Manifested

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About me Professional engineer, self-taught trader and crypto-enthusiast. *Message me if you are interested in joining a trading discord or telegram channel. I have a small group, currently, but am considering expanding to a larger audience.*
Joined Bit_roller
Tips/Donations- ETH: 0x1F20DC6198Eb5A3079152Aef46F7a064De50f3E9 BTC: 3EkkAqQuyH1B3zCpLzfgvp5BsYYE6PfLBD
Markets Allocation
40 % cryptocurrency 6 % stocks 1 % indices 53 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
KRAKEN:XBTUSD 34% | 36 BTCUSD 11% | 12 ETHUSD 11% | 12 BITMEX:XBTUSD 9% | 10
Manifested Manifested (XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCJPY*JPYUSD+(BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+XBTUSD)/4/((BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD)/2)*(BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD))/7, 30, Long ,
(XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCJPY*JPYUSD+(BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+XBTUSD)/4/((BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD)/2)*(BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD))/7: BTC - Primary Count 30min
BTC - Primary Count 30min

Not going to get into too much detail here. I covered these targets in the 2hr update, but I wanted to post this for tracking purposes and to show the sub-wave count for this leading diagonal. We should expect to head towards $7620 here, this is the 0.618 fib extension of wave (3). However diagonals have a tendency, especially in BTC, to overthrow on wave 5 so ...

Manifested Manifested (XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCJPY*JPYUSD+(BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+XBTUSD)/4/((BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD)/2)*(BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD))/7, 120, Long ,
(XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCJPY*JPYUSD+(BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+XBTUSD)/4/((BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD)/2)*(BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD))/7: BTC - Primary Count 2hr
BTC - Primary Count 2hr

A follow up to my last post. Here we are looking at the breakdown of wave (b) of wave circle iii. This ABC is a zigzag given the 5-wave substructure of wave (a). I will get into the nitty gritty of this micro-wedge in my next post, but it looks to me like wave a of (b) is a leading diagonal. Again, this count invalidates if price moves above the previous high of ...

Manifested Manifested (XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCJPY*JPYUSD+(BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+XBTUSD)/4/((BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD)/2)*(BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD))/7, 1D, Short ,
(XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCJPY*JPYUSD+(BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+XBTUSD)/4/((BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD)/2)*(BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD))/7: BTC - Primary Count Megathread
BTC - Primary Count Megathread

I wanted to start tracking my primary BTCUSD wave count. This post will be for the larger time-frame count and will follow up with two more zoomed in counts, and potentially some alternates. I will try and keep this thread as the primary one for tracking purposes and update as this unfold, or until it invalidates. I currently see us being in an ending diagonal, ...

Manifested Manifested (XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCJPY*JPYUSD+(BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+XBTUSD)/4/((BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD)/2)*(BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD))/7, 120, Short ,
(XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCJPY*JPYUSD+(BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+XBTUSD)/4/((BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD)/2)*(BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD))/7: Zoomed out Primary Count - ABC for BTC
Zoomed out Primary Count - ABC for BTC

Posting to wrap everything up, mostly for tracking purposes. This is currently my primary count for BTC. I expect we are finishing (finished?) up wave 5 right now, and should be getting into our wave B. $8300-$7800 for wave B, $5500-$4700 for wave C.

Manifested Manifested XBTUSD, 30, Short ,
XBTUSD: Zoomed in potential wave 5 - BTC
205 2 4
XBTUSD, 30 Short
Zoomed in potential wave 5 - BTC

Showing my sub-wave count for the previous post of the possible wave 5.

Manifested Manifested (XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCJPY/USDJPY+(BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+XBTUSD)/4/((BTCKRW/USDKRW+BTCKRW/USDKRW)/2)*(BTCKRW/USDKRW+BTCKRW/USDKRW))/7, 120, Short ,
(XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCJPY/USDJPY+(BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+XBTUSD)/4/((BTCKRW/USDKRW+BTCKRW/USDKRW)/2)*(BTCKRW/USDKRW+BTCKRW/USDKRW))/7: For grins - Impulsive Alternative
For grins - Impulsive Alternative

Tracking purposes only.

Manifested Manifested (XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD)/4, 60, Long ,
(XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD)/4: BTC Update
BTC Update

Since my last post BTCUSD has hit both my buy and sell targets. Looking at the bigger picture, however, I believe we may be in a larger expanded flat. Since our proposed (b) wave was a 1.382 retrace of (a), I anticipate a 1.236-1.382 extension of (a) for wave (c). Sell targets: $8,850-$8,750 Stop: >$9,000 *THIS IS NOT TRADING ADVICE*

Manifested Manifested XBTUSD, 30, Short ,
XBTUSD: Let's see if this works.
87 0 3
XBTUSD, 30 Short
Let's see if this works.

Thought this was a wave two, but triangles are odd, possible a wave 4 concluding in a wave 5 down.

Manifested Manifested (XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD)/4, 60, Short ,
(XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD)/4: Update to BTC Corrective Triangle & Bearish Butterfly
Update to BTC Corrective Triangle & Bearish Butterfly

BTCUSD hit my sell target perfectly for the ABC correction I posted a few days back. Before this downturn/correction I made a post about a bearish butterfly harmonic pattern as well, that has panned out. The final target on the butterfly is the 1.618 fib shown, and if this is infact a downwards impulse wave, a common target for the vth wave is 100% of wave 1, this ...

Manifested Manifested BTCUSD, 15, Long ,
BTCUSD: BTC Corrective Triangle?
255 0 2
BTCUSD, 15 Long
BTC Corrective Triangle?

Overall I am still bearish on BTCUSD, but this is a short-term bullish chart. I believe we may be in an ABC corrective move off last nights low. This is just a quick post for tracking purposes of a potential B wave triangle. There is another interpretation that could have the triangle being complete, with a slight overthrow break on the E wave, but it respected ...

Manifested Manifested (XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCJPY*JPYUSD+(BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+XBTUSD)/4/((BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD)/2)*(BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD))/7, 360,
(XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCJPY*JPYUSD+(BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+XBTUSD)/4/((BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD)/2)*(BTCKRW*KRWUSD+BTCKRW*KRWUSD))/7: This time, on Fractals with Friends
This time, on Fractals with Friends

Another fractal for you going back to 2014 for BTCUSD. Fairly self explanatory, but I will update as I investigate it further. The major differences here is that the 2014 fractal tops out before falling into the harmonic bearish gartley. Currently our bearish butterfly is leading into our top. I actually have that recent high as an expanded flat in my EW count. ...

Manifested Manifested XBTUSD, 240, Long ,
XBTUSD: BTC Needs to hold here for continued bullish movement
105 0 3
XBTUSD, 240 Long
BTC Needs to hold here for continued bullish movement

Quick post, just showing that we perfectly touched the 1.382 fib exctension of wave A in this potential expanded flat. Also we are finding support above the 38.2% retrace of the entire rally. Good luck. BTCUSD.

Manifested Manifested (ETHUSDT+ETHUSD+ETHUSD+ETHUSD+ETHUSDT+ETHKRW/USDKRW*(ETHUSD+ETHUSD+ETHUSD)/3/(ETHKRW/USDKRW))/6, 60, Short ,
(ETHUSDT+ETHUSD+ETHUSD+ETHUSD+ETHUSDT+ETHKRW/USDKRW*(ETHUSD+ETHUSD+ETHUSD)/3/(ETHKRW/USDKRW))/6: ETH Possible Corrective Targets
ETH Possible Corrective Targets

Posting for tracking purposes, will elaborate if I get time or if it starts to come to fruition. My original expanded flat is invalid now, however I am still tracking it in BTCUSD.

Manifested Manifested BTCUSD, 60,
BTCUSD: While on the subject of harmonics - BTC
268 0 6
BTCUSD, 60
While on the subject of harmonics - BTC

Just posting to track it, this isn't something I have looked into a whole lot as of yet, just noticed the potential. Bearish Butterfly. $10050-$9900 sell target. $9500-$9150 buy target. *This is not trading advice*

Manifested Manifested BTCUSD, 1D,
BTCUSD: Potential Harmonic Fractal in BTC
178 1 6
BTCUSD, 1D
Potential Harmonic Fractal in BTC

I've seen BTCUSD bounce up into these corrective looking triangles quite often. One of which was posted about during the rally to $17k. That was a bearish gartley, but here I am tracking a possible bearish bat. I drew the two ABC patterns to show their similarity. I think right now we are at a inflection point. Other fractals I have seen have broken down from ...

Manifested Manifested (XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD)/4, 240, Long ,
(XBTUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD+BTCUSD)/4: Guess it's time to start leaning bullish - BTC
Guess it's time to start leaning bullish - BTC

Taking a look at BTCUSD some more I'm liking this count. Fits the channel well and indicates one more push up to finish off our wave (v). Hidden bullish divs on RSI and MACD as well on higher time frames. Short term I am still watching for a small retrace for a scalp position. Looking for a $9500-$9250 entry. Targets Posted, wave 5s are often 1, 1.618 or 2.618 ...

Manifested Manifested (ETHUSDT+ETHUSD+ETHUSD+ETHUSD+ETHUSDT+ETHKRW/USDKRW*(ETHUSD+ETHUSD+ETHUSD)/3/(ETHKRW/USDKRW))/6, 120, Short ,
(ETHUSDT+ETHUSD+ETHUSD+ETHUSD+ETHUSDT+ETHKRW/USDKRW*(ETHUSD+ETHUSD+ETHUSD)/3/(ETHKRW/USDKRW))/6: ETH - Expanded Flat
ETH - Expanded Flat

For tracking.

Manifested Manifested BLX, 1D, Long ,
BLX: Bullish Case for BTC
164 0 4
BLX, 1D Long
Bullish Case for BTC

As a followup to my bearish case for BTCUSD, here are my arguments for the bull. We've seen impulsive action off our recent higher low indicating that $5900 was our bottom of wave 4. If we assume that is true, here are my targets for short-term longs. There is also an argument to be made for bullish divergence on RSI and MACD shown here. I am watching for possible ...

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Bitcoin / US Dollar Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract
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