As discussed in part two (prior installments linked below), the duration mismatch between LQD and HYG renders the ratio useless as a tool to assess credit distress or changes in investor preference. Credit ETFs, must be compared to a duration matched ETF, Treasury security or index to be useful. There is also the difficulty in comparing spreads across investment...
CME: Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 ( CME_MINI:MNQ1! ) On August 17th, I published “Market Impacts of US Midterms Elections”. Thanks to your support, it made it to “Editors’ Picks” and was featured in TV Digest newsletter in an email themed “Midterms are Coming” to all subscribers. With the midterm elections coming to an end, it’s a good time to reassess the...
Last week has been without a doubt highlighted by the unexpectedly big drop on the U.S. CPI for October, lifting the market sentiment to one of the strongest 3 day rallies in recent history. In contrast to this euphoria we want to remind you the relative position of the thre major assets (S&P500, WTI Oil and Gold) compared to 2008. So far S&P500 is trading within...
As many Traders made the inquiry regarding Gold's Volatility and correlating assets: Explanation #1: Gold’s Price-action is basically affected by #2 factors: the proved reserves of Gold commodity / financial markets and macro-economic events. Particular events that have effect over Gold’s Prices have to do with one of the #2 mentioned groups; for instance,...
Hey all, Today was a massive green day; there's no doubt about it. We've had such a massive up day... that we've smacked right back into the old ceiling/resistance before on the Q's. Semiconductors and many beaten-down retail stocks are pumping like GME back in the day. I hope bears were cautious into a news event as significant as CPI, and were managing...
Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. EURCAD is still overall bearish from a long-term perspective trading inside the brown channel, and it is currently retesting the upper brown trendline. Moreover, the zone 1.37 - 1.38 is a strong resistance zone . So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for...
Hey everyone! 👋 Considering the events from the last few days, we thought it would be a good time to re-visit some of the best things you can do, as a trader and as a human being, to insulate yourself from Black Swan events. While a massive crypto exchange going insolvent is only the most recent example of a Black Swan, Black Swans can exist across all different...
Hello, my dear traders🙋🏻. Welcome🌸 to the Charts section📈. My name is Pejman, and this is the Museum🖼️ of Technical Analysis in Tradingview. I'm your tour leader on this visitation, and we will get to know all the Charts well together📊. I'll provide the necessary information about each Chart and answer your questions✅. 🚫So during this tour, please don't eat🍟or...
The news of a 11k jobs cut had an immediate bullish impact on the Meta Platforms Inc (META) stock, helping it break above the 100.00 barrier again. Today's much lower than expected CPI number is also adding fuel on this rally but can those alone push the price out of the death spiral it has been since January in particular? Well technically the November 03 drop...
The date was Oct 21st, 2015. No I can't tell the future, and neither can movie makers. What I can tell is the market is aware the next CPI print will come in much lower which is estimated at 7.8. My estimate in the above chart I have coming in lower at 7.4. Sit Rep going into tomorrows print. In my previous ideas and comments I said after the rally we...
Hello traders, All the below are based on my preferences, I don't give any financial recommendations and I have nothing to sell you with this article. I'm sharing content because I see a lot of traders being/becoming broke and I don't want you to be one of them. Splitting this article in 2 parts because it’s dense and I don’t want to lose people who might...
Admittedly, this is a clickbait title ... However, let me explain ... In previous cycles between halvings, the duration between the cycle high and cycle low was 13 months as you can see on the chart, with a price drop of >80% in that period. November '22 marks the 13th month since this cycle's ATH, so if history is respected, chances are that this month will...
EUR/USD has reversed course today and is in negative territory. In the North American session, the euro is trading at 1.0043, down 0.30%. The US dollar has rebounded after a 3-day slide against the major currencies. The dollar downswing started on Friday after a lukewarm employment report raised expectations that the Fed will deliver a "modest" 50-basis point,...
Bitcoin liquidated $200 million in long positions yesterday as the price tested a two-year low and dipped to $18,000. All of this was blamed on a sharp and widespread drawdown amid the withdrawal of funds from cryptocurrency FTX and the spillover into a deal with its competitor Binance (Chart 1: Bitcoin's steep fall, triggered by fundamentals. Straight to the...
Hey traders, In this article, we will discuss the set of actions, habits and beliefs that will blow your account. 1. Trades are based on emotional decisions Behind each trading position must be a reason. The entry reason of a professional trader is based on a very strict and objective conditions, while an unprofitable trader follows emotions and...
1. People are born traders. While it is true that certain personal characteristics make it easier to trade, no one is born a trader. One of the main themes of the Market Wizards books written by Jack Schwager is that almost none of the market wizards was successful from the start. They all worked hard at it. 2. You have to have a high IQ to trade. Just not true....
Is FTT about to meet the same fate LUNA did earlier this year? Luna also had a pretty nasty looking head and shoulders that it validated a breakdown from. FTTs is similar although the full measured move is negative 42 dollars which isn’t possible…that doesnt mean the pattern won’t still trigger, it just cant reach the full target….it could very easily drop deeply...
Metals to Break its All Time High. I have discussed about Gold before and in this tutorial we will study into Copper. From last week Fed chairman statement, he said “it is premature to be talking about pausing our rate hike. We have a ways to go." The continuous inflation is almost a certainty into next year, and what asset or instrument works well with...