CBOT:ZQ1! We are in a rising interest rate environment. But wait, which rate are you talking about? All eyes are on the Federal Reserve. But could you really borrow money at the Fed Funds rate? If not, why is it a big deal? Most of us deal with different types of interest rates, such as those for bank deposit, mortgage loan, home equity loan, auto loan, credit...
In the frustrating attempts to determine which rallies may represent the end to an overall market decline, one has to recognize, particularly in the throes of a bear market cycle, that “All Advances are Not Equal” even as all stocks may rally together with the market. Within any market trend, there will be rally phases. However, rallies may not carry all stocks...
Primary Chart: Long-Term Anchored VWAPs and YTD Down Trendline Whenever price action gets confusing, it can help to take a step back and consider the larger picture again. Many experts have weighed in after each consecutive low in this year's bear market, with some claiming that the lows are in, and others claiming price has much further to fall after the...
Dear investors... The temperatures are falling and one of the hottest summers in the past years is coming to an end. We are entering the fall holidays in my country and i encourage everyone to take some time off the market - spend time with your loved ones instead. We have to be honest here, the past weeks were very challenging for our analysis and bitcoin...
Just some ideas on recent bear markets and what to look out for during "bottoms". Although I think we could have a decent rally soon, I think the bottom of this particular bear market may still be far away. Some thoughts on 2007-9 bear market, 2000 bear market, and 1987 crash.
Trading & investing is not easy. If it were, everyone would be rich. One of the most difficult moments for all traders, and especially investors, is when markets are abnormally bearish, trending downward or in a direction that goes against their positions. Adding to that difficulty is when volatility is rising and when uncertainty is high. These events have...
Bears and Bulls await for the "Great Reset" (or as the Fed might state: "financial accident") that will lead to the Fed Pivot. The question is where (and when) will the pivot occur? "Watch your step while peering into the abyss. The cliff edge is crumbling faster and is closer than we realize..."
So I posted a DXY idea a little while ago on request and just looking back at it, the price target I had calculated actually came true and was surpassed. Its interesting because I really have no business analyzing DXY. I am not at all familiar with this stock but it did motivate me to throw together a basic math model for it with Weekly and Monthly ranges. So...
Looking back in time we can see that resting on the top of previous ATH has been a strong point of support, I mean we have been 17 weeks or so rested here now! Looking back in time we can see that we always have got the 84% (roughly) retracement soon after the 70% (roughly) retracement. History would put the probability high that happens again. I would certainly...
There are some general rules you need to understand, for all scenarios involving chart patterns. And this is because they don't form all the time as the books describe, and you need to think outside the box, and look inside the patterns. 1. At any given price level in the market, there will always be people thinking that the price is good to sell or buy. You can...
📖 5 Books On Trading That Everyone Should Know 📖 📖 1. Reminiscences of a Stock Operator - Edwin Lefèvre. 📖 Reminiscences of a Stock Operator is a fabularized biography of the most famous speculator of all time Jesse Livermoore. Jesse Livermoore operated in the stock and commodity markets in the early 20th century in the 1920s to be exact. He was one of those...
EU is in Turmoil. British are rolling over. China just shrugging it out. Elon caught with his hand in the cookie jar. CPI next week. Election Next Month But it's all about the Oil. Expect positive correlation to last about as long as the next CPI print. Oil blasts higher -> CPI prints higher -> Indexes enter Second Leg Down.
Last week, UK pension funds, which hold highly leveraged bond derivative positions, were facing a nearly $1 trillion loss as bond prices crashed and yields rose. The crash in the bond market has been underway for years, but the tipping point occurred when the UK prime minister pledged to cut taxes at a time when inflation is soaring into the double...
Speculations, Data analysis, well-known Patterns, Fundamentals, Daily News and more are several tools we use to predict what could be the next move of our favourite instrument : Bitcoin. Genesis Bitcoin (BTC) was invented by a pseudonymous individual or group named Satoshi Nakamoto in 2008 and is the world’s first enduring cryptocurrency that succeeded where...
Primary Chart: Linear Regression Channel and Two Long-Term Anchored VWAPs No matter what method is used to analyze and define the trend, AMD has been stuck in a severe downtrend since its all-time high on November 30, 2021. Like other growth and technology stocks (except for FAANG stocks and Microsoft), AMD's November 2021 peak occurred a month before the S&P...
Hello Everyone, Following are the things we discussed 🎲 Minimal Components of Auto Trading System: Source where signals are generated Exchange/Broker where orders are placed Integration component which bridges both 🎲 In this example Source - is our tradingview system and a sample script which generate alerts. Do not use this script for trading...
In this post, I will explain what jumping S-curves means and how you can identify potential S-curves before they jump . First, let's begin with the chart above (also copied below). This is a yearly chart of McKesson Corporation (MCK), a medical supplies company. As you can see in the chart below, this stock has been soaring over the past year despite most...
Elliott Wave Quick Cheat Sheet Note that I post a quick guide for beginners. I was struggled as a beginner but thanks to my mentor. (I post a quick guide here as sometimes I need to peek as for my cheat sheet) By now we all have learned patterns like Head and Shoulders, Wedge, Triangle, Double top, Double bottom, Pennant (literally a triangle or diagonal),...