Comments, input, more than welcome :)
How to Trade the News We see lots of new traders in the chat here on Trading View making poor decisions around news based trading. Yes, catching a big move can be profitable, but it is a gamble and one that we as money managers should not be willing to take. Ask yourself this, if you had $1m of client money at stake, would you bet on the direction of a short...
How do you trade when important news are scheduled to come out? Do you fall in A or B case or do you usually go with any of 1, 2 or 3 approaches?
North Korea fired rockets over Japan! Well, while this fuels short-term immediate reactions, as seen on chart, within the same day, the market has reached the conclusion at a point in time, that sum of all "forces" in the world are unchanged after the fact of the missile since price came back to the initial starting point. This is a prime example how news...
Simply notice the 'inflation adjusted declines' of 1974 and 1982 and the overall 1970-1982 correction and compare them to the 2002 and 2007 decline from 2000-2009 and see what happened after. After two massive 50%+ declines, there doesn't "NEED" to be another massive wipeout for a long time. Investors do repeat patterns, so if they continue to repeat this...
This graphic of Classic Bubble Pattern, it happen on : 1. Oil 2008, 2. Nasdaq in 2000, 3. Chinese Shanghai index in 2007, 4. Cotton in 2011, 5. Waiting list And in every bubble ended the same way: "they all came back down sharply" Disclaimer : This analysis not include personal feeling/opinion, and pure base on technical analysis, and historical...
Looks like there are fundamentally different outlooks on the economy.
Jobless claims indicator has been a reliable indicator of recessions. By examining a historical chart that goes back to 1960s we see a similar pattern in the behavior of claims and recessions. Every single recession the U.S. encountered in the underlying period was preceded by a rise in jobless claims. The chart above draws the quarterly jobless claims. The...
GARTNER HYPE CYLE 1. Technology Trigger - A potential technology breakthrough kicks things off. Early proof-of-concept stories and media interest trigger significant publicity. Often no usable products exist and commercial viability is unproven. 2. Peak of Inflated Expectations - Early publicity produces a number of success stories—often accompanied by scores...
General education: Plotting fundamental data. POP gives you the population data for the United States. You can put the scale to log-scale so you view the same percentage changes in the data across the data series. What you can see here is a slightly different view. The pace of growth from 1975-1986 continued forward until today shows were are on that same...
Hello guys. Personally I am excited as we get closer to FOMC, and I will be trading FOMC event. I will have positions on: DXY USD/JPY GOLD SILVER EUR/USD I will manage to trade this event with High Frequency news trading machine, as HFT is back in da building, and we had a great success trading news with this machine. Last NFP was sweet as well. Since I have a...
In this example I am showing you how the market remembers important price levels and how you want to trade around them. What I am showing you here is the levels where EARNINGS were reported. I have my own special way to graph that so you can see it easily without any trouble. You can see the "earnings" tab at the bottom of charts here at TradingView. If you...
Many people who trade in the financial markets, especially those who engage in foreign exchange trading, do not pay attention to a very important aspect in trading that can cause great losses or reduce large profits. What I am talking about is slippage, which is the gap between the forex price we ask and the price we get in the execution of an FX trade. There...
What is the Bund? The Bund is the German 10-Year Treasury bill, also known as a government bond. A holder of a bond is a creditor, and the issuer of a bond is called a borrower or debtor. When the price of the Bund increases, the yield received on that bond decreases and vice versa. What is the relationship between Bund and EURUSD? Why is this relationship...
I personally follow 4 central banks in detail: FED (USD), ECB (EUR), BoJ (JPY) and BoE (GBP). Knowing the monetary policies of these banks and how they differ, helps me in trading the following 6 major pairs: EU, GU, UJ, EJ, EG and GJ. I also follow three other central banks, be it more at a distance and with less detail: SNB, RBA and BoC. The banks to follow...