MSFT, Trading Near A-T-H, Important Determination Incoming Next!

Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this analysis about the past events happening with MSFT, the current formation/price-action and what we can expect in the next days and hours, as mentioned in previous analysis about the stock-market there are gainers and losers in the current worldwide corona-crisis-pandemic, winners can be found in companies in the health, armory or food industry, with MSFT the demand remains neutral as there is not an abnormal increasingly high demand like in the other important industry-leading a major role in this crisis but there are other factors in the technical side of things which making MSFT interesting at the moment and which can profide profitful when prepared rightly and traded accordingly, therefore we are looking at the 4-hour timeframe.

As you can see in my chart MSFT just broke down a major rising support line which was an important factor in the recent relevant but small and weak uptrend trading to the all-time-high level MSFT established at the 190 level. AS this is such a exceptionally important signal from highest importance it shouldnt be ignroed when cosndiering the bearish view. What is also playing into the bearish scenario is that we pierced the EMA strucutre you can see in my chart to the downside, at the moment the price recovered to the upside but as this happened suddenly it gives the EMAs a bearish shape, when we cross the EMAs fully to the downside as happened in the past with MSFT this will give an fundamental signal for increasing bearish pressure to expect in MSFT price-action.

But at the moment the MSFT holding above important support zones and it seems like it can sustain here further, as you can see in my chart MSFT is trading in an big parallel channel which can become a bull-flag when it confirms to the upside, but this needs to be shown with good volatiltiy and a clear break of the upper boundary ot the channel. When this does not happen and the price of MSFT weakens and shows bearish pressure signs it can still fail and confirm into the bear zone you can see in my chart. The good thing is that both scenarios can be traded appropriately, the bullish scenario with a clear break and confirmation of the upper boundary and the bearish scenario with a break/confirmation below the EMA structure and secondly a break of the lower boundary of the channel.

It will be highly interesting how the possible scenarios MSFT has currently on hand play out and if we can see a new all-time-high the next time or a smaller to bigger correction before that happens. Overall it has to be mentioned that when the corona-restricitons increase again and rumors become bigger and bigger that can also affect the stock-market with increasing fear selling pressure, similar to the high downside moves we have seen this year during beginnings of the lockdowns and restriciton. Therefore the bearish scenario should not be kept aside, this means to be primed for possible increasing pressures within the markets and take advantage of the opportunities arising from voaltitly arising, especially MSFT is providing a good setup here to trade after confirmation.

In this manner, thanks for watching, support for more market insight and all the best!
Trading effectively is about assessing probabilities, not certainties.

Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.

Comment:

ANALYSIS UPDATE: MSFT completed the major bull flag breakout.

MSFT after completing the major bull flag breakout continued into the trend directions to reach the final target zones.