Something weird is bubbling in the energy space. Before we delve in, let us briefly explain what the S&P Energy Select Sector Index represents. Some of you might already be familiar with XLE, the ETF which tracks the S&P Energy Select Sector Index (IXE). This Index seeks to represent the Energy sector by aggregating a basket of names in the sector. A...
Important: ****** With INTRS symbol added to compare and find points of bottoming, please enable AUTO and % to the chart) ******** I added the Interest rate line to check how long will it take to the market to start climbing out from bottom Pivot (once reached there), while comparing it to other yearly crises When Interest rate gets to the highest point during...
Market sentiment has been negative with fears of the hard recession approaching. I've been looking for short opportunities in the market because of this and spotted this setup
Oil prices were whipsawed this week with swings of more than 6%1 after a report from the Wall Street Journal suggested that Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) is looking to possibly increase output by 500,000 barrels per day (bpd). The rumour could have easily been justified by President Biden’s decision to offer sovereign immunity to the...
Let's see what the 2008 analogy says about the next thing. Currently, we can observe a similarity in many charts, e.g., the S&P 500 index, VIX, gold, and USOIL / UKOIL, to what was happening in 2008. Copper is no exception, and the analogy indicates copper's price decline. If the price follows it perfectly, the declines may end in the second zone. But I do not...
Not financial advice. The essence of investing & trading is the intelligent and patient preying on the greed, fear, impatience, addiction and ignorance of the majority. It's definitionally *GET OUT FROM THE STOCK MARKET*
Understanding the basics of Bonds is very important to traders/investors. Yields (interest rates) are like gravity to other asset classes. The higher yields go the more gravity on other asset classes. Most are unaware of this simple rule bc most traders today have never had to deal with inflation and rising rates. I can't go too much more in explaining it all...
Personal Savings are at a historic low, Consumer Credit at highs, and Inflation hasn't popped. The United Kingdom and other leading Eurozone parties have proclaimed their Recession, as the Federal Reserve, BEA, and Executive Branch fight against Wall Street Banks, Wall Street Megacompanies, and basic economic equations contradict each other regarding the US's....
After inversion, re-steepening signifies the impending materialization of the stress in the financial system and economy. Looks like this is just the beginning of this downturn and imo we're headed for a massive recession.
After another potential rally to $150, i expect that AAPL Will bottom this year at $107 on slower demand for their iPhones in the gift season. iPhone is still responsible for 50% of Apple`s revenue. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Here is a look at $SPY since the beginning of this year. It looks to me like were in the last leg of this rally, about to finish w5 right at the months long DTL, as we approach a bunch typical w5 fib levels, the A=C 1:1 extension of the oct 13-nov 1 swing, and the 200 MA. The daily RSI is also approaching overbought territory. If we get a rejection at the...
When i look at 12-month chart and use stochastic. I see pretty nicely formed bearish divergence. XAUUSD could hit 1381 or even worst 950. So, I'd recommend you to sell literally every securities that you hold because probably 2 years later could even worst than today. Gold is considered as a safe-haven assets, but if this assets is going down it means financial...
THE SELL IS IN. We cannot get a solid close over 24.6k to push for a 30k test which alludes me to a dive down to the impulse at 15-17K. The interest rate hikes in the past 6 months have just been another driver in KILLING the price of BTC and majority of cryptos. The banks are broke and are liquidating their initial positions for a possible lower buy in. The...
tradingeconomics.com Showing monthly rolling changes for the housing market - which is the first to go. When it bottoms out and stops dropping over the period, the bear market is over. Also showing that the 50 monthly moving average will be crossed once, then 3 months later, it will crossover again to continue the second leg down.
As you can see in the chart, Recessions tend to start when unemployment rate bottoms. We're starting to see a bottom in the unemployment rate. Will we see a reccesion next? Let's wait and see FRED:UNRATE
US recession over(analysis in link section). MANY FII BUYING AND DII SELLING ARE COMING IN THE MARKET!! In previous days, markets where net rising only, but still we could see a lot of selling, from DII side. many FII are steping in. and due to gap ups, the markets are closing in positives. we could see the M AND W pattern are completed, anf there could now be a...
The current level of euphoria and speculation on Wall Street is likely to go down in history in the same way that the misplaced optimism of speculators in 1929 was immortalized by the tremendous crash and ensuing depression. The current dynamics at play are more similar to that period than most realize. Many potential catalysts for the Global Financial Crisis...
The GDP number of 2.7% growth is being propped up by net exports, while consumption is at a cycle low. This is horrible for earnings expectations and risk assets. Net exports were at a low in prior quarters, making the economy look worse off than it was. Now the economy is actually worse off than it is and the metric is instead making it look better. This is why...