Point: $67,524 Target Price: $69,590 Stop Loss: $66,529 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.23 Technical Analysis: Support Level: The price has shown support around $66,529, making it a logical place to set the stop loss. Resistance Level: The target price of $69,590 corresponds to a previous resistance level, indicating potential profit-taking. Candlestick Patterns: The recent candlestick pattern indicates a potential bottom formation after a significant drop, suggesting a bullish reversal might be imminent.Longby amirkhonov2
Bitcoin not due yet to go into full degen bull market modeIf history repeats itself - and so far history has repeated itself for Bitcoin every 4 years, we have not seen the true face of the Bitcoin bull market yet. Let's have a closer look at where and when things could really go ballistic to the upside by analysing its so-called logarithmic regression: You will see 3 different areas of importance on this chart: 1. A purple line showing the current "fair" price of Bitcoin according to the regression 2. A green channel marking the price area where Bitcoin should spend most of its time 3. A red channel marking the projected blow off tops for each bull run The pattern we usually see is that after a top somewhere within the red channel Bitcoin eventually falls back to the green channel (and sometimes below it) to then settle roughly around the purple line at the time of the halvings. What do these findings tell us about the current state of the bull market? Let's look at the price behaviour after the halving of 2016 and 2020.... It took Bitcoin around 300 days after the 2016 halving and 220 days after the 2020 halving to finally breach the green channel to the upside and go into, what I call, full degen frenzy bull market mode. This is the area between the green and red channel, where prices go ballistic and influencers on social media will talk about the how everything will be different this time and how everything is only going up from now on. As you can see Bitcoin currently is still quite far away from leaving the green channel to the upside. In fact if it would go into full frenzy bull market mode right now we would need to see prices well above 90,000 USD. If history repeats itself again and we can expect the price to leave the green channel to the north sometime 220 to 300 days after the halving. That would be sometime between November 2024 and February 2025 - the top of the green channel will then be around 100,000 USD. Price will then probably rise rather quickly to the red channel again where it will eventually top out and, once again, enter a bear market. Top prices should be somewhere between 200,000 USD and 300,000 USD in 2025. It is then time to get out of the market and go into hibernation once again to come back once the lower green band of the logarithmic regression is reached. The good news is....with prices currently around 67,500 USD there is still plenty of money to earn even until reaching the phase where the price of Bitcoin will really go ballistic. The bad news is... most people will be left behind and will probably fomo into Bitcoin (or the worse alternative: Altcoins) at prices between 150,000 USD and 200,000 USD. This, of course, is just my own opinion and no financial advise!Longby CryptoForMoney0
June 10 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There is no Nasdaq index release today. Beat is after touching the support/resistance line on the 3-hour chart. It's going sideways. This week's CPI and US interest rate announcements seem to be a very important period. Based on Nasdaq's upward-sloping protection Based on tether dominance We competed in the 1+4 rebound section. *Sky blue finger movement path Two-way neutral Short -> Long switching strategy 1. Short position entry area of $69710.5 / Stop loss when the orange resistance line is broken 2. Long position switching at $69328.5 / Stop loss when the green support line breaks away 3. $70461.5 long position primary target -> Top secondary target In short->long switching The cost-effectiveness is not very good. I created a strategy based on intermediate waves. If the adjustment is strong at 69.7K at the top, Section 1 at the bottom (sideways to the right) -> can be pushed to the bottom. please note. Also, for those who are currently entering a long position, Breaking out of the green support line can be dangerous. You must keep your stop loss. After reaching the first target Once the orange resistance line is broken, you can shoot straight upward. Watch me. There is a high possibility of sideways movement, and Nasdaq variables may appear. I hope you operate safely with stop loss required + principled trading. thank youby BitCoinGuideUpdated 8
Volume is back ... BTC heading toward 67k supoort Volume on BTC has finally returned. Heading into FOMC on Wed, will we see a bounce off of 67k, or will we test lower ... RSI on the 4hr is tapping 30. On the daily its pushing below 50. Heat maps suggest a liquidation cascade below 67k. Bulls will need to wake up soon and put up a serious fight in order to retest the 72k level. As the saying goes, this will be the most important CPI and FOMC of our lives, until the next oneby bwb1000
Bitcoin facing a dangerous rejection- follow up analysis on this: - looking pretty clear that I was wrong and Bitcoin is not ready to move to the upside - with another rejection at the 72k level however odds of a substantial reversal have increased heavily - clear trend present for the last 2 months: Mondays have either been the low (green) or, more commonly, the high of the week (meaning price did not trade above the Monday high for the rest of the week) - we got another high of the week print yesterdayby Mansasuma0
RIP listen to youtuber lolWill BTC go 100k? for sure, it could but looking at all the charts do you want to take the risk? You have missed the boat, it is alright. They are taking profit and you are buying the top. What if you missed the boat? Why do you bother? Money will go from the patient hand to the impatient hand. Why can't you just wait till indicators long-term are showing oversold? Do you know what I am doing right now? Buy some good projects that are undervalued and it drop about 80 to 90% and stake it. ( Remember only risk 20% ) And staked your stable coin to earn APR. When indicators weekly and monthly show oversold, this is the time you need to start deploying your 80% cash. That time BTC bottom may be 100k or 150k, you don't have to bother coz you just need to respect the charts and indicators and you know that you don't buy the top. Don't FOMO in. Imagine you staked a stable coin and earned 5% APR. By the time, indicators show a market bottom, you have a large some of cash to deploy. Anyway, your money your decision. hahahby Skyito1
Bitcoin BTC to $250K - BUY & HODLBitcoin went to the Moon with Dec '17 top. Then it corrected 88.6% on the Fibonacci Retracement with Dec '18 bottom. After that it went to Mars and hit the tops again in Nov '21. It was a 2000% gain. What can you tell from this? Percentage-wise, Correction is lower than the gain. So, the Dominant Trend for BTCUSD is UP! OK, back to Earth. Let's gather fuel and power-up the rocket. Time to go Interstellar. Before I go into the technical stuff, allow me to keep things simple for you. I took the liberty and measured the BTC Cycles. But you don't need to worry about that, just follow my lead! I used a fancy tool called Fibonacci Time Zones. This tells me roughly when the next Bullish Cycle for Bitcoin will start. We are on the 5th Fibonacci Summation milestone, and another 2000% gain is destined to commence. When? Early '23 , like all other Cryptocurrencies. What's the level? My ultimate levels are: 10K & 7.5K . I will buy more there. I will HODL for the long-term because I know it's a waiting game. Now you have what you came for: when & where. You can go ahead and open the next idea. :) Thank you and you're welcome. But if you capable of digesting what's to come below, then I put my hat down... Bitcoin ( BTCUSD , BTCUSDT , BTCBUSD ) Technical Analysis: * Elliott Wave Cycle: Complete V Cycle Degree (white) * A-B-C Elliott Wave Correction (red) * Ending Diagonal in Cycle C (red) * Harmonic Pattern: Cypher * 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement * 161.8% (Golden Ratio) Fibonacci Extension * Bullish Divergence * Dominant Trend Line (turquoise dotted) * Demand Zone * Fractal Pattern If you get all this without a headache then you're a legend! The Aug '15 to Dec '17 is what I'm expecting, and it's a BIG one. Good luck my fellow HODLer.. Thanks for the like, Richard, the Wave Jedi.Longby Lionheart-EWAUpdated 9918
We will never go bellow 40k again.Link the lines with bottoms to the tops. It shows that under 40K not possible to be the price of BTC anymore.Longby UncleSamCrypto0
Is BTC going through Wycoff Distribution?Looks like BTC is going through a Wycoff distribution on the daily. Will be looking to fill up on some shorts on the UTAD Could this lead to the break down lower for more accumulation before the blow off top Just the thoughts of a average degen trader, by AverageDegenTrader0
BTC WEEKLY MACD CROSSEvery time the MACD crosses down, price reverts back to the 200 SMA IN IT'S HISTORY. BTC Weekly MACD signal crossShortby RSI_Trading_Concepts0
(BTC) bitcoinnot sure what I created here; the indicator line shows slope information that leads before the price increases in the future. may have something to do with the halving and reduction in BTC. the green line decreases as the price grows in the same way a previous chart prices look smaller as the price reaches higher. the only difference here is that the graph lines are happening before the price of BTC peaks, odd. ...now I have to wait to see if the indicator line changes dramatically ahead of the price of BTC...by CryptocurrencyBlot1
$BTC supply crash: fairy tale, the untold story."Bitcoin price is set to skyrocket in the near future, claims an analyst on X. The analyst pointed out that the supply of BTC on exchanges has crashed." There is this common misconception that because the number of Bitcoins held on exchanges is getting lower every passing day, this will create a supply crash and push Bitcoin to the moon! Actually, if you scratch the surface, the opposite is likely to happen. Historically, after the halving, the division by two of the number of Bitcoins mined has done exactly that. After a period of time, the demand exceeds the supply, creating a massive bull run. But this cycle in 2024, everything is different. Most people only see the superficial aspect: yes, there are fewer Bitcoins available for trading. But what they forget to mention is that in this cycle, a lot of the supply is held by governments and agencies, outside of the market. Let's summarize the situation. As I am writing, there are 2.8M Bitcoins on the exchanges. However, outside the market: - 210,000 CRYPTOCAP:BTC are held by the US government. - 200,000 CRYPTOCAP:BTC are held by Mt. Gox litigators. - 136,295 CRYPTOCAP:BTC are held by an unknown wallet. - 285,105 CRYPTOCAP:BTC are held by GBTC, and many anonymous addresses who can sell at any time. That means at least 700,000 BTC are held by institutions and government agencies and are about to be sold. The big difference with this 2024 cycle is that: - The ones who own these BTC do not care about the price. They are not traders but rather employees with obligations to sell when required. - About 40% of the available supply is not in the market and therefore will have to be sold. Today, CRYPTOCAP:BTC dropped 2%, with about 2,000 CRYPTOCAP:BTC sold on Binance. Imagine if one of these entities sold 10,000 CRYPTOCAP:BTC at once? My point is that the normal CRYPTOCAP:BTC cycle is totally invalidated by this supply of $BTC. Their sale will affect the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC negatively, at least until the demand catches up. The sale of these BTC might create a panic sell from the ETF issuers, which would wreck the whole crypto space for a while. Conclusion: the supply crunch will not happen. Instead, these institutions will increase the supply by selling their holdings on the market, negatively affecting the price of Bitcoin. It is even possible that the bull market could be canceled if too many of these CRYPTOCAP:BTC are sold, nullifying the halving effect and creating a never-before-seen early bear market. by CryptoNikkoid335
short BitcoinWarning sign for bitcoin, reaching the top resistance, no signal for buying volumn yet, do not long, stay alert, slightly short, management the risk, good luck.Shortby Gilbert0967113
||BTCUSD|| SET TO REACH 80K IN THE NEXT MOVE!We are currently sitting in an interesting situation regarding market structure. Two bullish formations have been printed after the price broke out of the current flag formation, only to create one of the shoulders for the H&S formation as depicted in yellow. Two formations intertwined so perfectly is normally a great sign for the direction the formations dictate, as you are strengthening retail confidence, and bringing 2 groups of strategies together with a bullish sentiment. in order to be confident prices are to reach our targets, price must break the 71.6K mark and at least test it once. price does of course have to exceed all time highs of 73.9K which will be the last level of resistance before we move back into price discovery mode. I do not think the ATH will post much resistance based on the strength of current market structure. The MACD is also priming itself for a convergence run once averages break apart as they have been in consolidation for a couple days. Although my targets are set for both 81K and 87K I do expect price to get stuck once it reaches 80K as it does pose a strong psychological level of resistance. Thank you for your read, hope you found some new insights and perceptions on the BTC market structure. Longby Brandon_Cooper0
Investment and Hedging Strategies in the Bitcoin MarketRecently, Bitcoin has experienced significant volatility, sharply declining after the flash crash on June 6. Prices fell from the $72,000 level to below $70,000, leading to substantial selling pressure. However, positive trends can be seen in the market as U.S. ETF issuers are buying a lot of Bitcoin, which boosts confidence in the long-term outlook of the cryptocurrency. Key Points: Strong Support at $66,000: Breaking this level may indicate a shift in the downward direction. Resistance at $74,000: Surpassing this level could drive prices to new highs. ETF Purchase Volume: Adding 25,729 bitcoins in the first week of June enhances confidence in the long-term upward trend. Recommendation: For Short-Term Investors: Due to high volatility and current selling pressure, it is advisable to wait and see if the support at $66,000 holds. If the support level is broken, it may be wise to avoid entering the market until prices stabilize. For Long-Term Investors: Price corrections can be used as opportunities to add more Bitcoin to investment portfolios. It is smart to invest gradually and take advantage of price drops to make purchases. Hedging Strategies: Diversification: Diversification is a hedging strategy aimed at reducing risk by spreading investments across various assets. Instead of relying solely on Bitcoin, investors can diversify their investments into other digital assets like Ethereum, Litecoin, or even traditional assets like stocks and bonds. This diversification can reduce the negative impact of Bitcoin’s volatility on the overall portfolio. Futures Hedging: Futures hedging involves buying or selling Bitcoin futures contracts to protect the portfolio from price fluctuations. If an investor owns Bitcoin and wants to protect against price drops, they can sell Bitcoin futures. On the other hand, if they expect prices to rise but do not own Bitcoin, they can buy futures to benefit from the expected increase. Risks Associated with Hedging Strategies: High Costs: Hedging with futures involves paying fees and spreads, increasing overall costs. Systemic Risks: Futures contracts can be affected by economic and political events, leading to unexpected losses. Technical Knowledge: Hedging with futures requires a deep understanding of the markets and how futures contracts work. Hedging strategies provide protection against market volatility but must be used carefully and with a clear understanding of the potential risks. Diversification and futures hedging can be effective tools for risk reduction, but it is essential to understand the costs and risks associated with these strategies before implementation. by bbitar1
Bitcoin Analysis SIMPLEST WAYNow BTC breakout falling wedge pattern, and its buy time. Many patterns formed in 1 hour time frame. BTC still inside the Channel pattern.Longby SasikumarManiUpdated 5