🔝 US Gas prices become more affordable as key breakdown is here

Pandorra Updated   
NYMEX_DL:RB1!   RBOB Gasoline Futures
Americans could breathe a sigh of relief with gas prices set to be more affordable this year.

US gas prices hit their highest 52 Weeks in August and September ahead of Labor Day, with the national average standing at $3.82 a gallon GASREGW , per AAA Gas Prices.
Gasoline prices hit summertime levels in over a decade even as the driving season comes to a halt, as a result of rising crude-oil prices USOIL driven by production cuts.

Brent crude UKOIL , the international benchmark, jumped to $90 a barrel earlier is September for the first time in 2023 after both Saudi Arabia and Russia extended oil production cuts of 1.3 million barrels a day through December 2023 in a bid to maintain price stability.

Higher US gas prices RB1! are a problem for the Federal Reserve, which has been trying to tame historically high inflation. The central bank has already hiked interest rates USINTR by more than 500 basis points since March 2022, helping lower the pace of consumer-price increases to 3.2% in July from last year's highs above 9%.

But the jump in fuel prices is threatening to derail the progress the Fed has made in taming inflation.
As a result, just after September, 2023 FOMC meeting market participants are waiting one or maybe two dovish Fed's Rate price actions in 2024. At the same time before September, 2023 Federal Reserve meeting, market expectations were about three cuts, near to four. (up to 100 b.p.).

Meanwhile juts a take a look what technical picture in RBOB Gasoline futures RB1! price says.
Near the middle of August, 2023 Gasoline futures prices turned massively down, due to seasonal backwardation in RBOB futures contracts, where autumn RBOB futures contracts are usually to be trade lower vs. summer RBOB futures contracts.

Moreover, in the last day of Q3'23 RBOB futures price turned firmly lower, breaking down the major trendline support that was actual all the time from disinflationary Covid-19 era. Moreover weekly SMA(52) is broken down also.

In a conclusion, I have to say that retail gasoline prices are usually to follow the major trend, within one or up to two months.

Trade active:
Oct 4, 2023

Gasoline Futures are back to $ 2.30 per gallon, the lowest levels in 2023

Trade active:
Oct 4, 2023

Gasoline Futures are back to $ 2.20 per gallon, the lowest levels in 2023


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