This post is to test a hypothesis we can break bubble moves down into five main stages and with these we can have a reasonable idea where we might be in that move.
Here I've marked up the phases on Cocoa and I'll also show some others that have similar phases.
Broadly understanding the phases of a bubble and crash is not as grandiose a claim as it's made out...
ICEUS:CCK2024 Uhhh... Cocoa. The most it can rise to is $12,933.
I didn't read the article.
It is showing all signs of exhaustion. Volume is decreasing while the price is going parabolic. The oscillators are showing bearish divergence.
It is close to a pull back, if not out right crash to 8000 area.
SB has sell signal based on COT report. Also seasonal trend is down. Weekly trend changed from up to down trend. The daily trend is in a down trend. Currently we see correction. My plan is to use this correction to open a shot position. Usually I risk 2% per trade, but in a Drawdown to reduce the emotional pressure I reduce the risk to 1%.
- The market has been trading above a bullish trendline since mid-March ; The mid-term trend was then bullish
- More recently, the increased appetite for the US Dollar has started to put pressure on a wide range of commodities, including Cocoa.
Since the impact on 11,212, the control of the market has been taken over by sellers, leading prices back to their first...
After a very large and strong bull momentum, it's time for me to start a short position to look for a pullback of at least 50% Fibonacci level.
Great Trade !
Following an explosive surge that propelled Cocoa ( NYSE:CC ) to the $1000 mark, the price is now encountering resistance around this significant psychological level. Observing this resistance, there's anticipation for a correction towards the area of interest defined by my TP zone.
While a revisit to the $1000 level in the coming days is plausible, it's probable...
The cocoa market is in the mania phase.
Shorted at 10,000 in small size (2%), just one small position in the macro book, can only lose 2% even if it doubles in value from here!
Caveat emptor. Target much lower over coming months.
The bigger the pattern
the bigger the consolidation
the more explosive the move
how about this Chart Porn?
Cup and handle
I expect the log tgt not only to be made but surpassed given yesterdays event's in #baltimore
Yup Massive east coast supply chain disruptions to be expected
Ports jammed
Aviation fuel disruptions
Major economic ripples could transpire...
Sugar is showing some recent strength and with Cocoa prices soaring we are looking for technicals to fuel short term rally. Looking to buy May Sugar at 22.13, stop 21.54, tgt at 23.23
--
What you will hear in this video:
--
1-Learning how to trade commodities
2-Trend analysis
3-Support levels
4-Resistance levels
5-Market psychology
--
And more...
Watch this video to learn more
--
**Disclaimer:**
The information provided above or below is for educational and informational purposes only.
--
It does not constitute financial advice, and...
![CC1!: [CC] Cocoa PullBack Incoming ?](https://s3.tradingview.com/u/usMCOGib_mid.png "[CC] Cocoa PullBack Incoming ?")
![CC1!: [CC] Cocoa bull run is over ?](https://s3.tradingview.com/s/sRwaafJd_mid.png "[CC] Cocoa bull run is over ?")
