Some say this week's FOMC decision will be of historical proportions and be the first time the Federal Reserve will increase the Fed funds rate in almost a decade. The U.S. dollar index is in a descending trend. Price action is floating above the minor trend created by the top on April 13. The dollar has not been able to see any significant support higher,...
The USDCAD pauses as crude gains over 20 percent from the recent lows, while having the best three-day gain in nearly 30 years. Upward momentum in crude prices will help the Canadian dollar rebound slightly, but the fundamentals still remain bearish. In all reality, $47 per barrel will not rid the bearish fundamentals within the energy space. While keeping it...
Following the FOMC minutes on Wednesday, gold has seen a massive two day move that brought the precious metal to five-week highs. Worries mount as market participants are beginning to realize that the Federal Reserve is stuck within a liquidity trap. The minutes statement indicated that the Fed saw risks to near-term inflation (as the five-year breakeven rate hit...
The dollar-yen has been rather range bound, floating between 123 and 125. The U.S. dollar is likely to remain firm heading into September, as many market participants believe the Federal Reserve will finally raise the Fed funds rate for the first time since 2006. Many traders are looking at the fact that funds rate future traders are pricing in a 54 percent...
Please check out the full, original post chalk full of information: oilpro.com .... On a market technician's viewpoint, if fundamentals do not shape up quick with support from consumption economies, like the U.S. and China, crude could break 2009's low of $33.20 per barrel. I also expect the dollar to continue to rise, increasing deflationary pressure throughout...
The U.S. dollar index is sharply down, following a horrendous day for Chinese equities that did not spark any "safe haven" buying. The 8.48 percent drop in the Shanghai composite was the second worst day ever for the composite since 2007. Traders feared that the Chinese government and the People's Bank of China (PBoC) would pull any assistance to help keep their...
The dollar-yen has been able to recover a sizable portion of yesterday’s ensanguine price action, following the dollar’s rejection from key technical resistance. Support for USDJPY remains clear with the Federal Reserve’s promise to hike rates, supposedly, sometime this year. With the Fed keeping traders guessing, the dollar remains in an upward trend as the...
It could be said that it is slightly strange that the Euro isn't weaker. As of writing, EURUSD is trading at 1.1040 after seeing lows of 1.0458 back in February 2015. From March last year until February this year, EURUSD was in a very steep downtrend with a range of ~3500 pips. Since then, the pair has remained relatively stagnant, after seeing a bounce off of the...
Analysis on chart, this is potentially a very explosive accumulation pattern in gold. Looking to see a massive surge this week, probably today or tomorrow, on the back of the Euro summit or other critical fundamental event. I'm already in and averaging the entry since the highs, but the ideal entry would be now. Good luck, Ivan.
Gold is hated but most because it is the antithesis of greed, which has been feed for years by central banks around the world. I'll be frank, I was rather bearish on the shiny metal an forecasted $1,035 per toz. in 2013. However, as the charade of lackluster growth and quasi-monetary policy continued, gold's fundamentals are bullish. It is too simplistic to...
Traders knocked gold below $1,200 for the time being, as market participants determine whether or not the Federal Reserve will hike the Fed funds rate for the first time since 2006. The Fed is stringing along financial markets. Either the economy is strong and deserve a tightening of monetary policy, or it is not. The voting members of the FOMC still remain...
To be transparent and clear I am short the market, fully invested. This is my further attempt to be objective. Bears will justify many reasons why QE4 is not possible. At the very least it's not probable, but in all honesty, after reading Bernanke's SA on reasons for using QE in a deflationary cycle, there is no reason the US will not go the way of Japan, by...
Nobody can ignore the greenback gorilla in the room any longer as one percent moves seem to be a natural occurrence. The unprecedented drop in the euro, yen and Swiss franc is forcing the dollar index higher, causing dollar-priced commodities to decline lower. There is a striking pattern with the Swiss franc and gold. For many years, both assets have traded...
Platinum has been on a steady decline with slow demand. Platinum trades at a discount to gold, a condition that occurred last month. The spread between the two precious metals has tightened, but were at the widest in two years. Platinum, although grouped in with gold and silver as a precious metal, is typically lumped into the industrial group with palladium....
Silver is, at times, violently volatile and noticeably a proxy for the US dollar. With the dollar at levels not seen since 2005 and 2006, sentiment for precious metals remain weak. There are two factors for this, and it does not matter which one chooses. The dollar has been able to hold current levels via the perception that the Federal Reserve will - at some...
With interest rates around the globe slowly entering negative territory, gold become a rewarding asset yielding zero... Is it the end of the cyclical bear market and the start of a new bull? I am definitely opening some long with the hope of pyramiding later this year. For the time being, a nice speculative long position can be entered on a retest of the neck...
Historically, gold and the US dollar move inverse of each other. Time to abandon this preconception? The US dollar is going strong, but is it time to change the preconception that a strong US dollar is automatically bad for gold? Perhaps. The inverse relation has historically occurred, but in times of uncertainty, the inverse breaks and gold typically remains on...
Lumber is highly correlated to the ISM manufacturing index (or vice versa?). Nevertheless, the weakness in lumber prices is corresponding with the softening manufacturing data, although manufacturing data from Markit suggest manufacturing is weaker than ISM reports. New orders index collapsed from Nov/Dec 66 to 57. Prices have noticeably declined, too. Anyways,...