MQP PRESENTS - MY AMERICAN DREAM PART 1F, FIRST TRADE
HEADER - This is what my work was meant to do, forecast prices beat for beat. Let's see if its worth anything.
SUMMARY - Please read previous posts for background. LInks are below. This is the finalized cheat sheet for 60 days as discussed in "PART 1E".
STRATEGY - If prices moves to 12/22 beat for beat through the black boxes following gray highlight, short first arrow. Cover second arrow.
A) short 12/22 around 1780
B) cover at 1570 at any point BEFORE 01/20/23
C) cover at 01/20/23 even if not at 1570 yet
D) there's at least a 20:1 trade in there somewhere, I'll work on it if this chart delivers for next 30 days (the trade is the second 30 days)
E) this matters because I believe we are about to hit the low for the following 36 months, 1570-ish, maybe a bit lower
F) topping 3600-4000 around September 2025 to January 2026
DETAILS - In order to use this work effectively. Get IRL from my scripts page, set DX/DY ratio to:
A) 27/32 for 2H bar in order to get the waves for this chart and follow as it proceeds day by day
B) 27/32 is also zoom-able for 15-min, 30-min, 1H, 2H, 4H, and 8H bars
C) please be aware that the colors are only for ratio comparison, it's their shape that matters
D) so you are looking for THE SAME WAVES, NOT THE SAME COLORS (UNLESS you are on 27/32 for 2H bars)
E) USE DX/DY RATIO 9/10 FOR: 1-min, 2-min, 4-min, 8-min, and 16-min bars
F) USE DX/DY RATIO 9/8 FOR: 11-min, 22-min, 45-min, 90-min, 3H, 6H, 12H, 1D, 2D, 4D, 8D, 16D, and 32D
G) this goes w/o saying, but obviously at very small or very big bars, the waves shift DUE TO TRADINGVIEW BAR COUNT REGULATION
H) and of course, please read directions before using, I am aware they were never finished, but there's more than enough for what we will use it for
NOTES 1)
A) This implies that the low for silver IS IN. I don't have time to work on a silver chart.
B) I have enough to proofread the gold forecast by itself.
C) If silver proves interesting in late January, THE TRADE OF THE YEAR would be to go long AG (First Majestic) for 12 months
D) I want to add some chart-notes if I have time, they are important for my vision for the next 38 months
SUMMARY - Please read previous posts for background. LInks are below. This is the finalized cheat sheet for 60 days as discussed in "PART 1E".
STRATEGY - If prices moves to 12/22 beat for beat through the black boxes following gray highlight, short first arrow. Cover second arrow.
A) short 12/22 around 1780
B) cover at 1570 at any point BEFORE 01/20/23
C) cover at 01/20/23 even if not at 1570 yet
D) there's at least a 20:1 trade in there somewhere, I'll work on it if this chart delivers for next 30 days (the trade is the second 30 days)
E) this matters because I believe we are about to hit the low for the following 36 months, 1570-ish, maybe a bit lower
F) topping 3600-4000 around September 2025 to January 2026
DETAILS - In order to use this work effectively. Get IRL from my scripts page, set DX/DY ratio to:
A) 27/32 for 2H bar in order to get the waves for this chart and follow as it proceeds day by day
B) 27/32 is also zoom-able for 15-min, 30-min, 1H, 2H, 4H, and 8H bars
C) please be aware that the colors are only for ratio comparison, it's their shape that matters
D) so you are looking for THE SAME WAVES, NOT THE SAME COLORS (UNLESS you are on 27/32 for 2H bars)
E) USE DX/DY RATIO 9/10 FOR: 1-min, 2-min, 4-min, 8-min, and 16-min bars
F) USE DX/DY RATIO 9/8 FOR: 11-min, 22-min, 45-min, 90-min, 3H, 6H, 12H, 1D, 2D, 4D, 8D, 16D, and 32D
G) this goes w/o saying, but obviously at very small or very big bars, the waves shift DUE TO TRADINGVIEW BAR COUNT REGULATION
H) and of course, please read directions before using, I am aware they were never finished, but there's more than enough for what we will use it for
NOTES 1)
A) This implies that the low for silver IS IN. I don't have time to work on a silver chart.
B) I have enough to proofread the gold forecast by itself.
C) If silver proves interesting in late January, THE TRADE OF THE YEAR would be to go long AG (First Majestic) for 12 months
D) I want to add some chart-notes if I have time, they are important for my vision for the next 38 months
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NOTES 3)
A) I left the blue boxes in b/c it's the ONLY ROUTE that, if taken, would favor a target under 1540, which I don't even see hitting at this point in time.
B) As it stands the only way to anything under 1550 is a double bottom in third week of February.
C) After all that work, this chart is basically same as "1C", but with a higher bottom.
A) I left the blue boxes in b/c it's the ONLY ROUTE that, if taken, would favor a target under 1540, which I don't even see hitting at this point in time.
B) As it stands the only way to anything under 1550 is a double bottom in third week of February.
C) After all that work, this chart is basically same as "1C", but with a higher bottom.
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NOTES 4) Here is the detailing and proofreading for this forecas (just for kicks).
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NOTES 5) The following is the quickest way I can present what I see w/o geting too technical:
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FOR CHART ABOVE:
1) let's say we follow bear route, it wouldn't be 5 over 50% until summer 2025
2) however it WOULD kill odds of bull route, while also increasing odds of a third route
3) I'm pointing that out as an example only...
1) let's say we follow bear route, it wouldn't be 5 over 50% until summer 2025
2) however it WOULD kill odds of bull route, while also increasing odds of a third route
3) I'm pointing that out as an example only...
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F\OR CHART ABOVE:
1. The current odds price action are beginning to heavily favor that turn of 576-day wave.
2. In fact, the first window to "prevent this wave from turning already occurred today.
3. But going forward, that is the basis for my forecasting for all of 2023.
4. Why not '24 and '25?
5. Because even after this move up, the 75 month wave, will be out of position vs 150 month wave.
6. While it's theoretically favored to work out, there are points when odds favor us a great deal.
1. The current odds price action are beginning to heavily favor that turn of 576-day wave.
2. In fact, the first window to "prevent this wave from turning already occurred today.
3. But going forward, that is the basis for my forecasting for all of 2023.
4. Why not '24 and '25?
5. Because even after this move up, the 75 month wave, will be out of position vs 150 month wave.
6. While it's theoretically favored to work out, there are points when odds favor us a great deal.
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13. continuing from chart above,
14. the one major difference are tops of feb-april rallies, and may-june rally
15. it would put us in all time highs in June
16. which is favored from 2-day bar and above, but not 1 day-bar and below
17. that's it for a while...
14. the one major difference are tops of feb-april rallies, and may-june rally
15. it would put us in all time highs in June
16. which is favored from 2-day bar and above, but not 1 day-bar and below
17. that's it for a while...
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18. To be clear, draft 1G is focused on execution of the move to make sure we minimize risk and book the win. I have strong conviction with the move, I just want to clear all blind spots to make the trade worth our time.
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11/27 8:06 PM SUNDAY NIGHT, HERE ARE SOME PROOF READINGS:
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15. WHAT THAT MEANS IS THE MARCH 20 TOP IS 1875 AND THE APRIL 20 TOP IS 1915-2015.
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16. YOU HEARD IT HERE FIRST.
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FOR CHART ABOVE:
1) to sum it up (while I work on 1G)
2) if I view from big bar size, we are very very late and we should 1920-2020 in late April, and at or new all time high in June
3) if that is the case, then 1615 is the floor and we get reverse spike up in late January
4) so the short should be, short on 12/22 if around 1770 and cover at 1630 before 01/04
1) to sum it up (while I work on 1G)
2) if I view from big bar size, we are very very late and we should 1920-2020 in late April, and at or new all time high in June
3) if that is the case, then 1615 is the floor and we get reverse spike up in late January
4) so the short should be, short on 12/22 if around 1770 and cover at 1630 before 01/04
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5) and finally, so basically "1G" are restrictions illustrated in chart above
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THIS POST HAS ENDED. HERE IS 1G CONTINUATION:
Related Ideas
A) In chart at top, the blue highlight is from notes in "1E".
B) The light blue boxes are from bold black boxes in "1E", I left them in for compare/contrast.
C) The dotted paths are varying combinations of how 01/20 to 02/20 of 2023 should go.
D) Doesn't matter which one it takes, the second trade is to go long in 02/20/23, and again in 03/20/23, we will cross that bridge if and when...