In the chart we have the SPX versus the US10Y (US 10 Year Government Bonds Yeld Rate, in the blue line).
We are at a peak moment.
In principle, the rate in US10Y is inverse, that is, when it goes down, more people are buying — more people leave the stock market and buy government bonds.
The correlation with SPX is high in periods of extreme volatility , as shown in the circles.
Frighteningly, the US10Y is close to the same levels as March/2018 and October/2018.
If it drops like it did before, will we see a strong correction in global markets?
Analyzing the US10Y alone:
The US10Y has broken up a long bearish channel .
The RSI ( Relative Strength Index ) indicates an extremely stretched value, signaling a possible reversal to the downside.
On the weekly chart it is in a resistance test region, similar to the periods mentioned.
We are at a peak moment.
In principle, the rate in US10Y is inverse, that is, when it goes down, more people are buying — more people leave the stock market and buy government bonds.
The correlation with SPX is high in periods of extreme volatility , as shown in the circles.
Frighteningly, the US10Y is close to the same levels as March/2018 and October/2018.
If it drops like it did before, will we see a strong correction in global markets?
Analyzing the US10Y alone:
The US10Y has broken up a long bearish channel .
The RSI ( Relative Strength Index ) indicates an extremely stretched value, signaling a possible reversal to the downside.
On the weekly chart it is in a resistance test region, similar to the periods mentioned.