Cup and handle within a cup and handle! Rising 10-year yields imply stronger investor confidence and weaker bond prices. The market does not see a correction/crash coming! Make of it what you will. See investopedia's article on "why-10-year-us-treasury-rates-matter" for a good explanation.
The Fed is not concerned about the yields in long-end of the curve. Does this mean more good new for stocks, and, particularly, commodities?
I don't know much about macroeconomics rate, bonds, and such mumbo jumbo. However, I like to draw pretty drawings with lines and use colorful colors. US Stimmies and re-opening economics after the covid-era might trigger an increase in inflation, increasing rates on loans. So, a 10-year treasury yield prediction at 2% doesn't sound far-fetched, maybe even 3%?....
Consistent with other markets indicators. Trade appropriately.
"There exist no episodes where the bitcoin spot markets dominates the price discovery processes with regard to Bitcoin Futures. This points to a conclusion that the price formation originates solely in the Bitcoin Futures market. We can, therefore, conclude that the Bitcoin Futures markets dominate the dynamic price discovery process based upon time -varying...
After a long downtrend that is starting to look like a bull-flag type pattern, gold has reached a historically important level - which has corresponded with multiple inflection points since 2011 (including March 2020). Gold has a clear negative relationship with 10 year rates - which are also at a key historical inflection point in a sharp rise amid a multi-year...
Divergence continues to build between buying volume and valuation in the combined SPY/DIA chart. I believe this indicates buyer fatigue in the sectors that have seen a bull run after the tech selloff. This, along with TNX jumps continuing to drive the IXIC down, could indicate imminent trouble in the general markets. It doesn't seem that the SPY/DIA can keep...
am.jpmorgan.com The Federal Reserve (Fed) announced on April 1, 2020 that it would temporarily exclude U.S. Treasuries (USTs) and banks’ deposits with the Fed (Fed deposits) from its calculation of banks’ supplementary leverage ratio or SLR. The action is the latest aggressive measure by the Fed to help ensure the flow of risk and liquidity through the financial...
Anticipating an OVER BOUGHT bounce LOWER Lets see how MARKETS Respond
In this video I give you my macro view of what is coming in the next ten years. This video is designed to give you a feel of what I believe is a likely outcome based on a combination of my different views. I have played devils advocate many times before in order to get a feel for the markets. The reason is mainly to feel it and to observe other peoples...
IXIC had highly anticipated and hoped for bounce after recent correction, which lines up with the 10 year Treasury bond rate dropping a bit. It looks like both charts are hitting resistance/support. IXIC looks like its neither terribly overbought or oversold on RSI. Tomorrow is a potential big pivot point for both charts. Will TNX find support and IXIC meet...
We are going to 2% and dragging everyone kicking and screaming. Fed cannot implement YCC just yet, things need to get way more gruesome to justify it in terms of optics.
Options Highly Liquid Single Name With Earnings in the Rear View Mirror, Ranked by Percentage the April 16th At-the-Money Short Straddle is Paying as a Function of Stock Price: AMC (24/221/50.6) (Movie Theatre) TLRY (26/162/44.7) (Cannabis) ACB (3/120/33.9) (Cannabis) NKLA (12/128/30.9) (EV) PLUG (44/114/30.7) (EV, Hydrogen) SPCE (22/106/28.9) (Space...
𝗕𝗼𝗻𝗱𝘀 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: $TLT Weekly. Huge volume this week and hammering the 200ema. Could see a sharp bounce back from oversold conditions $TNX $ZB_F $ZN_F $SPY $SPX $ES_F $VIX $QQQ $NDX $NQ_F $GLD $GDX $DXY #Bonds #Stocks #Trading
Blowing out a 💫 w/ a large green candle and MACD looks very bullish $YM_F $DIA $DJIA $QQQ $SPY $IWM $TLT $TNX $GLD $DXY $VIX $BA $GS $UNH $CRM $MSFT #Trading #Stocks #StockMarket 📈
Dragged down by $NQ_F while rotation to other sectors continues. As long as above key TL (from 2002) path is likely higher $SPY $SPX $VIX $QQQ $NDX $TLT $TNX $GLD $DXY #ElliottWave #Stocks #Trading 📈
Trying to hammer off of the TL. Back over the 50dma and could rip $FCX $AKS $MP $HG_F $SPY $SPX $ES_F $TNX $TLT $ZB_F $ZN_F #Economy #Commodities #Inflation
Contrarian bet against the onslaught of bond bears. RH Technicals vs. WallStreet - Clean, MACD Bullish Divergence - Descending Triangle, Completed E-wave signals new trend. - 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement hit; Also referred to as the Golden Retracement . It is, after all, based on the Golden Ratio. - And potentially a False Breakdown, likely to mirror the False...