Hi, I'd like to repost a private idea I had (I did post it in related ideas in my last retracement long idea for copper -which actually worked for the 1st entry before a massive turn south-). We have a clear short opportunity as outlined by my friend Tom Killick (he does great coverage of copper and USDCLP, check in related ideas). If we're offered with a...
Gold is testing the Key FOMC level, and has hit my daily and weekly 'time at mode' targets. RgMov (Tim West's proprietary trend/sentiment analysis indicator) is not confirming the recent highs while we have tested the yearly MA (253 periods simple moving average), making me think we'll see a healthy correction in this rally. I'll be entering shorts here, and...
In the recent turn of events, the focus of everyone has been shifted to the terrible terrorist attacks that occurred in Paris where countless innocent people were killed, all of a sudden. I don't want to raise fingers and point at anyone, but it draws my attention to the recent bearish scenarios presented in most stock indexes around the world, where a very grim...
This is a chart mostly meant for analysis and forecasting, but you could also look to trade it using ETF options, for example selling calls/puts, or if trading the monthly, you could go with a 374 or 400 pip stop. The risk vs reward is really high, even if you do use this stop loss size. It's not meant for anyone, mostly an investor or longer term trader would...
The oil chart has had bearish overtones for a while now, and despite feeble attempts by the bulls to drive price above the highest volume node at 46.24, it seems like bears are winning in this juncture. I'd place a couple of entries here, looking to capture the downside move. It's possible, once the 2nd order is triggered, that we get a 55% chance of hitting...
SPY has a failed weekly range expansion decline, as well as a daily uptrend aiming for 196. There's potential upside well into the 199 mark, which is where the next Vix spike s/r level sits. The weekly failure implies price can retest the 203.87 mark as well, which coincides with a low volume resistance level, so I'll keep that in mind as well. I'm long AAPL and...
In this chart I demonstrate how BTCCNY is correlated to equities. My previous analysis resulted in a powerful short setup which hit the target. Currently we're in a short trade, after closing out longs we had opened near the lows a couple days ago. I anticipate more sellers coming into this pair, as well as in the stock indexes, so it's wise to be positioned on...
Silver's offering an interesting long setup, currently lagging gold, and showing clear signs of accumulation (and a nice shakeout) before taking off. I'll enter long as described on chart. For more of these type of setups, contact me privately, I'm currently offering tuition as well as signals for a reduced price, lasting until tomorrow. Good luck if taking this...
In this publication I wish to expand on my previous multi-timeframe analysis of the Euro. In the right we have a wave count I've updated, based on Tim West's publication, which warned of the end of a wave B in the Rgmov 'wave chart'. This alerted of a potential uptrend to emerge from that spot, which did materialize but has taken longer time than Tim...
We have a potentially very good trade here. The recent outperformance of HYG (and the crude oil rally) have boosted the stock market but I still think it's possible to see another sharp decline. The market is under Mario Draghi's and China's sweet talk influence right now, as I see it. I'm out of equity longs for the time being, and positioned in a more risk...
In the current enviroment, it's nice to add a 'long Canada/short Asia' trade, and this is what this setup is. Currently the trend is up in the weekly but there seems to be a chance for a sharp decline in the daily chart. Risk to reward makes for a great trade if it works, so it's worth it to risk at least 1/2 position on it. Props to @Synapse here for mentioning...
We have an interesting setup with only 3.65% downside, but with a potential 23.02% upside based on my 'Time at Mode' analysis of this ratio chart. Fundamentals for AMZN are good in the long term, it has been a relatively strong company, and has many interesting future developments ahead (like the introduction of drone delivery of goods, ocean freights from China,...
This stock is coming up from a strong base, acting as a bastion of strength in this market. Dividend investors would be glad to add this to their portfolios here I'm sure, and I wouldn't mind either. There's a nice techical entry if we're offered with prices inside the green zone in my chart. There is an abundance of technicals suggesting this is a good buy, so I...
I'm long AAPL, and would like to share my chart setup here. There's a very interesting level below price, and also below the S&P500's low. Tim West has covered this extensively in his publications, it's a technique used to find prices where the smart money has bought, absorbing retail supply en masse. These levels are detected using Vix spikes, and finding the...
This is a quarterly resistance so I consider it interesting to try considering the downside potential in this juncture. If we were to cross my stop, we'd have to see how it fares against the next red zone above. I'm thinking this is a significant low in the stocks and oil, and thus, a great chance to short USDCAD when there're no oil bulls left. Someone's holding...
The wheat chart has a very interesting and huge terminal triangle in the weekly scale. You can enter long as depicted on chart, and aim for the high volume node above, or even the start of the terminal triangle if it were to be valid. As you can see in the related ideas, it's highly probable that the dollar has topped in the long term, and the macroeconomic...
Here I am with a little contrarian idea. There's a nice 15% spread to be filled when comparing the Argentine peso to the other South American economies. The stock market also took a nose dive and is poised to retrace, since it's possible that live cattle and soybeans will head up from this point (and the Merval has a healthy correlation with those two among other...
I'm contemplating this possibility. The chart suggests we're in a monthly uptrend since the 2011 low (the peak in gold). The range expansion to the downside culminated right into the uptrend mode, while rgmov is in an uptrend, and CCI hints at a possible crossunder -100. If this were to happen it'd be extremely interesting to open a position in this pair. Right...