Yogigolf

Yogigolf

Looks like were forming this channel parallel to the 200dma. There is a repeating pattern with a double dip then mark up for 3-4 months with a 20%+ move. I think we likely will get a similar move up from here.

Yogigolf Updated 

Based on 10/2 yield curve which looks like it could invert next year spy could visit its lower range in the low to mid 300s. Either the 50mma or 100mma. Also has some nice confluences with the price volume profile.

Yogigolf

Semiconductors are typically a leading sector for tech. We have a very clear breakout and a extremely bullish trend. I expect QQQ to follow as well

Yogigolf

Looks like vix will trade back to the 15 area. It seems likely a sideways trading range is establishing.

Yogigolf

Oddly enough C-19 provided a huge net boost to earnings to certain small retailers temporarily raising their net margins far beyond what they normally do. Eg. BGFV historical net margin was 0-3% and is now sitting at 9%. I believe this is only temporarily due to increased demand for certain goods last year which in following years will have decreased demand of...

Yogigolf

Don't have to over-complicate things with investing/ trading. If you're worried the market is going to "crash" just watch the yield curve. Its usually pretty safe to stay net long until you get that signal. At the current trajectory it looks like the yield curve will invert mid to late next year.

Yogigolf

Looks like TLT can go down to $130 or potentially a bit lower, I would consider being a buyer at those levels, this also aligns up nicely with the price volume profile, general support area and the long term trend.

Yogigolf

Here are the vix future contracts from September to may. Interesting to see the expansion in divergence between shorter term and longer term expected volatility, especially the jump between December and January

Yogigolf Updated 

Near the bottom of the market last year some of my analysis pointed towards the Nasdaq 100 going into a bubble. As you can see from the first fractal below we are tracking very accurately. I have re-scaled the fractal to fit slightly better. I also have been seeing many similarities to the 2009 bottom as well, in looking at that fractal it also seems to have some...

Yogigolf Updated 

Waiting patiently for the NDX to finally break out, possible we are putting in the final low in this consolidation pattern, which I would expect to see rotation back into tech stocks. Thrown down a few fractals based on this pattern, is just a re-scaling or my original March 24 2020 area

Yogigolf Updated 

seeing around 15.5 being the low then another spike in another few months, will load up on calls once we get sub 16 again.

Yogigolf Updated 

Doing some basic back testing on SPX & MMTH (% stocks above 200dma) we can see this rare signal has only triggered a few times since 2000 coming off significant bottoms. The previous two times the market came off an extreme low on MMTH to an extreme high the market remained bullish for about 9 month before a longer multi month correction occur with a 10-15% draw...

Yogigolf

Seeing vix setting up for this. Some type of "black swan" event. Who knows what the trigger will be, my guess will be something around the vaccine failure this winter. Idea will be invalid if mike makes lower lows.

Yogigolf

Interesting fractal from 20 years ago. Will be seeing how this plays out.

Yogigolf

Greyscale bitcoin trust is trading at over a 10% discount to their Bitcoin holdings. This shows just how low demand there is for bitcoin right now. You can see how when it slipped under spot value that was an early indicator the top was in. It's hard to say how this relationship will play out since this is the first time this has happened before but in my...

Yogigolf

Nice ascending triangle and at the bottom of the channel

Yogigolf

looks like a dump back down to support sub $300 in the next year

Yogigolf

With bitcoin looking weak MSTR looks like a mega short.