Hello traders, Disclaimer : Past performance is not indicative of future returns. I) Historical returns for the $SPX following mid term elections On average the $SPX has had a 15% return on a 12m basis. This bear market is rapidly approaching the average lifespan for such a market. Remember, the average bear market lasts 11+ months and the median is 7+...
CME: Micro USD/JPN Futures ( CME_MINI:M6J1! ) On September 21st, the Fed raised interest rate for the fifth time. The very next day, Bank of Japan decided to keep the country’s short-term interest rate at -0.10%. On November 3rd, the Fed raised another 75 bps, and the Fed Funds rate is now 3.75-4.00%. Interest rate spread between the two countries now reaches 4%....
Hi guys, This is @CRYPTOMOJO_TA One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities. Consider following me for the latest updates and Long /Short calls on almost every exchange. I post short mid and long-term trade setups too. Here are some Educational Chart Patterns that you should know in 2022. I hope you will find this information...
In part 2 I take a quick look at high yield corporates and describe a common mistake made in using ETF ratios to monitor changes in credit risk. Part one and an earlier piece that described how to use the TradingView platform to monitor secondary market credit spreads are linked below. If there is any one thing that will produce a Fed policy a pivot, it is...
CME: E-Mini S&P 500 Futures ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) If the characters of Game of Thrones were on the financial markets, who would be the unchallenged “King of Wall Street” in your eyes? Since Federal Reserve set sail on tightening monetary policy, all markets fell under the spell of Fed rate hikes. Federal Open Market Committee meetings are major market-moving events....
Hey everyone, I apologize, I tried to post a live stream and it just did not work :(. I think my internet is the problem. Many times my internet has caused massive losses because of being so terrible, so I am pretty sure that is the problem. Anyway, I just wanted to pick up where I left off and finish up my thoughts on SPY. In the live stream I went over all...
For the first time in many months the price of Bitcoin COINBASE:BTCUSD has pushed a closing bar outside of the Daily Ichimoku Cloud. Using the Daily Ichimoku Cloud indicator on the traditional setting (9, 26, 52, 26) has been an accurate tool in defining the trend of Bitcoin going back over a decade. I even did a study proving that the performance of using...
Close Up: Historic significant levels to test its responsiveness: It can be set to values like 1000 and it might even make sense even on daily tf with specific settings of the indicator. But I will use Base EMA 360 BSP 360 Factor say 7 Don't touch Fast EMA if you want to ever survive through that. And lets give a week offset just for lulz. (7 days so input...
This post explains my mindset of why i publish only indicators and only under open-source. A common opinion is that if an indicator or strategy is publicly known, then it cannot be profitable. In economics theory, this is known as the efficient market hypothesis(1), which states that once a strategy is widely adopted, it is integrated in prices and hence cannot...
The point of this chart is not to look at future peaks, although we will touch upon it. The point is to take a dive into the indicator called the BTC log regression {Rainbow Dark} that is based on the Fibonacci sequence and the possible transition to the lower band from the top band. Bitcoins entire history has been on the upper band of this log and in...
is this thing that has traded like a boat anchor, as much of a boat anchor as Bitcoin . More or less not moving at all. Yet, as with all things, consolidation periods only last for so long before the volatility picks up again to draw in new attention. This chart is a huge amount of time and very wide ranges and so it's very hard to stuff the important info into...
Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #17 ---------------------------------------------------------------- What is a custodian? - A custodian is a financial institution that holds customers' assets or securities for safekeeping to prevent them from being stolen or lost. The custodian may hold equities, bonds, derivatives, or other assets in...
In last 20 years, apple stock has 'bottomed' out at earning yields in the 6-10% range. However, in the past it was a smaller company with a high growth rate potential. Current earnings yields on apple are in the 4% range and now its a near 3 trillion dollar company. I dont know if thats an apples to apples comparison ;) NASDAQ:AAPL QQQ MSFT
Primary Chart: 2D Chart Showing Downtrend Parallel Channel, Fibonacci Levels and Major Support at YTD Low Gold OANDA:XAUUSD could be nearing a tradeable low. The primary degree of trend remains bearish. Lower highs and lower lows on the daily and weekly chart appear. The downtrend channel on a log chart (or linear chart) has contained highs and lows since...
Hello Everyone, Here is a small video describing the idea on studying divergence data based on divergence backtester script. To understand further, you can study some of my older scripts on divergence. You can find them under my profile: www.tradingview.com Filter only open source scripts so that you will see only free to use scripts with code available. This...
FOMO. Fear of Missing Out. We have all heard this phrase. It could pertain to that VERY LAST concert of your favorite band in the middle of the week and coming late to work the next day. Scrolling through Instagram and making a split-second purchase that never works out. We get the idea. I can feel FOMO’s omnipresence in the trading world right now. We have...
With the barrage of disappointing earnings and the FED rate hike scheduled for today, we have very little to be optimistic about for the rest of 2022. Our reasoning is based on the persistence of high inflation and interest rates poised to stay here for much longer than many analysts initially expected. Therefore, we believe it is a matter of time until something...
In my opinion, the global energy crisis isn't over; hence there are many reasons why being bullish on oil makes sense, and in this idea, I will try to analyze most of them one by one. First of all situation between Russia-Ukraine doesn't look any good, and it also heavily affects Europe, which is essentially directly involved in this war. Currently, gas from...