dailytaguy

SPX Daily TA Bullish

SP:SPX   S&P 500 Index
SPX Daily bullish. Recommended ratio: 90% SPX, 10% Cash. *Equities, Cryptos, Metals, Oil, Treasuries and EURO are slightly up today as DXY and VIX continue their market correction. Equities continue to go up on fading concerns of a recession paired with more strong earnings (Tesla beat on both earnings and revenue) but face a week of anticipated volatility with big tech companies (Meta on Wednesday and Amazon and Apple on Thursday) set to report earnings next week. For context: Netflix just reported a beat on earnings (earnings were lower in Q2 then in Q1) and miss on revenue after completing their second round of layoffs and experiencing its second consecutive quarter of declining new subscribers; Snapchat also reported a beat on earnings (no change from Q1 and Q2) and miss on revenue while announcing they will slow hiring. This and the worsening energy crisis in Europe that is expected to get worse are pointing to increased volatility next week. Putin suggested that whether or not the Nord Stream returns to full capacity depends on how the Canadians handle the repair of a pipeline turbine and how the Germans handle sanctions regarding transporting the turbine and maintaining the pipeline. The EU continues to contend that Russia had reduced the Nord Stream's capacity by 40% even prior to scheduled maintenance and that punishing the EU economy with a winter energy crisis is part of Russia's plan. The ECB raised their central bank interest rate for the first time in 11 years from 50bps from -0.50% to 0% in response to a June 8.6% inflation reading; with a looming energy crisis the EU may soon learn this may not be enough. Key Dates next week: FOMC Statement release 07/27 at 2pm (EST), Meta Earnings Report 07/27, and Amazon and Apple Earnings Report 07/28.* Price is currently trending up at ~$4k and flipped $3938 resistance to support in today's session while also reclaiming the descending channel from August 2021 at the same level ($3938 resistance-turned-support). Volume remains Moderate (high) and has favored buyers for three consecutive sessions now at this critical price juncture, this is bullish. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $3734, this margin is mildly bearish at the moment. RSI is currently trending up at 60 with no signs of peak formation; the next resistance is at 68 but RSI still hasn't technically established 53 as support so a downward correction cannot be ruled out. Stochastic remains bullish and is currently testing max top where it can coast in the 'bullish autobahn' for a few sessions. MACD remains bullish and is currently trending up at 1.60 as it breaks out above -11 resistance, if it can continue the breakout then the next resistance is at 11. ADX is currently trending down slightly and beginning to form a soft trough at 16 as Price pushes higher, this is mildly bullish; if ADX can begin trending up as Price continues going higher, this would be bullish. If Price is able to continue up then the next likely target is a retest of $4175 resistance for the first time since early June 2022. However, if Price breaks down here, it will likely retest the lower trendline of the descending channel from August 2021 at ~$3900. Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $3900.

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