Nowadays market movements all are about politics, not economy. Fundamentally the USD should had been strengthening because of interest rates hike but, didn't. The reasons are politics and expectations. The currency market is a very great place to see how the politicians are behaving, people can respond very quickly on the most liquid market in the world. Trump's...
Use investor skittishness about British politics this week (maaaybe into next week) to get into some great potential GBPUSD buys.
The Technicals have alligned ahead of EU political controversy. End of the Bearish 3-Drive Pattern Volume is fading RSI Divergence Huge profit potential for a long term short on the EUR/USD
Two days before the first round of the presidential elections (23 April), the uncertainty remains high. Take the opportunity of a risk-friendly scenario or a strong risk aversion scenario by pending orders of both sides. The nightmare scenario for the market would be a second round between Far-left and Far-right candidates. Trade the EUR against JPY, considering...
Since late January, the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey has produced consistent efforts to stabilize the currency. This has produced tangible results with a upward correction although persistent political tensions. Erdogan's referendum victory is likely to be the most market-friendly option. A "No" scenario may lead to early elections and a period of...
The prospect of a likely victory of market friendly candidate in France (Macron) would redirect attention to ECB policy normalization and imply a bullish impact on EUR in the middle term. However a victory of Le Pen would drive to an signficant bearish impact on EUR in the short term and support the YEN, as this currency is a big beneficiary of risk aversion. The...
It's been a choppy market lately as indecision sets in over the GOP Health Care Bill vote. Originally scheduled for Thursday, the vote has been pushed back to 3:30p EST today (Friday). If the vote is held it may come as a surprise to some since there is rumor of Paul Ryan nudging Trump toward cancellation to avoid potential failure since he is "lacking...
CHARTDESCRIPTION If the (ETF) AEX will break this level i only prefer to go long if the RSI, MACDI,(Slow) Stochastic and Bollinger Bands will give me a positive signal. I'm on this moment concernd about the level we have reached, because there are many signs that the current stockmarkets are overvalued (for example the new ticker SNAPCHAT wich is to much...
]Why for all of the Recent 8-Year Term Presidents There Has Been a Stock Market Crash Around the Time of Thier Exit
Bullard is the lone Fed official forecasting just one additional rate increase, and expects modest growth over the next two and a half years. But he reiterated Tuesday he's not expecting the economy to head south. However, did go out of his way to mention a relatively dovish point "We Have Some Ammunition if We Need it During Next Recession". Nonetheless he...
Trading for this week: 1. My plan for next week focuses on point "3." from the previous post - I am waiting for risk-on or risk-off assets to confirm investor conviction by using USDJPY as a barometer for net risk sentiment. Despite the market uncertainty and high volatility UJ last week traded within a 200pip range for the between 101.3-103.3. Therefore, I...
Expectations vs Reality: 1. Following the referendum decision on Friday, as expected GBP sold off 10%+, the FTSE plummeted in a similar fashion and global risk assets sold off across the board, but FTSE/ Risk recovered a significant amount of those losses into Fridays close and for the rest of the next week.. So what happened to BREXIT? - Such behaviour would...
The current political uncertainty in Turkey is what drove that sharp rally in the first place, and the current consolidation is, for me, a signal of momentum build-up that will cause another spike following further uncertainty in the country. The reason for this is that tourism could be affected, thus causing investors to stay away from the currency, buying...
Gold has a historic relevance as being a price appreciator in times of volatility, geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty. Current day presents a plethora of risks both economic and political; from emerging market credit risk through to south china sea politics. Oil, like Gold has benefitted from a fall in the USD which has lead to some price recovery,...
PBR is correlated to oil prices, but that's not all. Out of a selection of other oil majors, PBR underperforms significantly when the starting month of August 2011 is chosen, a date I arbitrarily chose due to launch of a new industrial policy in Brasil (a proxy of changing economic policy). Note, however, work done by my friend, Raphael Geraldelli (related ideas),...
EURUSD goes to up line 1.09 TF H4 I don't recommendation open for buy positions, the global politics /EC/ for Euro paritet with Dollar US. The finish target EURUSD 1.04 or 1.00 www.mql5.com
the U.S. and the European Union announced a fresh round of sanctions against Russia on Wednesday 16 of July following the annexation of Crimea back in March and ongoing tensions in the east of Ukraine. The U.S. package was the largest round of penalties so far, with Russia's oil producer Rosneft hit as well as other energy, financial and defense firms....
In consideration of current poltical problems in Europe and Irak the 1259 resistance got touched (which I mentioned in my last idea) and now we have a stressed market with a new short term neutral Zone. Critical points are 1271 and 1259 Above 1271, there are possibilities for new short-and mid-term uptrend into 1285-1296. Below 1259 there would work the long-,...