Pure technical analysis.
After making a bullish move from November 23, 2023, GBPUSD has completed Elliott Waves (first 12345), and then made a sideways movement since mid-December 2023. In this sideways movement, GBPUSD made micro-Elliott Waves and has completed them. The extension of this wave is predicted to complete leg 3 of the second 12345 waves in the range and reverse downwards.
On this large time frame (D1/H4), this is a retracement to the bullish wave in the previous large time frame. In the small time frame (H1), this is an opportunity to sell GBPUSD into the 0.618 Fibonacci zone of the large time frame, which is the flip zone area as well as the area that still leaves an imbalance wide enough to be filled.
Another reason to sell is the divergence on the oscillator which indicates buyers are starting to get exhausted.
To enter, wait until the price reaches the middle or top of the range, where there is a lot of equal high liquidity (range 1.27100 - 1.28250). Pay attention to price movements in smaller time frames (M5 - M15) to get an entry sell position. We prefer to enter at the 1.27040 level or higher and aims for 2R to the support zone at 1.23710 that acted as 0.618 fib level of the higher time frame, as well as the former bullish flip zone. Stop loss is at 1.28700 to avoid stop loss hunting/purge.
Cancel the setup if the price exceeds 1.28166 with high volume.
Note: if the price reaches take profit and shows reversal symptoms, take a buy position. Analysis will be provided later.
After making a bullish move from November 23, 2023, GBPUSD has completed Elliott Waves (first 12345), and then made a sideways movement since mid-December 2023. In this sideways movement, GBPUSD made micro-Elliott Waves and has completed them. The extension of this wave is predicted to complete leg 3 of the second 12345 waves in the range and reverse downwards.
On this large time frame (D1/H4), this is a retracement to the bullish wave in the previous large time frame. In the small time frame (H1), this is an opportunity to sell GBPUSD into the 0.618 Fibonacci zone of the large time frame, which is the flip zone area as well as the area that still leaves an imbalance wide enough to be filled.
Another reason to sell is the divergence on the oscillator which indicates buyers are starting to get exhausted.
To enter, wait until the price reaches the middle or top of the range, where there is a lot of equal high liquidity (range 1.27100 - 1.28250). Pay attention to price movements in smaller time frames (M5 - M15) to get an entry sell position. We prefer to enter at the 1.27040 level or higher and aims for 2R to the support zone at 1.23710 that acted as 0.618 fib level of the higher time frame, as well as the former bullish flip zone. Stop loss is at 1.28700 to avoid stop loss hunting/purge.
Cancel the setup if the price exceeds 1.28166 with high volume.
Note: if the price reaches take profit and shows reversal symptoms, take a buy position. Analysis will be provided later.