PrimeXBT

Middle East Force Will Bring More Oil Market Speculators

PrimeXBT Updated   
FX_IDC:USDBRO   U.S. DOLLAR / BRENT CRUDE OIL
PrimeXBT will now be offering a technical and fundamental analysis overview of USD/BRO.

Fundamental Analysis and News:

Oil had its wildest day since the Saudi Arabia attacks last year. After spiking aggressively as news of Iran’s missile attack hit the news wires, oil gave back all of those gains to finish much lower on the day. Brent is very close to daily support regions.

The news from the Energy Information Administration that U.S. crude supplies edged up by 1.2 million barrels for the week ended Jan. 3, hit prices hard as this had followed declines in each of the previous three weeks. Analysts had expected to report a drop of about 3.6 million barrels.

Energy companies in the region may need to take on more debt if oil prices keep falling, said Rory Fyfe, chief economist at U.K.-based MENA Advisors. Benchmark Brent crude slid about 10% last year to an average of about $64 a barrel, and growth in oil demand shows signs of faltering. Access to cheap financing could also stimulate borrowing.

“Gulf issuers are very opportunistic, and if we see lower global rates, we could see oil companies coming back to the market,” he said.

Technical Analysis:

In the near term, the price will likely target the support zone. Once its price reaches this zone, a rejection could cause it to rise until it reaches its first resistance zone, which could spark a bounce.

A clear close above the key resistance zone could offer new entries for high-return gains in the near term. The next major hurdle is near the $75.5 level.

  • Day's Range: $64.58 — 66.08
  • Support Zone: $59.8 — 62.5
  • Resistance Zone: $69.65 — 70.7
  • Resistance Target Levels: $75.50, 80.05, 86.05

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