The recession we predicted in August is almost here. Prepare for monetary meltdown. Things to look forward to next year: Mass layoffs (started in q4) and spike in unemployment rate Retail earnings miss heavily with a bad holiday season Industrial production drops sharply Used car bubble pops Mass consumer defaults on car loans Housing market...
I'm sure you've probably already heard the news about FTX so I won't cover everything - but there's a few things we might expect, longer-term, from the scandal this week. - More Regulations: This incident embarrassed a lot of powerful people as well, so the likelihood of more substantial regulations coming down the pipe is now much higher. - Increased Liquidity:...
Brent Crude Oil price is expected to consolidate between 93 to 100, with the main catalyst being China's Covid Policy. There were on-and-off hopes of China's reopening. However, we are still very much on the fence given the continued strict Covid measures in China. On the other hand, China did announce an easing of the measures, reducing the quarantine time....
Following weekly chart. As I see, trend is over from 2019 and this week even we get the confirmation for a short. First advice is for spot traders is close your longs and wait for a signal to jump in again. For short traders TP1 128.3 TP2 121.41 TP3 100
The pandemic caused the dollar to strengthen, despite very low interest rates. There was a moment when it weakened, and that was at the very beginning, until January 2021. After that, it consolidated until June, and then only went up. Why did the USD strengthen, even when rates were around 0%? The crisis has the effect of strengthening the dollar, since all...
Crash before CPI. CPI will ignite more selloff. Its coming. Winter is coming.
This chart suggests that the coming recession will be anywhere from Q4 next year to Q4 2024 which is much later than what the 10 minus 2 year chart could be saying. There's also a possibility that the recent inversion is a false signal but unlike the 1998 fakeout, it went deeper and is much more likely a legitimate signal.
Looks like S&P500 bulls, but expect that it will only go so far. Unemployment rate has gone up 2%. NFP higher than expected but lower than previous. But, inflation still on the rise. Fed is poised to hold their stand, continue hiking interest rates albeit at a slower pace. Interest rates hikes are possibly priced in by now - with the Fed having made a clear...
Stop saying we are bullish even bottomed. We are still in a bear market and crypto winter isn’t over yet so don’t get way too far ahead. As the retracement to 21K completed should expect a big fall and the bears are back from water break, as bitcoin still volatile and the Feds are still going aggressive to fight off the inflation. Powell gave a hint will go...
I'd only consider going short the EURCAD today. All trades need to be closed by the end of the NY session on a Friday so as not to hold risk overnight. The ECB is looking for a recession and seems happy to keep killing productivity with rate hikes. The single currency is f'd.
Recession to Depression. Inflation will not be the same.
The DAX30 has once again crossed the 100 day EMA for the third time this year. After the previous two crosses, the index went ahead to lose an average of 15%. The index has already reached a trough of 27.55% this year with each drop weakening and bear exhaustion showing up as evident from MACD divergence. The index has priced in a lot of bad news including the...
EUR/USD 🔽 GBP/USD 🔽 AUD/USD 🔽 USD/CAD 🔼 USD/JPY 🔼 XAU 🔽 WTI 🔽 After the Federal Reserve’s 75 basis point rate hike, the Bank of England has followed suit - though notably less inclined to continue aggressive tightening, being warier of an economic recession. GBP/USD lost over 230 pips to a closing price of 1.1165, while EUR/USD slumped from a high of 0.9943 to...
EARLIER, i had posted saying if the us markets goes further down what will be there point. (check the link section) lets go on further, recession means what earned everything lost, reached its breakeven point. what profit gained has gone away, with net having no loss and no profit. FIBONACCI ANALYSIS: Fibonacci describes this statement in a very beautiful...
A number of news sources reported in the lat 2 days that J Powell's favorite yield curve as a recession indicator is an inverted 3 month and 10 year. These are now inverted and have only inverted 3 other times according to this data Before the 2000 crash Before the Global Financial Crisis Before Covid lockdowns Its virtually assured at this point...
We are seeing a lot of pressure in conventional markets along with commodity markets with all the inflation and recession numbers involved. With FED moving forward with strong interest rate hikes well into 2023 I can see serious pressure on the XRP price given that there is still no settlement for 2022 or the end of the case until 2023. Fibonacci levels all the...
Intra-day price movement (for each previous Fed Meeting) follows a pattern of green-red-red. Next in line is red. Between-meetings price movement follows a green-red-green-red pattern. Next in line is red. Also, where did everyone hear from that Fed is going to pivot and so on? Why wouldn't they stick to the plan? Some will be surprised when +75bps shows up tomorrow! NFA.
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