NASDAQ:TLT   Ishares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
With the markets pricing in a 95% chance of a 25bps to 50bps rate cut, longing 20 year bonds seems like one of the highest confidence trades in the market.

I am bullish on 20 year bonds specifically, and will continue to be until we see a rate hike which I believe is far, far away. We are likely heading into a global recession within the next 12-18 months, so I rather be on the long side of risk-off assets in anticipation of a move higher.


Great insight Andy, thank you. Would you have medium term projections now that those targets are breached...I'm expecting further rate cuts this month and/or release of 50- and 100- year bonds
studentcar11 studentcar11
@studentcar11, Neglected to ask...preference of one over the other? (TMF vs TLT) :)
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